$EHGO gapped 50% and closed -33% today.
When a 30%+ gapper touches previous day close intraday, the average close is -12.5% below it. Median -8.6%. Unfortunately, only 5% of gappers get there.
Big ifs, but IF the frequency were higher, locates cheaper, and fills easier... There would be edge... If you are already short... do not cover.
AMEX fades the best, but $PLAG will make you avoid them forever... You need something to blame. "scAMEX" they say.
Do gap-ups that start the move the night before move differently than ones that start on the day of?
Surprisingly no. Nearly identical.
71% of small cap gappers fill the gap within 36 hours. 77% within 5 days.
Too bad locate fees exist.
High of day 5-min volume climax and dollar volume climax... "interesting stuff"
The high is a liquidity event. The low forms quietly. We all already knew that, but what would happen if the rolling HOD dollar volume sum was the entry?
smallcaplab.com/strategy
Some of the biggest P&L numbers in the HTB space very likely came from martingaling during a good period, but many of them are still respected and highly regarded. Maybe they should be.
Short at the trigger → Add every 30 minutes if price is greater than prior entry → 10% account max loss stop per ticker→ Compound daily.
Multiple blow ups, excluding fees... Maybe better than playing the lottery?




















