
Hello! I Predict and analyse every UFC event... Freelance writing on MMABetting Subreddit. One Third Co-Host for the @LordNinjaChoke Podcast!
Melbourne, Victoria
Joined April 2017
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Here it is! My Parlay Explained post for #UFC333!
reddit.com/r/MMAbetting/comm…
As always, open up this post to see the full slate down below!
Lucindo/Caliari
I mean, you can go one of two ways here.
a) Goes the Distance - 1.40
Reasoning being simple, competitive fight, both fighters doing just enough to stay busy but not get a finish.
b) Fight ends on KO - 4.85 or thereabouts
This is something i’m intrigued by because Lucindo does have finishing ability on the feet and I do expect her to win this fight so this is based off my analysis from my breakdown.
Steele/Gugnon
Under 2.5 Rounds - 2.11
I just think we’re going to see a finish, and I only say this because I do have Gugnon getting an upset here. You could go with Steele Sub/Points double chance but personally I think under 2.5 is where it’s at. Thoughts?
Oki/Santos
Inside The Distance - 1.48
Nothing really special here, it’s a great fight, don’t get me wrong, it’s just a hard one to predict.
Vagaev/Malkoun
Vagaev via Points - 2.00
I think it’s 2.00, either way, expect a classic snoozefest of a fight.
Chopurov/Thicknesse
Chopurov via KO - 2.50
Again, another throwaway bet, just think Chopurov will blast through Thicknesse, although I don’t want to fully count out Thicknesse.
Dawson/Aliev
Goes The Distance - 1.45
Boring bet, lets move on
Reyes/Murzakanov
Fight ends in KO - 1.31
Really not a lot to be said here, I think the bet kind of speaks for itself.
Magomedov/Rowston
Inside The Distance - 1.48
This is another one that kind of seems a bit obvious.
Pico/Keita
MMA Match Specials 6
Pico via Points or Keita via KO - 1.91
Makes sense, right? I think Keita wins overall via KO but Pico and his wrestling could be key to securing victory.
Kavanagh/Temirov
Round 2 Starts Yes - 1.30
I genuinely don’t know what to think when it comes to this fight, it’s a nightmare to even break down let alone bet on… so taking the easy way out here.
#MMABetting #MMATwitter #Sportsbet #Sportsbook
Some potentially sad news for some of my readers here...
I will not be doing a write up for next weekends UFC Apex event (Nolan/Moicano).
There has not been a week of no UFC events in a while, I haven't had enough time to actually enjoy life, most of my week is watching tape, writing notes, watching more tape, getting frustrated at how little tape there is on some fighters, having to navigate the bullshit Paramount App which has zero search function for UFC fights...
So, There will be no write up next week, there will be Tapology picks that will be somewhat thought out, but otherwise, no large write up.
Here it is! My Prediction Post for #UFC333!
reddit.com/r/MMAbetting/comm…
Finally, a good event! That's all I have to say about that, really.
#MMABetting #MMATwitter #UFC
Alright, shooting this one out there...
Is anyone else picking Reyes to win against Murzakanov?
I completely acknowledge that Reyes could be put down within the first two rounds, but I do think if Reyes comes out of the first round unscathed his chances to win skyrocket. #UFC333
Prediction Results for 2026: 68.0%
Still in Personal Best territory, but if it continues to trend downwards, we could miss the personal best mark. there's what, 8 more events left of the year? surely we can maintain over 66%.
Prediction Result: 6/13 Correct
Nothing too outrageous here, I knew that the event was volatile to predict... Parlay hit, one Alt Bet hit (Jas via Points), so overall not a terrible outcome for me, just picks wise it's a little bit rough.
Onwards to UFC 333! #UFCEdmonton
That has to be one of the cleaner KO's of this year, like that Slomo replay was beautiful. Both fighters fought well but that right knee/head kick attempt was something spectacular. #UFCEdmonton
Buckley is likely to win only if this fight remains standing, I cannot speak for his takedown defence because it’s been a while since we last saw him, but if it’s still dreadfully bad, he could get mauled on the ground by Malott. Buckley via KO R2 (1/3) but an Alt Bet on Malott via Sub/Points #UFCEdmonton
Blanchfield v Jas is one of the best fights on the card, and I can’t wait to see what chessmatch happens during this one! I got Blanchfield winning this one, keep an eye on the body strikes early to slow down the cardio of Jas, that’s my primary read here. Blanchfield via Dec (1/3) with an Alt Bet on Jas via Points coz favouritism! #UFCEdmonton
Perez should win against Nelson here, Nelson is the absolute epitome of a filler fighter, there just to make a card look more full, that’s it. Perez via KO R1 (1/3) #UFCEdmonton
Jourdain is a fascinating addition to the UFC, he looked great on DWCS and I suspect that he will look great here against a very tough and durable Cuamba. Jourdain via Sub R2 (1/3) #UFCEdmonton
Landwehr shouldn’t be underestimated here, he has the three round experience, he has the power and he isn’t that much older than Nallo. Nallo is a first round finisher who has about 2 minutes of cardio before he becomes an amateur level punching bag. I’m banking on the fact that he has that short burst of cardio to win. Nallo via KO R1 (1/3) but with Landwehr via KO R1 or 2 as an Alt Bet #UFCEdmonton
Boser v Diniz is certainly a fight, it’s not a great fight, but it’s an excuse for the UFC to add another Canadian to the card because well, there aint that many great Canadian UFC fighters to add to a card! Diniz via KO R2 (1/3) #UFCEdmonton
Galanti should be able to win against Leblanc, he is perhaps one of the more comfortable picks of this event, I expect Galanti to run through Leblanc. Could get the finish either by KO or Sub but i’m leaning KO. Galanti via KO R1 (2/3) #UFCEdmonton
I think Faglier should win this fight given that he has had the additional experience in Fury FC, but it’s a heavyweight slopfest of a fight so I don’t care that much about it. Faglier via KO R1 (1/3) #UFCEdmonton
I don’t think Stiller is anything special, she’s short, going to struggle in getting her own offence going due to the reach disparity, and she’s facing someone who is somewhat of a UFC vet but has been away for an extensive period. Cerminara via Dec (1/3) #UFCEdmonton
Koslow’s grappling could be the main story here, but if he gets caught by Anheligers striking ability then we could see the newcomer get slept! Koslow via Sub R1 (1/3) with an Alt Bet on Anheliger via KO #UFCEdmonton
Oh so it's gonna be one of those nights eh? I'm in danger. #UFCEdmonton





