my setup is pretty much on autopilot now:
• Automating weekend RWA perps over on @kototrade so I can actually touch grass
• Raking in the extra Arcus points (for rwa) in the background
Arcus perps fee update - effective Friday, Oct 23.
Tier thresholds are halved. RWA fees are unchanged, and crypto perps return to standard rates. Spot remains unchanged.
Full details ↓
arcus.xyz/blog/updated-fee-s…
There’s roughly $10B in short liquidity around $88.5K on $BTC, right at the key zone I’ve been calling out for weeks in the massive monthly supply range.
If we sweep the lows for that liquidity, I’m adding to my long. First swing target: $89K, then hopefully $93K–$94K.
This range looks a lot like September. In an uptrend, price often sweeps the range lows before pushing to new highs.
Not saying it has to repeat, but I’m watching if white support gets tested again. The first reaction to that sweep looks short-term bullish to me.
$BTC
Wild setup. Extreme fear across the board, VIX ripping, AI getting smoked while defensives and energy hold up. S&P 500 is still just 2.5% off the highs. Looks like a rotation as the AI trade got way too crowded. $SPX
$BTC 4H update: retest and rejection ✅
Still holding my long from 81.8K. Expecting more chop. PA looks constructive, but we’re not out of the woods yet.
Good to see 81.5K–82.5K holding. We’ll likely keep testing it, so we need to see strong rejections
$BTC 4H update.
Got the retest, just like we expected
When #Bitcoin hits resistance or dips into support, check your emotions. You’ll start spotting the same feelings all over CT.
A few days ago, BTC looked ready to break higher. Everyone was euphoric, aping into longs.
Bears were calling for a much deeper dump
$BTC 4H setup
Bitcoin reclaimed the channel fast and is back above the 200 SMA.
If it retests and gets rejected, we’re probably heading back to $86K.
Seeing a lot of #GOLD posts calling a lower low inevitable. I wouldn’t rush
After a parabolic run, Gold needs time to reset before the next leg. A lower low has been on my radar
How this week’s candles react here should tell us a lot. I’m expecting a $4,000–$4,300
They tell me to be careful because #Bitcoin can dump in the blink of an eye.
True. But in a downtrend, it can rip just as fast. And when it dumps, it can bounce back almost instantly 👇
Bitcoin
The path to 2025 highs is looking clear.
Who else is strapped in?
$BTC
Bitcoin
Covid broke the bears' brains. They're still waiting for another 2020-style crash.
But that was a freak event: two crises (repo Sept '19, Covid March '20) in six months.
Another panic soon? Maybe. The Fed/Treasury are now hyper-focused on keeping the system liquid.















