Kenya has its first Ebola case. It is probably not Kenya that should worry most. Across 40,500 simulated epidemics, Kenya’s risk of ten or more further cases is 5%. Uganda’s is 27%, or 72% if its response falters. Second in our series on outbreak risk. open.substack.com/pub/flashn…
A technician at a Siberian plague institute died of ‘pneumonia of undetermined origin’. Moscow denies an accident; its own response suggests otherwise. Our model, built in under six hours with open sources and AI, finds speed of isolation is decisive. open.substack.com/pub/flashn…
The SecDev Group retweeted
Ran a scenario on #Irkutsk. A lab technician at Russia's Anti-Plague Institute died on 2 October of suspected #pneumonic #plague. Several hospitals are sealed for three weeks and about 200 contacts are under observation. Moscow still calls it pneumonia of unknown origin. (1/5)
Weaponised intelligence. AI-powered cyberattacks are now strategic reality. The defences haven't kept up. Our latest in @IISS_org Survival unpacks why — and what comes next. iiss.org/online-analysis/sur…
Even as environmental geopolitics get harder in a declining rules-based order, it's not time to COP out. #COP30 #Climate bit.ly/49Cb5Sm
South Asia’s Brewing Digital Storm: Bangladesh extremists abandoned bombs for ballots. Democracy in the digital age bit.ly/49XAS7D #HFX2025 @HFXforum
Who Controls the AI Future? AI generates 41% of code. Countries sleepwalk into digital feudalism as Silicon Valley controls "cognitive infrastructure." A fleeting window for AI sovereignty #AI #AISovereignty #DigitalFeudalism #TechPolicyhttps://bit.ly/4p8IA3h
🌊 The New Great Game is underwater. $10T daily flows through cables thinner than garden hoses. Cut the cables, cut the power. ⬇️bit.ly/4oyrmw6 #UnderseaCables #CyberWarfare #MaritimeSecurity #DigitalInfrastructure #Geopolitics #SubmarineCables #CriticalInfrastructure
The great race for AI dominance is on and the advantage may not lie with the US model of hyperscalers. Big tech's rapid AI adoption creates massive vulnerabilities, while China's 'AI in a box' approach offers a competing paradigm. The race is on. bit.ly/4ovVA2P
The Ukraine war exposed the post-Cold War order as a house of cards. America sends mixed signals, middle powers play all sides, sanctions spring leaks. What's emerging? A mercantile free-for-all where agility beats ideology. bit.ly/47h8lZ1 #GeopoliticalRisk #UkraineWar
Canada sits atop vast energy riches yet finds itself curiously powerless hostage to north-south pipelines and American cloud servers. The nation's energy sovereignty hinges not just on what flows through its pipes, but on who controls the digital valves.
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"Obstacles to peace in #Ukraine -#Russia conflict aren't just on the ground; it's the global implications of the endgame that truly matter. How this unfolds may dictate whether we live in a western or post-western world. @SecDev's latest flashnote. bit.ly/3NVm4v3#PeaceTalks
Green energy surge sparks mineral rush. With a firm grip on Tibet's $3.5tn lithium, copper, nickel reserves, China leads. #GreenEnergy #SecDev bit.ly/45KtWGy
Stay ahead with #SecDevPulse! Latest on #AI, #CyberSecurity & #Geopolitics in our monthly newsletter 🚀. Subscribe now 👉 bit.ly/3bZ2iLa
Navigating the 2023 #Polycrisis: Nuclear threats, climate disruption & AI breakthroughs demand cooperative response amidst geopolitical strife. Read our latest #Flashnote: flashnote.secdev.com/p/is-th… #AI #ClimateChange #Crisis #NuclearWeapons #Risks
Navigating AI's rise in commercial intelligence, #SecDev embraces OSAINT with caution and optimism, committed to ethical #AI usage. cigionline.org/articles/ai-i… #OSAINT #RiskAnalysis
Is this how it ends? facing the #Polycrisis2023 with 3 apex risks: nuclear catastrophe, climate chaos & AI breakout. Geopolitical tensions & deep divides are challenging but it's time for global unity. Our latest Flashnote 🌍💪 #GlobalRisksff
Secdev has extended its platform onto Substack, providing our audience with a broader range of content. Our Substack presence offers free access to various resources, including Flashnotes, white papers, and public research reports.
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As #China 's economy slows, its foreign aid could decline. This presents a unique opportunity for US and #EU initiatives like the #PGII and EU’s Global Gateway. By offering transparent, sustainable aid, they can ensure no vulnerable nation is left behind. flashnote.secdev.com/p/the-u…












