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I always knew that the $6.50 an hour Taco Bell offered me 25 years ago wasn’t enough.
Why am I still alive? I thought the PHP hack was going to kill us. 😅
Can’t anthropic or open AI send their super model to protect us? Zzz
I will make 6figs+ off this post for my fam- thanks bro.
This is my Polymarket bot, I've made roughly 1.5 Million Dollars off it in the last couple years. Now it's yours... for free.
This is probably my biggest gift to the X/PolyMarket community I have ever made, or will be able to make. I've made a lot of money and want to give back.
I have many bots, but I can't be an expert in every market (I don't know enough about esports or world events), but others can. So I built a CopyBot.
This is not a normal copy bot, it's probably the best one in the world (queue the shills trying to sell shit saying its not). I've been running it for years, and improving it constantly. It is currently running and profitable. And now its yours.
Multiple accounts have asked me to shill their copy bot, mine is much... much better and doesn't cost you $500+ a month to find out it sucks.
It copies maker bids, taker bids and is fast... how fast? Sometimes (about 30% of the time) our bid lands on the CLOB faster than the person you are copyings bid, yup you buy faster than they guy you're copying.
How is that? Mempools. Mempools are like waiting rooms that control traffic on the blockchain. I use a group of extremely fast mempools to watch a wallets trades. When their trade hits the mempool, we know exactly their order (including market orders), place it on the faster mempool and beat them.
How good is it? The p&l is within 1% of the wallets you copy. Meaning if they make $1000, you bet the exact same amount, you make $990.
Now, how do you use this.
This is setup for diversification, you want to copy multiple different wallets at a fraction of their orders. So you find 5 wallets (one esports, one in politics, one in pop culture etc), spread your budget across them and copy them maybe 10% or 5% of what they spend.
This decreases your risk dramatically. One world event can't destroy you.
Point AI (I suggest a smarter AI like fable or Astra) at the repo link at the bottom. Ask it to understand it, how it does maker vs taker vs hybrid bids, how to setup multiple different wallets etc.
What wallets do you copy?
You can't copy crypto. There are no profitable conviction traders in crypto, they all are structural exploits... every single one. You want people that research a market, and bet based on knowledge.
Some examples of ones I copied were @MEPPonPM @Joker_Poly (sorry guys, your both are studs).
Look for wallets whos pnl looks like a triangle... just a steady line up. Avoid new wallets, degenerate gamblers and people with losing streaks. You want a year old wallet that has been winning week over week, month over month.
Don't panic.
I'm going to use @MEPPonPM as an example (sorry again bro). If you copy him, you WILL NOT get his p&l right away... why?
Well Mepp is a badass, and some of his trades are from 6 months, 4 months, 1 month ago. So you will buy a trade today.. say for 100 bucks, and it goes down 5%, so you're left with $95 dollars... he plans on holding this same trade for 6 months.
So for example, his P&L today is $4,000 and yours is -$5... he is taking profit from trades he created weeks, months ago and he is trading $20,000 on a trade, you do $100. So to get the same p&l as him, you will need to copy his trades for months and bet the same amount. It's a long game, don't panic. Etraders, sports and other short events are different, but risker.
Also, don't use @MEPPonPM or @Joker_Poly . If multiple people copy the same account, you guys are going to eat your own edge, pushing the price up and you know someone is stupid enough to copy them even after that, so avoid those two. Your PNL will drop if you do. They are just examples.
The AWS box
Deploy this to AWS London (if you are not american or have KYC), otherwise ireland. Get a C6i large box. Have claude/codex "tune" the box for minimum latency. Then deploy the bot.
That is it.
I will not be giving tech support, helping pick wallets, or taking any blame for you losing money. This is a golden goose, if it shits instead of lays golden eggs, it's your fault... not mine.
github.com/Abomination81/cop…
If you want to thank me, lets spread the word. Repost, comment, like it. Lets let everyone share the wealth.
If this post gets enough traction. I might release my liquidity farming bot too. It is also very fire and forget.
#Polymarket #CopyBot
Please, dear Heavenly Father, let this be the model that gets me generational wealth.
The only guy who isn’t a larp on polymarket bots and you should definitely follow. He’s shaved 40-50ms off my response time etc.
This quoted post is unavailable.
Time to start failing more spectacularly- with less regret and self pity afterwards.
Elon Musk's first wife once described what it's like to watch him fail.
She said he doesn't react the way normal people react. When a rocket explodes, most people in the room go silent. Some cry. Some start calculating the financial damage.
Musk pulls out his phone and starts making calls. Not emotional calls. Engineering calls. "What failed. When can we fix it. When's the next launch." His voice doesn't change. His face doesn't change. The rocket that just cost $60 million is already in the past. The next one is all that exists.
She said it was the most unsettling thing she'd ever witnessed. Not because he was cold. Because he genuinely wasn't affected. The failure didn't register as failure. It registered as data. An experiment that produced results. Results that inform the next experiment.
This is why he wins. Not because he doesn't fail. He fails more spectacularly than anyone in history. He wins because failure occupies zero psychological space. It enters as data and exits as action.
Most people lose not because they fail but because they spend weeks processing the failure before acting again. Musk spends zero seconds. The gap between failure and next attempt is a phone call.
I am like inverse game theory I should be studied
Game theory pretty much proves that the long game is not a strategy most people can execute at all. That's because it tends to require a negative short-term position in exchange for a real advantage later. Most people cannot commit to this because their threat-detection system reads current loss as an existential failure. And that's vicious short-sightedness. It leads them to optimize for visible progress and sacrifice their real position. The people who constantly win rarely have better information. Instead, they accept that losing now will pay off later. Never quit a game before it starts.
yup- I guess since our govs will never hold anyone accountable on it, we just going to have to start piggy backing 😅
Replying to @KobeissiLetter
Let me explain what just happened.
$920 MILLION in oil shorts placed 70 minutes before a “deal” headline hits.
No news. No leaks. No signals.
Just a massive, precision trade at 3:40 AM.
Then the story drops.
Oil crashes 12%.
Those positions print $125 million.
Minutes later, geopolitics flips again, oil rips back +8%.
You don’t place nearly a billion dollars in shorts in the dead of night on a guess.
You place it when you know what’s coming.
This is the same playbook:-
position → headline → price → exit.
And every time, it’s called “market movement.”
Retail reacts to the news.
Insiders trade the event.
By the time you see the chart, the money is already made.
This isn’t inefficiency.
It’s access.
And it keeps happening.
Nobody gets charged.
By tomorrow, this will be buried under the next headline. Just like last time. And the time before that. The game is rigged.
The insiders pull the strings and win over and over.
And they’re not even trying to hide it anymore.
very true
Polymarket fixed ghost fills which is good.
But the market is still getting farmed in one of the most obvious ways possible.
Settlement manipulation on short-term markets (especially BTC 5min) is still wide open.
If you’re actually trading these markets, you’ve seen it:
- Traders build large positions
- Then move BTC (usually via Binance) in the final seconds
- Settlement follows that move
- They cash out, liquidity providers get run over
This isn’t edge-case behavior, it’s consistent and repeatable.
And at this point, more money has been made by manipulators running this play than by actual traders providing real liquidity. They are extracting well above 50k a day in btc 5min alone.
The result:
- Liquidity disappears near settlement
- Serious market makers turn off during these windows
- Retail sees random last-second flips and loses trust
- Market quality degrades
Weekends and low-liquidity periods are especially bad, sometimes borderline untradeable.
One important point here:
Polymarket already uses Chainlink for settlement, which aggregates multiple price feeds.
But in practice, that aggregation is still heavily dominated by Binance, and Binance leads most venues. If you can move Binance a few bips at the right moment, the rest follows. That’s exactly what’s being exploited.
So while the oracle design sounds robust in theory, in reality it’s still very gameable in short time windows.
To be clear: this is a hard problem.
But it’s also a very visible one, and there’s been little real acknowledgment or discussion around it.
There are ways to mitigate it:
- Investigate and ban clearly linked manipulation clusters (many are trackable on-chain)
- Work with active traders already monitoring this behavior
- Adjust settlement (e.g. short time-weighted averages instead of single-tick pricing)
- Reduce reliance on any single venue dominating price feeds
On time-weighted averages specifically:
Retail often pushes back on this, but I haven’t heard a strong argument for why a short averaging window (e.g. last 30–60s) would be worse than a system that can be flipped in the final seconds.
Right now, the current design is clearly exploitable.
None of these fixes are perfect, but doing nothing isn’t neutral, it actively pushes liquidity out.
And that’s the real issue:
You can’t build durable markets if the participants providing liquidity are structurally at a disadvantage.
I’ve personally tracked multiple large clusters of accounts running this strategy, including linked funding, coordinated behavior, and PnL data.
Happy to share data, examples, and work through potential solutions if the team is open to engaging on this.
@devjoshstevens @mustafap0ly @kakujain @PolymarketDevs @Polymarket
Beard💈 retweeted
Polymarket fixed ghost fills which is good.
But the market is still getting farmed in one of the most obvious ways possible.
Settlement manipulation on short-term markets (especially BTC 5min) is still wide open.
If you’re actually trading these markets, you’ve seen it:
- Traders build large positions
- Then move BTC (usually via Binance) in the final seconds
- Settlement follows that move
- They cash out, liquidity providers get run over
This isn’t edge-case behavior, it’s consistent and repeatable.
And at this point, more money has been made by manipulators running this play than by actual traders providing real liquidity. They are extracting well above 50k a day in btc 5min alone.
The result:
- Liquidity disappears near settlement
- Serious market makers turn off during these windows
- Retail sees random last-second flips and loses trust
- Market quality degrades
Weekends and low-liquidity periods are especially bad, sometimes borderline untradeable.
One important point here:
Polymarket already uses Chainlink for settlement, which aggregates multiple price feeds.
But in practice, that aggregation is still heavily dominated by Binance, and Binance leads most venues. If you can move Binance a few bips at the right moment, the rest follows. That’s exactly what’s being exploited.
So while the oracle design sounds robust in theory, in reality it’s still very gameable in short time windows.
To be clear: this is a hard problem.
But it’s also a very visible one, and there’s been little real acknowledgment or discussion around it.
There are ways to mitigate it:
- Investigate and ban clearly linked manipulation clusters (many are trackable on-chain)
- Work with active traders already monitoring this behavior
- Adjust settlement (e.g. short time-weighted averages instead of single-tick pricing)
- Reduce reliance on any single venue dominating price feeds
On time-weighted averages specifically:
Retail often pushes back on this, but I haven’t heard a strong argument for why a short averaging window (e.g. last 30–60s) would be worse than a system that can be flipped in the final seconds.
Right now, the current design is clearly exploitable.
None of these fixes are perfect, but doing nothing isn’t neutral, it actively pushes liquidity out.
And that’s the real issue:
You can’t build durable markets if the participants providing liquidity are structurally at a disadvantage.
I’ve personally tracked multiple large clusters of accounts running this strategy, including linked funding, coordinated behavior, and PnL data.
Happy to share data, examples, and work through potential solutions if the team is open to engaging on this.
@devjoshstevens @mustafap0ly @kakujain @PolymarketDevs @Polymarket
Do you remember when you joined X? I do! #MyXAnniversary
I didn’t actually it just forced me to do this.
Yup it became unusable for me. 😭
I’ve been one of the biggest market makers on Polymarket for a long time. At peak I was doing $10M+ daily volume and paying thousands in fees every single day.
The current state is the worst the platform has ever felt.
Ghost fills still everywhere. Markets constantly breaking. Payouts randomly missing. Exploits going on for months while the team says “it’s fixed”. You spend more time defending against bugs than actually trading.
Meanwhile, communication is a joke.
They say “we’re listening” → ignore emails, ignore DMs.
They say “we’ll work with top users” → instead it’s random private Telegram groups with whoever shouts the loudest.
They say “issue fixed” → it clearly isn’t.
At some point you stop believing anything they say.
The fee situation is another one. If you’re generating serious volume and paying serious fees (thousands a day), most exchanges shower you with attention and perks. I'm not asking for that but would be nice to at least be acknowledged that you exist and have basic communication, especially after they've announced publicly multiple times that they will start doing this.
Instead we got a week-long hype campaign for a “big update” that turned out to be… a hidden fee increase.
How dumb do you think your users are?
And then stuff like April 5th, missed referral/rebate payments, no announcement, no explanation, nothing. Just silence. That’s not a bug, that’s trust damage.
The bigger issue is it feels like nobody on the team has actual trading experience. The design decisions show it. Every update introduces new edge cases, new exploits, new ways to break the order book.
People have made many millions exploiting this stuff. Many of these accounts are obvious, trackable, preventable. The community has been pointing it out for months.
Ignored.
Only now that the markets are borderline unusable does it seem like there’s urgency. Right now the platform is honestly close to untradeable:
– ghost fills
– manipulation
– unreliable payouts
– constant bugs
– zero transparency
And surprise, volume is dropping.
Meanwhile Kalshi is catching up fast (have basically overtaken in volume in almost every category except for politics) and Hyperliquid is entering with a team that actually understands trading systems.
I want Polymarket to succeed.
And yes, maybe the upcoming ghost fill fix helps. But if this pattern continues, terrible communication, fake timelines, ignoring core users, then this won’t be a place serious traders stick around.
You can’t build a market while eroding the trust of the people who provide the liquidity, especially not as a many multi billion dollar company! I have spoken to many large polymarket whales (of which a considerable amount have already given up on the platform) and they all share this sentiment.
@Polymarket @mustafap0ly @SuhailKakar @_kanarazu_
Beard💈 retweeted
The plot twist of all plot twists is that your life gets exponentially better as soon as you stop giving a fuck. And not in the cold, heartless, not giving a fuck way. But in the way that you remain so unattached to the outcome that nothing can shake you. You are going to be good no matter what happens. It’s this sort of peace that surpasses understanding that can only be found via unshakable faith. This applies to every aspect of your life. Love career relationships money health.
You give it your best shot. You try your damn hardest. You leave everything on the table. But you stay unattached. Whatever happens, happens. You flow through life and life flows through you.


















