@StankBets
Account based inDenmark!
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JENOVA Shall Lead Me To The Promised Land in search of black materia to perfect my model
Joined March 2026
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Officially been 4 weeks since I started betting with JENOVA RESURRECTED. (3rd week was 12574 profit)
It's going up, but definitely not at the pace I want, and although I think I've made good progress, I still feel there are too many problems with the model for me to spend so much time for a bit of profit. So I will go back to the drawingboard, and see if I can fix what I believe to be incorrect predictions.
I think the last couple of days of Demacia is a prime example of how priors for these events are just too high variance. KT could have the best drafts ever, and it would still be -EV to bet on them today against BFX. Crazy stuff
BRO - LGD Map 3: Looks like I am against the market for once! It's been a while lol! I see why, Top/Mid/Jng look hard early
It's actually interesting how many Ashe/Seraphine comps that have lost lately. And in every single case it's because the team does not prioritize getting gold on the Ashe. You can be down 5k, if Ashe is at parity or ahead of enemy ADC, you're winning. But the second she falls severely behind, you're just gonna get mowed down.
