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Joined September 2022
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Vegas set the line at Tenn -2.5. The market pushed it to +2.5 The underlying win probability still favors Tennessee.
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cFPi+ | CFBPredictor.com
@cfbpredictor6h
CFPi+ has Tennessee over South Carolina, 28-23, 61.9%. Model: Tennessee -5.3. Market: South Carolina -2.5. Tennessee is up 14 spots to No. 11 on the No. 6 defense in the country. The model and the market disagree on the winner. #T1000 🤖 cfbpredictor.com
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Tennessee opened as a 2.5-point favorite and is now a 2.5-point underdog. Fans are panicking over the five-point swing. But ESPN FPI still gives Tennessee a 60% chance to win, and my Precap model has the Vols at 56.3%. The market is pricing Tennessee at roughly 45%. Line movement does not cause the underlying probability of winning to change... I'd take Tennessee +2.5 right now.
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What happens when a stoppable force meets a moveable wall? Tennessee might be the worst passing offense in the SEC. South Carolina might be the worst passing defense in the SEC.
Look I’m not even gonna pick the game yet. UT fans are nuts on this app. Their passing game sucks . Anyone with a brain can see that.
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Replying to @Josh_Ward
Important for people to remember that Vegas spreads are NOT predicted W/L margins
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Replying to @SecRecap
The fact SecRecap only has 143 followers illustrates his content is mostly garbage takes.
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Replying to @510Warriorsfan
Good thing you didn't get your little feelings hurt
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Replying to @TreyBiddy
Legit great shout. That's my hometown and Old Country Store / Casey Jones Village is iconic.
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I don't know what Kalen DeBoer is thinking here, but he needs to turn in his manhood card.
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Kentucky picks off Mateer with 1 min to go in the 4th. 8 point game 21-13.
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I'm just out here calling balls and strikes tbh
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Never felt better being wrong! Go Vols! 🍊
Replying to @SecRecap
Alabama at Tennessee
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The biggest shift for me since this model run is that I believe there is too much confidence being put in a backup center for Alabama in this environment, and the potential mistakes that can arise. Penalties, communication, Tennessee's interior DL, pass pro. Maybe they have a great plan for overcoming it, but it's a matchup that could swing the game. At the very least I think 8-9 points is too big.
Replying to @SecRecap
Alabama at Tennessee
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SEC Recap🏈🎙️ retweeted
🚨SICKO SPECIAL Rutgers at Maryland Job-security elimination game. GOOD SHIT
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🚨SICKO SPECIAL Rutgers at Maryland Job-security elimination game. GOOD SHIT
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A good G6 game to watch Toledo at Eastern Michigan
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Some big non-SEC matchups today Ohio State at Indiana
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