Daily Bitcoin chart breakdowns in plain English. Levels, patterns, and risk — no hype. Full lessons on YouTube. Not financial advice
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Daily plain-English Bitcoin chart lessons.
I break down the levels and patterns that actually matter — no hype, no signals.
Full video lessons on YouTube: youtube.com/@trade-schooling
Education only • Not financial advice
Drop a chart or level you're watching below.
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Trade School retweeted
Crypto’s cash pile is shrinking.
Stablecoins just had their fastest drop since 2022, losing $14.5 BILLION in 30 days.
Glassnode says holders are redeeming stablecoins for dollars and taking that cash out of the market.
Tether alone shrank by $8.4 BILLION, more than half the drop.
Stablecoin supply now sits at $289 BILLION, $23 BILLION below its May peak and below where it started 2026.
Most stablecoins are minted to fund crypto trades, so when trading interest drops, demand for new ones falls, per CoinDesk.
It’s not just stablecoins. Bitcoin ETF flows have also turned NEGATIVE for 2026.
So has this happened before?
The last time stablecoins shrank this fast was in 2022, after Terra’s UST, which was the third largest stablecoin at the time, lost its $1 peg and collapsed.
At the worst point in May 2022, supply fell $28.6 BILLION in 30 days, about twice today’s pace.
Today, Tether, the largest stablecoin by market cap, is trading at $0.999, just below $1.
Payments tell a different story, with stablecoin payments hitting $482 BILLION in the first 9 months of 2026, up 45% from a year earlier, per Allium.
Glassnode says a return to supply growth would be the first sign that new money is coming in.
Ethereum is sitting near the bottom of its 20-day box.
$2,051 (-0.0% today, -8.2% on the 5-day). $2,002 has held as the floor for the last 20 completed daily bars.
Watch which side of the box gives way first.
RSI tells you when a move is stretched — not when it ends.
Momentum is stretched — what is your trigger for calling the turn?
#Ethereum
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Hot CPI knocked Bitcoin below $73,000 - and through its 20-day floor.
October CPI rose 0.4% vs 0.3% expected; core rose 0.3% vs 0.2% (BLS). BTC wicked to $72,585 on Kraken, under its $73,444 floor, and trades at $73,874 (-1.8% today). ETH is $2,058 (-3.5%), below its $2,071 floor. December hike odds: ~85% for 25bp, ~15% for 50bp (CME FedWatch).
For traders: the print repriced the Fed, not just crypto. A daily close below $73,444 turns the floor into resistance; reclaim it and today reads as a sweep. Friday's PPI is the next test.
Down 20% from the top - buy the dip?
youtube.com/watch?v=yzqynQS1…
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Ethereum is sitting near the bottom of its 20-day box.
$2,091 (-1.9% today, -13.7% on the 5-day). $2,071 has held as the floor for the last 20 completed daily bars.
Watch which side of the box gives way first.
Every candle is a fight between buyers and sellers, frozen in one bar.
One candle, one fight — which candle on your chart tells the clearest story?
#Ethereum
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Trade School retweeted
A fairly quiet day, but just as we expected… the only opportunities on $BTC and ETH right now will come from triggers related to manipulation of the Monday Range. Or waiting flip gray level for good deviation
In a market like this, there’s no need to force anything. Wait for the price to reach the right levels and only act once you’ve got confirmation.
I’ll be back to the charts tomorrow. GN!
Bitcoin is sitting on the bottom of its 20-day box.
$74,578 (-0.2% today). $73,444 is the lowest price in the last 20 completed daily bars.
Support isn't a floor, it's a test: hold it and the bounce has room to $84,840; lose it and the slide continues.
Support and resistance aren't walls — they're where the big orders wait.
Which level are you watching into the week — $84,840 or $73,444?
#Bitcoin
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Bitcoin flash-crashed to its lowest level since August on Sunday night.
BTC wicked to $73,444 (Kraken) - through its old 20-day floor of $74,790 - as $745M was liquidated in one hour, $715M of it longs (CoinGlass). Over $1B went in 24 hours. Ether fell 7.3% in 15 minutes to ~$2,060.
BTC is $74,308 (-0.58% today); the 20-day box is now $73,444-$84,840.
For traders: a wick through the floor that reclaims it is a leverage sweep - until it isn't. Hold $74,790 and the flush was the story; lose the low and the next leg opens. Monday's ETF flows grade the bounce.
Three red days - due a bounce?
youtube.com/watch?v=bjd-dNg1…
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Trade School retweeted
#Bitcoin - Weekly Market Commentary
In Depth Technical and Psychological Analysis
In the days after the midterm elections, Bitcoin dropped from 80k to 75k. I warned you about the very bearish setup that would come with a Democratic win of the House and the Senate, and price action proved me right. This does not mean we will stay bearish. It’s a normal reaction of the markets to a political change, and in fact this change is very bullish. It will stop the Middle East war, send inflation down and make the Fed stop hiking rates, and in the long run cut them. Lower rates mean more liquidity in the financial system, and therefore the devaluation of FIAT currencies as a whole, and the appreciation of all assets priced against them, like Bitcoin and Stocks.
Since Bitcoin was trading at 80-87k, I have been warning you that lower levels were very possible before we meet higher targets. The price action we are seeing today is no surprise for those who have followed me for a while and carefully read my posts. We bought BTC at 60-64k, rallied to 87k, and there I called to place orders at 72-76k. This week two of my orders were hit, at $76,000 and $74,850, less than $100 above the bottom of the week. All my orders were shared here on X to the public. I have two more orders on the downside at $73,350 and $72,000 in case the market allows a visit.
The stock market is very oversold these days. I am not sure whether the full bottom is already in or not, but I can tell the bottom is very close and a bounce is due very soon. Bitcoin will follow that pump. We have seen controlled selling from 87k all the way down to 75k, and I can guarantee you there’s no interest in seeing more selling here at 75k since these levels are the range lows of the last 3 months of price action. That sell pressure will soon reverse into buy pressure. In case the stock market continues to go down first, there’s a chance we hunt all the downside liquidity before we resume higher. That liquidity lies down to the 68-70k region, which is the lowest possible level to reach.
There have been no changes in the overall plan for months now. Everything is playing out as expected, and everyone is a witness of that. I keep holding all the BTC bought at 60-64k and all the ETH bought at $1,850 with no intention of selling them anytime soon. My next target is 93k in the short term.
Weekly Calendar: We have CPI on Tuesday and PPI on Friday. We have nearly 5 trillion dollars worth of companies reporting earnings this week. After this week we will have NVDA earnings on the 17th of the month, which is the most important date of this month calendar. If NVDA beats earnings both the SPX and the NDX will reverse to higher levels and Bitcoin will follow it.
THIS POST IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE BUT MY PERSONAL OPINION ONLY
Whales flipping from long to their biggest short in over a year is a regime change, not a tweak.
BTC is still at $75,866.3 — if they are wrong at this level, covering becomes fuel.
xitter.cf/glassnode/status/21191…
Hyperliquid whales are adding to their bitcoin:native shorts.
Their net positioning turned short 2 weeks ago after 7 months of being long. Short exposure is now the largest since October 2025.
The last time they were this short, price moved down considerably.
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Bitcoin is sitting near the bottom of its 20-day box.
$75,907 (+0.2% today, -3.0% on the 5-day). $74,790 has held as the floor for the last 20 completed daily bars.
Watch which side of the box gives way first.
Three peaks, middle tallest — the classic exhaustion signature.
Three peaks, middle tallest — exhaustion signature, or noise on your timeframe?
#Bitcoin
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Trade School retweeted
🚨 ETF FLOWS: US spot Bitcoin ETFs are now net negative for 2026.
After 10 months of whiplash, the ETFs have seen $415.9M in net outflows year to date, with June alone bleeding $4.51B.
Where do we go from here?
Jobs smashed forecasts — and Bitcoin got the rate-hike side of it.
October payrolls rose 165,000 vs 65,000 expected, unemployment fell to 4.1%, and prior months were revised up 84,000 (BLS). December hike odds jumped toward 80%. BTC whipsawed above $76,100, then tested $74,790 — below its 20-day low of $75,100 — and sits at $75,678 (-0.4% today).
For traders: stocks took the growth leg (Nasdaq 100 +~2% early) while BTC took the tighter-money leg, lagging the bounce. Hold $75,100 on a close and the pierce reads as a sweep; lose it and the floor becomes resistance.
Today's double-bottom read:
youtube.com/watch?v=sHuWZ6ga…
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Bitcoin is sitting near the bottom of its 20-day box.
$76,241 (+0.3% today, -1.5% on the 5-day). $75,100 has held as the floor for the last 20 completed daily bars.
Watch which side of the box gives way first.
Two touches at the same floor means buyers keep stepping in. The neckline break decides.
Two touches at the same floor — buyer conviction, or just a pause before the drop?
#Bitcoin
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Trade School retweeted
Infrastructure for regulated assets has to assume the worst case, including a majority that colludes.
This is the research behind how Redbelly thinks about security.
Trade School retweeted
$XRP bulls are now facing a critical test!
The price has reached the pullback zone we’ve been monitoring. This is a pivotal moment for the bulls.
The sole focus now is simple: hold the current support zone.
If buying interest returns here and confirms that the correction has concluded, XRP could be set for a new leg upward.
Based on the Elliott Wave analysis shown in the chart, the potential targets to watch are:
$1.50 → $2.00 → $2.50 → $3.00+
Of course, if the support level fails, we will need to re-evaluate the current wave structure.
I remain focused on the possibility that the third wave is beginning.
This is not the time for blind optimism; it is the time for the bulls to prove themselves. Holding this support is the only way to pave the path toward $3 and beyond!
#XRP #Ripple #Crypto