Providing advice your financial advisor does not know or does not want to share.
Joined June 2019
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Fascinating that we went from 0.5% yield to 5.2% yield on 10Y bonds in ~6 years.
Different environment than most of us have been used to.
It has been a year since Doc and I shorted $OKLO.
It is down ~70% since my post explaining the story behind it.
Seeing the +1,500% stock price appreciation of a pre-revenue company named $OKLO, I decided to do a quick due diligence.
1. Went to finviz to see if insiders are selling. They are.
2. Caroline Cochran (now married DeWitte) caught my eye in the list of insiders selling as she was the only woman on the list. Turns out she's the co-founder and COO.
3. Caroline cares deeply about environment and health, and has a master's degree from MIT in nuclear engineering.
4. Went to Google Scholar and could not find a single research paper on nuclear energy by her. I searched for both Caroline Cochran and Caroline DeWitte.
5. Noticed on LinkedIn that she changed her last name recently to husband's.
6. Her husband is Jacob DeWitte, who is the CEO and co-founder of Oklo.
7. Jacob got his PhD from MIT in nuclear engineering.
8. Google Scholar showed a few research papers authored by Jacob, from the times he was a student, but nothing recent.
9. Both Caroline and Jacob have no work experience in nuclear engineering other than studying at MIT and founding Oklo in 2013.
I don't know much about nuclear engineering, but my gut feeling is that a husband and wife, with no proven research track record or work cited by academia will not be able to bring to reality any of the promises Oklo is making to its investors at the moment.
It seems to me that Oklo is to advanced nuclear technology, the same as Nikola was to hydrogen powered trucks. Basically a quick-money-grab-SPAC-short-squeeze scheme.
Due to everything mentioned above, Doc and I decided to massively increase our short positions on $OKLO and wait for this hype story to fall apart.
Thank you.
$SNDK is beyond the point of no return, where a recovery to $2000 is highly unlikely.
Most momentum traders want to get off this hype train, and do so as quickly as possible as to not face the avalanche that is coming their way.
Just as I told you back in April, we are on target to reach $30 silver by fall.
The multi-week bearish trendline has been established, and the sellers are relentless. No one wants to risk staying on this sinking ship.
Silver buyers are getting tired, while sellers are using local highs as an exit opportunity.
With this pattern, I am estimating we revert to the mean of $30 sometime in the fall.
Silbergleit Junior retweeted
$PYPL @SilbergleitJr and I know the company that has been consistently growing revenue for the past 10 years. 💵
$PYPL It's reveal time. 10 yrs of steady revenue growth, a bruised stock, and sentiment still stuck in the penalty box is a combo that gets our attention. We're bullish, but patient. Positioning with Dec ’28 LEAPS via CSPs at $90, getting paid to wait, happy to own if assigned.
Silbergleit Junior retweeted
$BB $BB.TO @SilbergleitJr & I put money where our mouth is. Unlike other "market experts", we share trades transparently, continue thinking out loud, provide actual trading plans, share actual positions with zero BS, no paid subscriptions, exclusive Discord charts, and fake gurus
$BB BlackBerry exceeds expectations with strong Q2 FY2026 earnings, igniting new investor optimism. @SilbergleitJr and I have a price target of $7 ($10 CAD) by the end of 2025. This is only the beginning!💵
Doc.@silberschmelzer and I told you back in January, how yet another silver saga will end.
$CLOV is now somewhere between "Disbelief" and "Hope" stages.
At $7 mark, we'll enter "Optimism" stage.
Silbergleit Junior retweeted
$QS @SilbergleitJr & I ran some paper-napkin math on QS. VW, Honda & Hyundai alone represent 16M vehicles/year. Under a reasonable bull case, the math gets you comfortably north of $200/share. Agree or disagree with the assumptions, but at least bring a calculator to the debate.
$QS You don't need to be a rocket scientist to find out who the first three OAM are. VW, Honda, Hyundai ... 💵
Silbergleit Junior retweeted
The market is experiencing a historic divergence:
The ratio of the equal-weighted S&P 500 to the S&P 500 index is down to 1.1, near the lowest since 2003.
This ratio is now below the 2008 Financial Crisis low of ~1.2 and is down -28% since February 2023, the biggest drawdown since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble.
Over this period, the S&P 500 has rallied +81%, more than double the gain of the equal-weighted index, at +34%.
These massive gains have been fueled by technology stocks, with the Nasdaq 100 index surging +151% over the same period.
Tech stocks are all that matters.
Doc and I held $CLOV at $0.60 and are holding now at $4+.
Nothing changed. Investment thesis is still intact. Trust the process. There will be signs.
