Simple betting. No hype. No chasing. Data focused. Tool I use ⬇️
Simple Sauce Daily Picks
Joined August 2018
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Simple Sauce retweeted
𝗭𝗮𝗰 𝗚𝗮𝗹𝗹𝗲𝗻 𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝟱.𝟱 𝗛𝗶𝘁𝘀 𝗔𝗹𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗱 (+𝟭𝟮𝟬) 🐍
93% model probability. Nearly 3 full hits of cushion above the line.
Chase Field is the second highest altitude park in MLB. Ball carries. Fly balls drop for hits.
Model projects 8.46. Line is 5.5. That gap doesn't lie.
#MLB #FreePick #SportsBetting #MonsterBet
Simple Sauce retweeted
🔒 FREE PLAY — MLB
Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles ✅ Jake Burger Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125)
📊 Edge: +44.9% 🧠 Model Prob: 90% 📈 Proj: 3.58 total bases (+2.08 cushion)
91.8 MPH avg exit velo. 60.0% hard-hit rate. .471 avg and 1.382 OPS in road games.
Facing a pitcher he absolutely feasts on. Weather at Oriole Park gives a 17% boost to HRs today.
Model projects 3.58 total bases against a line of 1.5. That's not a lean — that's a hammer. 🔨
Record: 6-3 (HR Lotto's will not count against record due to longshot odds)
#MLB #SportsBetting #FreePick
data is getting us right.
all thanks to @monsterdotbet 🤝
Hammer George Holani TD (+800) 👀
Red zone touches open.
K9 will be a workhorse, but George will see 5-7 carries.
Love the value here.
2-1.
Live bet Indiana -3.5 at +150 as well.
3-1 day with @monsterdotbet 💰💰
Think it's time we put these new @monsterdotbet features to use.
Who want's a +EV parlay for tonight's wild card game?
#sportsbetting #ev #sharp #monsterbet
I stopped asking "who do I like?"
I started asking "what does the data agree on?"
That shift changes everything.
2026. The year where data is the king of sports betting.
Anyone want to see the new @monsterdotbet features?
