Senior Researcher for #NBA teams since '12. Intel Analyst. PECASE, CAREER, and ODNI Medallion Recipient. Prev: ORL, HOU, League Office.
Charlotte, NC
Joined December 2014
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1993: Doug Collin's #NBA "Adjusted Field Goal Percentage" where you take an extra "half field goal" for made three pointers to get their percentages to "reflect what they're really doing out on the floor."
That's (2PM + 1.5*3PM)/FGA. #Analytics
If you see a semi truck in Richmond Virginia with license plate BE 62081, just know he hit a car on I-64 west from Williamsburg? I witnessed them intentionally hitting a car and pushing them off the road, and then fleeing towards Richmond
Testing out a new model that does dynamic learning of players…
Here’s an initial Top 70 from 1985-96 #NBA data.
Rain delay for the @smokiesbaseball almost over. I have four more tickets at will call that hasn’t been claimed. Come check out the game if you’d like! (PM me for tickets)
The additions of Eddie Johnson and Ricky Pierce helped reshape a Sonics team that was in disarray following, what Gary Payton called, a card game gone sideways (and more) between Xavier McDaniel and Dale Ellis.
The Sonics turned from middling into a contender after the trades.
Tinkering with the wordpress CSS options. How does this look: squared2020.com/2026/04/21/t…
#NBA #Analytics #DetroitPistons #BadBoys
Happy Easter!
Updated 1985-1996 #NBA RAPM. Here's the current Top 50.
George Clooney hanging out at a Lakers #NBA game in April 1989. Chick Hearn makes no notice...
JE demonstrates how to incorporate priors for RAPM. One of the tricks I've used during my years on pro teams has been to do this similarly using tracking data metrics.
Check out this post to see how to build these types of priors carefully -- even when there's no closed form.
In the more technical part 2 of our series on APM I share state-of-the-art tips and tricks -- which I've learned while working for two NBA teams -- on how to
- implement priors
- better handle penalization
- easily compute standard errors
roycewebb.com/p/nba-adjusted…
Updated my #NBA RAPM and RAPM supplemental pages!
Up to well over 2,000 games and 400,000 possessions.
#Analytics
RAPM Page: squared2020.com/2025/01/26/h…
Supplemental Page: squared2020.com/2025/06/01/s…
I was asked recently how does #NBA RAPM data compare the 1980's players. So I ran it on the partial data I have. Some of the players makes sense.
But there's a long way to go. Data is only from games during the 1980 through 1989 seasons.
I've gone through 66 complete games of Eddie Johnson between 1989 and 1991, including constructing analytics on his shot data and performance.
He could most definitely put up 30 in 25 minutes. His efficiency in a non-spacing era like 1989 was top tier.