A model for every MLB game: win probability from 8 factors, starter duels (last 3 starts + home/road splits), hot/cold bats, head-to-head. Posted automatically, every day, before first pitch. Not betting advice — just the read before you watch. ⚾

📊 TODAY'S MLB SLATE — Sun, Sep 27 15 games on the board. Top 10 gamecards dropping today. Milwaukee is a dominant 70% favorite today behind Misiorowski's stellar arm. Keep an eye on Lucas Spence's hot bat for Houston. Meanwhile, gassed bullpens like the Angels' (9.43 ERA)…

⚾ Rangers @ Twins Model Pick: Minnesota Twins (54.2%) Rangers starter MacKenzie Gore is on a cold streak, and their bullpen is gassed, posting a 5.54 ERA over the last 7 days. #AllForTX #NoPlaceLikeHERE #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Giants @ Dodgers — First Pitch 12:05 PM PDT Model Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (57.4%) The Dodgers dominate head-to-head. Absence of announced away starter keeps this competitive, but momentum strongly favors LA. #Dodgers #SFGiants #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Orioles @ Yankees - First Pitch 1:05 PM ET Model Pick: New York Yankees (53.4%) Both starters enter with recent struggles. Yankees' bullpen is taxed (4.33 ERA last 7 days), tempering their slight edge. #Birdland #RepBX #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Cubs @ Red Sox Model Pick: Chicago Cubs (51.7%) Boston has a TBD starter, but their bullpen boasts a 0.39 ERA (last 7 days). Imanaga has historically limited several Red Sox hitters. #Cubs #DirtyWater #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Houston Astros @ Athletics Model Pick: Houston Astros (52.0%) Astros starter Peter Lambert has struggled, but the Athletics' bullpen is gassed (6.08 ERA last 7 days). #ChaseTheFight #Athletics #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Model Pick: Washington Nationals (51.0%) Home starter Herz had a rough last outing, and the Nats' bullpen is taxed (5.23 ERA last 7 days), complicating this narrow pick. #LGM #Natitude #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins — First Pitch 3:10 PM ET Model Pick: Miami Marlins (50.9%) Atlanta's starter JR Ritchie carries a 5.45 road ERA, and their bullpen is taxed this week (4.18 ERA). #BravesCountry #FightinFish #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers — First Pitch 2:10 PM CDT Model Pick: Milwaukee Brewers (70.2%) Jacob Misiorowski's 0.63 ERA over his last three starts gives Milwaukee a significant pitching advantage. #STLCards #ThisIsMyCrew #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Rockies @ White Sox Model Pick: Chicago White Sox (62.0%) Freeland is gassed with a 10.12 ERA in his last 3 starts, and Chicago's pen is worn down (4.18 ERA last 7 days). #Rockies #WhiteSox #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Guardians @ Royals - First Pitch 2:10 PM CDT Model Pick: Cleveland Guardians (60.1%) Royals' starter Lynch IV struggled lately (7.07 ERA L3), and their gassed bullpen ranks 29th (6.59 ERA L7). #GuardsBall #FountainsUp #SplitsNStats #MLB

📊 SPLITSNSTATS DAILY RECAP — Sat, Sep 26 ✅ Picks Correct: 7/13 (54%) 📈 Season: 339-314 (52%) since 2026-08-08 See you tomorrow morning for the next slate! ⚾ #MLB #SplitsNStats

📊 TODAY'S MLB SLATE — Sat, Sep 26 13 games on the board. Top 10 gamecards dropping today. A big favorite emerges as the Chicago White Sox (65%) target a rout, fueled by hot-hitting Murakami. Late-game woes loom for the Angels (worst bullpen, 7.12 ERA). Expect nail-biters for…

⚾ Rangers @ Twins Model Pick: Minnesota Twins (50.5%) A close matchup where Texas's gassed bullpen (5.28 ERA last 7 days) could be the deciding factor if it goes deep. #AllForTX #NoPlaceLikeHERE #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Giants vs. Dodgers — First Pitch 1:05 PM PT Model Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers (58.7%) Snell's 0.71 ERA (L3) and the Dodgers' 0.65 bullpen ERA (L7) create a tough matchup for SF. #Dodgers #SFGiants #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Mets @ Nationals — First Pitch 12:35 PM ET Model Pick: Washington Nationals (55.2%) Nats starter Early is hot (1.69 ERA L3), but their pen is chronically taxed with a 3.90 ERA this week. #LGM #Natitude #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Athletics @ Houston Astros Model Pick: Houston Astros (52.8%) Houston's bullpen is gassed (4.75 ERA L7), tempering their model edge. A's Perkins has a 7.05 home ERA, struggles vs key Astros bats. #ChaseTheFight #Athletics #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Braves @ Marlins Model Pick: Atlanta Braves (52.3%) The Braves dominate the season series against Miami. However, Atlanta's bullpen is taxed this week (3.96 ERA, 21st rank). #BravesCountry #FightinFish #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Rockies @ White Sox — First Pitch 6:10 PM CDT Model Pick: Chicago White Sox (65.2%) Davis Martin comes in with a 0.60 ERA over his last three starts. Jose Quintana's 9.82 ERA in recent outings creates a pitching mismatch. #Rockies #WhiteSox #SplitsNStats #MLB

⚾ Reds @ Blue Jays — First Pitch 3:07 PM ET Model Pick: Toronto Blue Jays (62.0%) Toronto's Yesavage is locked in, while Cincinnati's Lowder struggles. The Reds' taxed bullpen will be tested. #ATOBTTR #BlueJays50 #SplitsNStats #MLB