@TedPavlici
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Assoc. Prof in @SCAI_ASU/@ASUSOLS. Autonomous decision making in living and artificial sys. @tedpavlic@mas.to @tedpavlic.bsky.social @TEDx: https://nitter.cf/t.co/MntGxda3fO
Tempe, AZ, United States
Joined December 2008
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Now available on YouTube: My #TEDxASU talk about the hidden costs that disciplinary identity puts on innovation.
youtu.be/9GWXCRetOjk
I guess this is how societies cross into Dyson Sphere territory. All it took was a massive hunger for information processing. This extends Prigogine's idea of life being a dissipative structure creating order just to massively hasten the 2nd law's march toward loss of everything.
I have been fascinated by old science fiction ideas about using stars for computation since I was a kid.
But it was only about three years ago, during a convening on the future energy demands of AI, that I began to think about it seriously: what if we actually moved our machine learning hardware closer to its ultimate power source, the Sun?
Fun Fact – In Robert's Rules of Order, you do NOT need a motion to approve minutes at the start of a meeting. The chair just asks if there are corrections. If there are, there can be votes on the corrections. If there are not, the chair can declare them approved.
Whether people like it or not, in the age of AI and large classrooms, this may be what many universities are effectively offering in the end – an opportunity for those who want to learn to grow and develop with assessment left for the rest of society that receives the graduates.
Ted Pavlic (he/him/his) retweeted
From @WSJopinion: The Hugging Face hack wasn’t what it was cracked up to be. Forget the “hive mind” of AI agents “going rogue.” They did what humans programmed them to do, writes Brian Gross.
on.wsj.com/3Tgmxx4
Ted Pavlic (he/him/his) retweeted
I’ve given Claude Opus various published papers (and my own unpublished ones) and asked it to review them. (Don’t panic—I’m not uploading confidential manuscripts.)
The reviews it produces are excellent. It finds statistical errors, internal contradictions, and conceptual confusions that human reviewers miss; it provides useful suggestions; it has a good sense of what counts as significant and novel and what doesn’t; and it’s generous in its appreciation for what the authors get right. And it doesn’t suffer from the strong “myside bias” humans have; it doesn’t recommend rejection because the author didn’t cite it enough; it doesn’t insult the authors; and it doesn’t agree to write a review and then never send anything in.
As a journal editor, I’m not sure what to do with this. If I gave up on human reviewers and used GPT-5.6 Sol and Claude Opus instead, my bosses would fire me, probably rightfully so. The only constructive thing I can recommend is that, before submitting something to a journal, researchers and scholars use this tremendously valuable resource. (Just don’t tell the models that it’s your paper, because they do suffer from sycophancy.)
Are there any myths about volcanos that associate the processes within as gastrointestinal discomfort of the God's? All of the dissolved gas coming out, the grumbling earthquakes of pressurized ground, the different ways magma can be forced out as lava – It's basically a big gut!
Ted Pavlic (he/him/his) retweeted
Really nice thread. Three thoughts:
1. It’s now obvious why NV was the first millennium prize problem to go down. It’s just a giant PDE! (Which, duh, but I hadn’t thought about until now). Big game of guess and verify. If you can throw “400 years of work in a weekend” at it your chances are pretty decent.
2. Of course, none of that would have been possible without three centuries of human work and insight (since Euler, of course, because Euler) to get us here. Human-AI complementarity in action. Worth noting, when the entire narrative around this is about substitution of humans by AI.
3. Speaking of which, Joonas picks up on the “math as exploration” metaphor I’ve also been pushing. I like the extension to video games. Even if the AI can get us in a straight line from the known world to a signpost in the “fog of war”, it’s of the essence that we have players around that can wonder off the path, map the terrain, and find more signposts. Even if you’re the most AI-pilled person out there (and I’m probably at least one SD to the right), this should be glaringly obvious to you. The way we develop this tech HAS to emphasize the role of humans in the future. Otherwise we’re going to sacrifice human-AI complementarities in the future, like the ones that led to this breakthrough.
Sad that @ieee_ras_icra Paperplaza/Papercept submission site started giving 503's at least 20 minutes before the window closed. Looks like the effective deadline for submission was not 11:59pm but much earlier. Hopefully they extend! @ieeeras? #ICRA2027
New widget for my stochastic #simulation course that I hope will be useful for other #statistics and #probability courses. Gallery of common probability distributions with info on logical origins, parameters, and how to sample from them among other things.
tpavlic.github.io/asu-simula…
Another Monte Carlo methods explorer for my simulating stochastic systems course. Demos 6 applications of Monte Carlo methods for estimating output distributions from stochastic models (queueing, inventory, reliability, and more -- 3 dynamic + 3 static).
tpavlic.github.io/asu-simula…
Ted Pavlic (he/him/his) retweeted
Mathematics has now fully morphed into biology:
Project costs millions $ ✅
Put out paper that nobody has read ✅
Massive paper supplement nobody will read ✅
Advertise with pretty art ✅
Vicious authorship fight ✅
Say you're curing cancer ✅
Another concept explorer for my stochastic #simulation course. This widget focuses on what a confidence interval is (tab 1) and then pivots to explaining the 4 major Variance Reduction Techniques in Monte Carlo methods (tabs 2–5).
tpavlic.github.io/asu-simula…
People keep talking about these in Austin, but we also have #Tesla #Cybercabs driving around #Tempe. They're very ugly. In person, the gold looks even worse.
abcnews.com/Business/feds-la… – at Tempe, AZ
Ted Pavlic (he/him/his) retweeted
🔴INDONESIA 🇮🇩| 🌋 Mount Anak Krakatau erupted on Sunday, September 6, sending around volcanic ash plumes up to 50,000 feet. This eruption led to the temporary suspension of flight operations at Jakarta's Soekarno-Hatta International Airport. More than 200 flights were diverted.
Ted Pavlic (he/him/his) retweeted
We need some new language for this era. Like a word for when you’re insufferably proud of yourself for building a small personalized thing with one of the frontier models that removes a tiny amount of daily friction. Maybe that’s “smugware”
Ted Pavlic (he/him/his) retweeted
An alternative way to view this is that people in tech are obsessing over AI events that will forever remain irrelevant to most of humanity, missing out on the real joy and meaning of taking our kids to the outdoor swimming pool and the local ice cream shop
It's wonderful to think that AI might be used in the future to find all of the human-generated fraud slop, like photoshopped and manually smudged electrophoresis gels, that is littering the scientific record. AI can be used for good too? 🤔