@SquareEdgeMike

#3 Most Accurate Fantasy Expert 2025 (@FantasyPros) | Helping squares find an edge in fantasy & betting | FanDuel WFFC 2016 finalist | Former @The33rdTeamFB

Joined July 2022
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Rams have Matthew Stafford. Rams have Puka Nacua. Rams have Davante Adams. Rams have Aaron Donald. Rams have Kyren Williams. Rams have Trent McDuffie. Rams have Sean McVay. Rams have Nate Landman. But the Bills have Josh Allen.
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And now 21! The first ever 16-game NFL week where each point differential was unique!
Lee Sharpe@LeeSharpeNFLSep 14
Each game so far this week was won by a different number of points: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 12, 13, 14, 17, 18, 20, 22, and 24.
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Replying to @RotoSurgeon
With all of the fantasy football and gambling money on the line from fans (not to mention league-sanctioned gambling sponsorships), the @NFL should take injury reporting way more seriously. Start mandating timely and accurate reports, and threaten draft picks for non-compliance.
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Spent the week refining the situational pace assumptions and target share distributions in my NFL projection model. Always encouraging to see an accurate result: ​Jaxon Smith-Njigba (tgts-rec-yds) - Projected: 12.0-7.8-121.4 - Actual: 11-8-122
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Draft Chris Rodriguez at RB45. In 2025 he posted +0.70 RYOE/att (13th), 3.46 YAC/att (8th), an 8.5% explosive run rate, & 11.3% broken tackle rate. JAX gave him $10M to reunite with HC Liam Coen on an ascendant offense. He is a 2022-Jamaal-Williams-esque RB at pick 140.
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Is your team's offensive playcaller making the right decisions? The film and data geniuses at @FantasyPtsData have uncovered six efficiency "hacks" that the NFL doesn't use enough. At the end, we grade and rank every qualifying playcaller since 2021: fantasypoints.com/nfl/articl…

How to Be an Elite Playcaller: NFL Efficiency Hacks

Ryan Heath uses the Fantasy Points Data Suite to find the six biggest hacks for NFL offensive coordinators, including what plays to call and when to call them.

fantasypoints.com
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A lot of NFL Survivor strategy (and advice) is built around “common rules” that sound logical: Avoid division games. Don’t take road teams. Always deploy the best team on the board. Play it safe early. Stick to your preseason plan. The problem? The data doesn’t support many of them. Here are 5 Survivor myths that can cost you value:
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Mike retweeted
Kyle
@KyleM_FFAug 27
I've been living in the @FantasyPtsData suite nearly every day this offseason, finding metrics that actually matter 🤓 Here are my 3 favorite "Dank Stats" for each of my Top-50 Players! fantasypoints.com/nfl/articl…

2026 Top-50 Fantasy Football Rankings: Killer Stats to Know

Kyle Menton offers up three key statistics for each of the top 50 players in 2026 fantasy football redraft leagues to explain if they are targets or fades.

fantasypoints.com
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Top-24 drafted RBs missed 43 total games in 2025 compared to the 10-year average of 78. Yr/Yr games played has no correlation (r² = 0.0015). Injury rates are highest for RB, and will regress to the mean, so "Bully-RB" builds may not be the high-upside strategy that many expect.
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SF TE Jake Tonges is free at TE40, and the market is sleeping on him. Avgs in 6 starts w/o Kittle: • 6.3 tgts • 4.8 rec • 44.8 yds • 0.5 TD • ~11 PPG (108-82-762-8.5 pace, TE8) $5.5M gtd, 0 drops, and a 74.4 PFF run-block grade (TE5). The substation is decimating SF WRs.
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Why Kittle's injury makes Tonges a draft target: • Avg NFL Achilles return: 11 mos (15% re-tear risk) • Yr-1 efficiency drop: 20-30% • SF runs 12/22 personnel at ~20% rate (expect higher) Even if Kittle is active, Tonges has standalone value. TE sleeper. Free Rd 18 leverage.
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Worried about Underdog news. I enjoyed the old DRAFT app before it got bought out then folded into FanDuel. This IG deal is likely to accelerate UD ditching fantasy innovation for prediction markets & props. Hope the core product doesn't get (more) sidelined. Viva la Best Ball!
Underdog Comms
@UnderdogCommsJul 30
IG Group Holdings plc announces that it has agreed to acquire Underdog! Underdog CEO @JerLevine: “With our own exchange and by joining IG Group, we're going to take an incredible leap in what we can offer customers, and make Underdog the place to make predictions on sports, and beyond. IG Group’s scale, expertise, resources and reach are going to unlock our potential, expand what we've built, and bring our products to more audiences.” Press release here: iggroup.com/~/media/Files/I/…
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FantasyPros #3 expert in 2025 draft rankings accuracy. Thanks in part to being top-5 in RB rankings, top-20 in QB rankings, and top-30 in WR rankings. To quote our fearless leader, #17 Mr. Joshua Patrick Allen: Be good, do good, God Bless, and Go Bills. #BillsMafia
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xitter.cf/i/status/2076751163589…
FantasyPros
@FantasyProsJul 13
🚨 2025 Fantasy Expert Draft Accuracy Winners 🚨 🥇 @crossroadsffp 🥈 @F_Futebolista 🥉 @SquareEdgeMike 4. @ConsultFantasy 5. @mshannep 6. @thejoeywright 7. @TheFantasyFive 8. @FantasyWrath13 9. @JodySmithNFL 10. @Tim_Heaney FULL RANKINGS: fantasypros.com/2026/07/2025…

Most Accurate Fantasy Football Draft Rankings | 2025 Top Experts

Rankings are important. But what rankings are good? Which are the most accurate fantasy football draft rankings?

fantasypros.com
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🚨 2025 Fantasy Expert Draft Accuracy Winners 🚨 🥇 @crossroadsffp 🥈 @F_Futebolista 🥉 @SquareEdgeMike 4. @ConsultFantasy 5. @mshannep 6. @thejoeywright 7. @TheFantasyFive 8. @FantasyWrath13 9. @JodySmithNFL 10. @Tim_Heaney FULL RANKINGS: fantasypros.com/2026/07/2025…

Most Accurate Fantasy Football Draft Rankings | 2025 Top Experts

Rankings are important. But what rankings are good? Which are the most accurate fantasy football draft rankings?

fantasypros.com
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Playoff wins at MetLife Stadium Giants: 1 Norway: 1 Jets: 0
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There is no clearer sign that Terry Pegula has no idea what he’s doing than what we saw him do today To fire the head coach and not the GM who destroyed the roster is one of the most mind boggling moves ever
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Since 2020, the #Bills lead the NFL in: TDs: 351 (319 - DET) Wins: 73 (72 - KC) Pts scored: 2896 (2722 - DAL) Pts allowed: 1994 (2043 - KC) Pt. Differential: 902 (581 - BAL) 3rd Down %: 47.4% (46.4% - KC) Total Yards: 38065 (37669 - SF) Total Yards allowed: 31394 (31757 - SF)
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this tush push increased the Bills win probability from 27% to 77%! making it the single most valuable (+50% win probability increase) QB sneak in history, per @NextGenStats 🔥🔥
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