Emprendedor e Inversor. 💎 Viviendo en Lombok construyendo villas para alquiler turístico. 🏝️ +7 años en crypto 🧡

Joined September 2014
My monthly cost of living in Indonesia 🇮🇩 🏡 250€ rent for a villa 🥩 400€ food (Lunch & dinner at restaurants) 🛵 50€ bike rent 🏋️‍♂️ 70€ Gym + Recovery 🏥 50€ Insurance 🍺 100€ Other expenses (Bar, Clothes, Netflix...) Total: 920€ /month
My monthly cost of living in France 🇫🇷 🏠 1,400€ loan for the appartment 🥗 450€ food, organic only, with meat fish etc 📦 300€ average for various expenses (bars, orders, etc) ⚡160€ electricity + gaz 📱 45€ phone + internet 🚌 17€ average for transportation Total: 2,372€/month
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For all of you starting to farm $POLY now, don't believe all you see there. It's much easier to lose money than what people say. 🙃 I'l be giving back all the fees earned by me if you use my referral link. Comment or DM me if you are interested. 📥
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Read this if you want to wake up every morning here ☀️
Dubai real estate down 20%. 📉 Saturated market Crowded trade Less room for upside Oversupply risk That’s exactly why I prefer looking at Lombok right now.🌴 Earlier market, lower entry, growing tourism, and 13–17% projected ROI. Reply “Lombok” and I’ll send more info. 📩
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Wasnt it the best place to invest in the world? Better put your money in Lombok - Growing Market - Higher ROI - Not geopolitical dependent
BREAKING: Dubai real estate crashes 20% since last month.
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One of the most important Rules for Liquidty Reward in @Polymarket ✍️ Most Polymarket markets are binary: Will X happen before date Y? Example: “Will the US strike Iran before Feb 25?” Two sides: ✅YES — Strike happens ❌NO — Strike does not happen (Assume YES is trading at 20c and NO at 80c.) Instead of buying at market, you place limit bids. This is where the asymmetry appears. Theory: Time decay in event markets. Event markets have a natural time-based decay. If a specific event has not happened yet, its probability tends to decrease as the deadline approaches. So in many markets: YES prices often drift downward over time This drift is usually gradual and predictable. The side betting on the event is the one that tends toward 0. This creates a very specific dynamic for liquidity providers using bids. Case 1 — Bidding on YES (the event side) Suppose YES is at 20c and you place bids at 17c. Two things can happen: SCENARIO A — Nothing happens Time passes, no bombing occurs. YES slowly declines: 20c → 19c → 18c → 17c Your bids may get filled. Now you hold YES shares around 17c. Because the movement is typically smooth and time-driven, you can often sell around your entry price or slightly below. Losses are usually small and controllable. You also collect liquidity rewards while your bids sit in the book. SCENARIO B — The event happens The US bombs Iran. YES jumps instantly: 20c → 90c - 99c Your 15c bids never get touched. You receive no fills. The market moves without you. Result: No profit, but no loss. Being wrong means no execution, NOT CAPITAL DESTRUCTION. When bidding on the event side, the market moving against your assumption often means: Price goes up → your bids stay unfilled → capital stays safe This is a structural protection that comes from using limit orders on the side trending to 0. Losses occur mainly through slow decay fills, not sudden shocks. Case 2 — Bidding on NO (the non-event side) Now assume NO trades at 80c, and you place bids at 77c. Most of the time: NO stays stable or slowly rises. Your bids get filled. This feels safe. But the risk structure is different. SCENARIO A — Nothing happens NO stays high: 80c → 85c → 90c You might get filled or not and possible to profit slightly. Everything works normally. SCENARIO B — The event happens The US bombs Iran. NO shares collapses instantly: 80c → 5c - 0c Your filled bids become nearly worthless. Loss: Close to 100%. The key difference is what happens when you're wrong. ✅Bidding YES Wrong scenario: Price goes up. Orders don't fill No loss Losses only happen through gradual fills during decay. ❌Bidding NO Wrong scenario: Price collapses. Orders fill before or during collapse Full loss possible Always prefer the side where being wrong means not getting filled. In most Polymarket markets, that side is: The event-happens side — the side that trends toward 0. Why this works especially well for liquidity rewards. Liquidity rewards pay you for resting bids, not just filled trades. So the ideal situation is when your bids sit in the book & you earn rewards. And if price moves away = No fills = No losses This outcome happens naturally when bidding the event side. This is not an edge from prediction. It's an edge from RISK MANAGEMENT: Market structure + time decay + limit order behavior. What i want you to know with this post is if that if you are doing liquidity rewards you should focush on that. You are not trying to get profits by buyinf cheaper and selling 1c over. All you need to have in your mind is to exposse your bank to almos 0 risk. Long term is the only way of being profitable in LPing Polymarket. You dont know when is $POLY dropping and probably is not soon. You need to save your balance the longer as possible. This is a long distance run, dont try to sprint your rewards in 1 week risking all your portfolio.
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Massive W for the LP community in @Polymarket This content will be valued 6-7 figures once $POLY is out, note that. ✍️
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🚨NEW: Polymarkets Adds Sponsored Rewards to Liquidity Rewards Section. If you want to start with $POLY farming it's the best time to learn & focush on being a market maker in @Polymarket How many rewards did you earn today? 💸
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I really think Axiom NO is trully undervalued. 💸 First of all, who cares about axiom? Zach hyping that much about this should be something quite bigger or about someone with much more relevance in the space. My bets are Binance, Coinbase or Jupiter. Not based on anything.
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People talking about Polymarket, Polymarket is NOT one of the most profitable businesses of crypto. YET... 👿
NEW: Major investigation dropping February 26 on one of crypto’s most profitable businesses where multiple employees abused internal data to insider trade over a prolonged period of time.
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Im working on the visuals for my $POLY posts. Would really appreciate if you can give your opinion of wich one of these two images makes you read the post. Every comment is welcome 🙏 Would you use image 1 or image 2?
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Top 3 Markets with highest Liquidty + Sponsored Rewards: 💸 These are the 3 markets with highest Rewards so you can farm $POLY and climb on the Rewards Leaderboard. 3.- Fed decision in March? No change 887$ / Day 🥉 2.- US strikes Iran by...? February 28 2.050$ / Day 🥈 1.- US strikes Iran by...? March 31 4.384$ / Day 🥇 You just need to have a 1% to get 73,21$ a day. That will put you in the top 10% in just 1 day, top 1.000 users in just 2 weeks and top 1% in only 21 days. Less than a month. How much capital you need to get that 1%? 🤔 First of all, this is not always the same as your allocation of the rewards depends of the actual liquidty of the market. But usually with less than 1k$ is enough to get at least 1%. TIP: Try to place your bids with 1 or 2 cents or margin so can stay longer without getting hitted. Once hitted just market sell at same price and keep on with the rewards. You dont need to try to get profit with this trades, the most important thing is to keep liquidity available to bid.
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Put some bids and touch some sand! ☀️ Lunch paid by @Polymarket $POLY is coming and Rewards are getting hot!! 🔥
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What is @getdomeapi and why @Polymarket adquired it? 🧐 Dome was a startup that built a unified API for prediction markets. Instead of developers connecting separately to platforms like Polymarket or Kalshi, Dome provided one single access point to pull data from multiple markets. So developers could: •Compare prices across platforms •Build trading bots •Create analytics dashboards •Track historical probabilities Polymarket is building a massive infrastructure for predicitions. They want to develop the biggest company in the sector. If Polymarket controls, the market, the liquidity, the standard API and the historical data. Then: 👉 Developers build on top of it 👉 Apps depend on it 👉 Traders go through it That creates structural power. If you compare it to Amazon, the logic is very similar. Amazon doesn’t just sell products. It controls: - The marketplace (the buyers and sellers) - The logistics infrastructure - The payment rails - The cloud infrastructure through AWS Because of that: 👉 Sellers depend on Amazon for distribution 👉 Brands depend on Amazon for visibility 👉 Many startups depend on AWS to even operate 👉 Buyers can buy Amazon Basics products And would be stupit not think that if they are building all this, $POLY will be the fuel for all this infrastucture. 🔥
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Feb 19 1.000$ In Rewards! 🔥 @mustafap0ly You should change Sponsored Rewards claim display as it appears as a deposit when its not. Long and succesable day! 🫡
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Polymarket
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Serch45 retweeted
Will Volume Count for $POLY Airdrop? 🎁 Everyone thinks the most important criterion to qualify for the @Polymarket AirDrop will be notional volume. But I’m going to explain why that’s a bad decision and why it won’t be like that. Volume is a metric that can be easily manipulated with almost no risk. What really matters to measure a real user is the actual economic risk, taking into account the following: - Real possibility of losing money - Exposure for a minimum period of time - Committed capital that is not “moving in and out” in perfect patterns Therefore, metrics that could count to identify a real user and how much risk is he expose to are: - Keeping positions open when the market moves - Accepting variable PnL (actually winning/losing) - Not always closing in seconds It’s not so easy to measure the risk a user takes, since it’s not a single metric but a set of consistencies that could be evaluated with a scoring system considering different variables. So stop focusing only on generating volume and start using the platform like a real user. 🔥
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Will Volume Count for $POLY Airdrop? 🎁 Everyone thinks the most important criterion to qualify for the @Polymarket AirDrop will be notional volume. But I’m going to explain why that’s a bad decision and why it won’t be like that. Volume is a metric that can be easily manipulated with almost no risk. What really matters to measure a real user is the actual economic risk, taking into account the following: - Real possibility of losing money - Exposure for a minimum period of time - Committed capital that is not “moving in and out” in perfect patterns Therefore, metrics that could count to identify a real user and how much risk is he expose to are: - Keeping positions open when the market moves - Accepting variable PnL (actually winning/losing) - Not always closing in seconds It’s not so easy to measure the risk a user takes, since it’s not a single metric but a set of consistencies that could be evaluated with a scoring system considering different variables. So stop focusing only on generating volume and start using the platform like a real user. 🔥
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