
Previously @Braves, now in PWM @MorganStanley and scouting (mostly Yankees) prospects @baseballpro. Holding the line on Spencer Jones. Jesus saves.
Long Island, NY
Joined June 2016
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Would really appreciate a free vote from you all! ❤️ tophost.org/2026/smith-brick…
This is the kind of pitcher you sign regardless of depth. You can always trade Elmer or Warren to address lineup needs. Morejon is a total dawg out there.
Accountability time!
Of the prospects I’ve called my shot with - being higher or lower than consensus on - here’s a non-exhaustive list of the prospects I’ve gotten right, wrong, or TBD over the last few years. Number of arrows signify just how much higher or lower I was than consensus. Each tier is in no particular order:
Right:
Jacob Misiorowski ⬆️⬆️
Bryan Woo ⬆️⬆️
Nolan McLean ⬆️
Drake Baldwin ⬆️⬆️
Spencer Schwellenbach ⬆️⬆️
Justin Wrobleski ⬆️⬆️
Caleb Durbin ⬆️⬆️
Ben Rice ⬆️⬆️
Coby Mayo ⬆️
Will Warren ⬆️
Jasson Dominguez ⬇️⬇️
Jack Cebert ⬆️⬆️
Christian Zazueta ⬆️⬆️
Dalton Rushing ⬆️
Josuar Gonzalez ⬆️⬆️
Brando Mayea ⬇️⬇️
Everson Pereira ⬆️
Colt Keith ⬇️
Marcelo Mayer ⬇️
Wrong;
Tink Hence ⬆️⬆️
Jackson Chourio ⬇️
Agustin Ramirez ⬆️⬆️
Daniel Espino ⬆️⬆️
Landon Knack ⬆️
Chase Hampton ⬆️
Kyle Carr ⬆️
Trystan Vrieling ⬆️
Will Benson ⬆️
Nick Nelson ⬆️
Graham Pauley ⬆️
Enmanuel Tejeda ⬆️⬆️
Brayan Rocchio ⬇️⬇️
Parker Messick ⬇️
Jordan Wicks ⬆️
Noelvi Marte ⬆️
TBD:
Lawrence Butler ⬆️⬆️
Evan Carter (get healthy) ⬆️
Spencer Jones ⬆️⬆️
Bishop Letson ⬆️⬆️
Henry Lalane ⬆️⬆️
Karson Milbrandt ⬆️⬆️
Elmer Rodriguez ⬇️⬇️
Bryce Cunningham ⬆️
Thatcher Hurd ⬆️
Brady House ⬆️⬆️
Roderick Arias ⬇️⬇️
Quinn Priester ⬇️
Santiago Suarez ⬆️
Jackson Holliday ⬇️
Wow, we might have a full season after all
2 years later, I can confirm we nailed this one:
pinstripealley.com/2024/11/1…
Murakami’s approach is way better of a translation to MLB than Sato’s. Yankees would be making a mistake given the contract estimates I’m seeing. Also, he’s not a third baseman.
Gotta be cheap to be worthwhile IMO.
80% Z-CON in Japan is not good. In a league which doesn’t throw as hard, that translates meaningfully lower in MLB.
This is a Teruaki Sato tweet.
Thinking about this logically…
Hal clearly wants a salary cap. Why would he then turn around and spend a lot of money in an offseason where that cap might be implemented?
Temper expectations.
From a purely baseball perspective, the Yankees absolutely should’ve extended a QO to Jazz. With there being such a dearth of talent in free agency, it’s likely he would’ve declined anyways.
Prospect stonk reports are back at @baseballpro. Fitting we start with arguably the best system in baseball:
baseballprospectus.com/news/…
Godspeed, Joc
Joc Pederson has declined his end of an $18.5 million mutual option and will become a free agent, per @JesseRogersESPN.
Pederson, 34, hit 26 HR with an .816 OPS for Texas in 2026.
Not everyone needs to lift the ball. In fact, some shouldn’t… like Chandler.
Diversity of offensive shape is important.
Lance is also in on Taira as a dude. Heck yea
Kaima Taira is fascinating. He has massive extension from a small frame with velo and decent repertoire projection.
But is ~4 years, $72 million an overpay for an arm with this level of RP risk? 🤔
Full data dropped last week in my Substack ($): lancebroz.substack.com/p/npb…














