Conservative. Believer in liberty, Almighty God, and small government. Truster in polls and God’s plan. Lover of Buc-ee’s. Texan. Catholic 🇻🇦✝️

Texas, USA
Joined July 2026
Sultan Santis retweeted
Denton and Collin Counties posted their rosters. It’s definitely worth pointing out that’s despite the big numbers, only 3% of the votes cast in both counties came from people with no previous election history. #txlege
Collin and Denton County are in for the first day. Prior primary voters swung 19.2 points toward Democrats. This is the first meaningful partisan interpretation of the in person early voting.
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Sultan Santis retweeted
Voted all red in Comal County today! The line was as long as it was when we voted for Pres Trump in 2024. This is a very red county!! #VoteRed #kenpaxton
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Sultan Santis retweeted
What to watch as early voting numbers roll in? Swing counties: The real story is a handful of counties where both parties can genuinely win — sometimes in the same election, on the same ballot. Here's the 2026 Texas swing map. 🧵
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Sultan Santis retweeted
Harris County just broke its record for the first day of early voting in a midterm. Houston is showing up. Midland, Odessa, the Eagle Ford: your paycheck is on this ballot. Check your county's hours and vote through Oct 30.
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Sultan Santis retweeted
My Nevada model: Lombardo +1.07 on Oct 18, +1.04 today. A rural GOP surge and gains at urban polls are being offset by bluer Clark mail. The shaky assumption: GOP mail recovery still lies ahead. Without it, Lombardo's projected lead nearly disappears.
Just what you were looking for: some Twitter rando's (me) Nevada projection! I'm forecasting Lombardo by about a point. GOP catchup arrives partly by mail, Washoe stays bluer than 2022, and Election Day nudges him over the line.
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Sultan Santis retweeted
Looks like the same trend is also seen in NC. Democrats front-load all of their crazy high propensity voters on the first few days and are slowly collapsing as republicans gradually gain and are in it for the long game.
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You people are on absolute crack squared. You’re comparing primary participation flags on one day of EV vs final post Election Day flags from two elections where R primary voters outnumbered Dems by 40% I hope no one pays you for this
Collin and Denton County are in for the first day. Prior primary voters swung 19.2 points toward Democrats. This is the first meaningful partisan interpretation of the in person early voting.
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Sultan Santis retweeted
Replying to @TonerousHyus
There are 10 more days to vote, anyone can win this. This, by itself, is not an indicator if it doesn’t get repeated. Texas doesn’t have party registration so it is already difficult and not so accurate to interpret the data. But primary voters implied the winner and margin pretty accurately in 2020, 2022, and 2024. Just because it is showing a swing, we cannot disregard it. Will it change? Absolutely.
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Sultan Santis retweeted
Looks like Trump is putting the finishing touch on Texas next Tuesday with a dual rally. Both Lubbock (Trump +39) and McLennan (Trump +31) are deep red counties. The rallies will definitely draw out all the low propensity GOP voters for Paxton.
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Sultan Santis retweeted
The shocking revelation for some that after spending a billion dollars on political ads that we have increased voter turnout in Texas.
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Sultan Santis retweeted
Dems have an initial burst. The TDS vote goes out there and then the next day it’s like a steel chair shot to the back of the head.
🚨 JUST IN: Republicans now lead Nevada early voting overall and are ahead today by +12 POINTS Today in person: 🔴 R+11.9 Total in person: 🔴 R+1.3 It looks like the GOP in Nevada has picked up momentum after Dems' initial burst. KEEP IT GOING!
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Sultan Santis retweeted
I Voted Today! - Poll was BUSY! Had to park two businesses down. - Poll workers were great. Was asked for ID 3 times. 👍 - Didn't have to wait more than a couple of minutes. How did I vote? I'll let you guess: I'm the father of a daughter. Nobody's daughter should have to worry about boys in their bathrooms or sporting competitions. I'm tired of courts setting repeat offenders free. Harris County already raised taxes without citizen input. I'm not giving them permission to raise them even more.
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Sultan Santis retweeted
I stood in line an hour and voted early today because this is the most important election in my lifetime as a Texas Republican. Vote early, be counted, and help us focus on turning out lower propensity Republican voters with the resources we have! #txlege
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Thank you to everyone who has voted. We will need all hands on deck and for everyone to exercise their right to vote.
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Just voted straight down the ticket Republican for the first time ever. I feel like the DFL didn’t give me a choice. They’ve made it clear they care more about defending illegal aliens that have committed crimes than their own citizens. They’ve also made it clear they will support Somalis that commit crimes rather than hold them accountable. They’ve also made have changed the school curriculum to be so far left I have to pay for private school. And they have made it clear they care more about benefiting financially through committing fraud than protecting the citizens of their state. For all of these reasons, I voted Republican today. #SaveMinnesota
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Sultan Santis retweeted
Mr. Snark and I voted straight Republican ticket after work. The lines were long for my solid Red, West Central TX polling station at the courthouse. We waited for about 45 minutes to vote. When we got to the front of the line, an election official stepped into the hallway to gauge the line and he said to me, “Man, y’all haven’t let up all day. Can you at least give us a break and come in stages?” 🤣 Felt damned good to vote for Ken Paxton!! cc: @ScottPresler
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Sultan Santis retweeted
Knocked out the early voting today in Texas...keepin' it RED!!!
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Sultan Santis retweeted
Just voted straight Republican; I’ve never seen a busier polling station-in Houston Texas where we are all RED!
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Sultan Santis retweeted
TEXAS: Make a plan to vote early starting today up until October 30th. Or if you can’t vote early in person, please make a plan to vote on November 3rd, 2026. Vote RED up and down the ballot. It’s show time. @GregAbbott_TX @KenPaxtonTX @mayes_middleton
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Sultan Santis retweeted
Long line at early voting in my deep red town.
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