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Manchester, England
Joined January 2024
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Round 12 preview — Championship
Our model vs the sharp market: win probabilities, edge, projected goals and clean sheets for every game.
Where we disagree with the market most:
🔸 Southampton +45.0
🔸 Lincoln City +12.1
🔸 Derby County +11.2
12 fixtures · 23 Oct – 24 Oct
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/predictions…
Top 10: G+A/90 — 🏴 Premiership · 26/27
🔸 1. Camilo Durán (Celtic) 1.52
🔸 2. Benjamin Nygren (Celtic) 1.24
🔸 3. Josh McPake (Hearts) 1.18
4. Kasper Høgh (Celtic) 1.11
5. Josh Fowler (St. Johnstone) 1.04
6. Lyall Cameron (Dundee United) 0.86
7. Killian Phillips (St. Mirren) 0.85
8. Ryan Naderi (Rangers) 0.82
9. Kieran Tierney (Celtic) 0.78
10. Jacob Murrell (Falkirk) 0.77
143 players ranked, 284+ mins.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/501/…
Top 10: clearances/90 — 🇯🇵 J1 League · 26/27
🔸 1. Shota Fukuoka (Gamba Osaka) 8.59
🔸 2. Ryosuke Shindo (V-Varen Nagasaki) 8.57
🔸 3. Jeison Quiñónes (Yokohama F. Marinos) 8.30
4. Weverton (Kyoto Sanga) 8.18
5. Naoki Hayashi (Tokyo Verdy) 8.11
6. Kenta Itakura (Mito Hollyhock) 8.07
7. Yasuki Kimoto (Mito Hollyhock) 7.40
8. Tae-hyeon Kim (Kashima Antlers) 7.13
9. Yoshinori Suzuki (Kyoto Sanga) 7.10
10. Seung-wook Park (Shimizu S-Pulse) 7.08
240 players ranked, 315+ mins.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/968/…
Round 10 preview — La Liga
Our model vs the sharp market: win probabilities, edge, projected goals and clean sheets for every game.
Where we disagree with the market most:
🔸 Espanyol +10.8
🔸 Deportivo Alavés +10.6
🔸 Real Madrid +8.3
10 fixtures · 23 Oct – 26 Oct
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/predictions…
The deep-lying distributors — 🇺🇸 Major League Soccer · 26
long balls/90
🔸 1. Lukas Engel (Real Salt Lake) 11.58
🔸 2. Raul Gustavo (New York City) 11.35
🔸 3. Júnior Alonso (Atlanta United) 10.34
4. Brayan Vera (Montréal) 10.23
5. Lucas Bartlett (DC United) 9.70
6. Sebastian Berhalter (Vancouver Whitecaps) 9.37
7. Ashley Westwood (Charlotte) 9.01
8. Casemiro (Inter Miami) 8.65
9. Kai Wagner (Philadelphia Union) 8.60
10. Jack Elliott (Chicago Fire) 8.30
passes/90
🔸 1. Jeppe Tverskov (San Diego) 104.20
🔸 2. Christopher McVey (San Diego) 99.91
🔸 3. Aníbal Godoy (San Diego) 93.68
4. Manu Duah (San Diego) 92.72
5. Rudy Camacho (Columbus Crew) 84.75
6. Dylan Chambost (Columbus Crew) 80.59
7. Lucas Herrington (Colorado Rapids) 80.12
8. Thiago Martins (New York City) 78.75
9. Rob Holding (Colorado Rapids) 78.70
10. Jackson Ragen (Seattle Sounders) 77.15
386 players, 945+ mins. Both boards and the scatter attached.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/scout-hub/s…
Round 12 preview — Superliga
Our model vs the sharp market: win probabilities, edge, projected goals and clean sheets for every game.
Where we disagree with the market most:
🔸 AGF +10.4
🔸 Silkeborg IF +9.3
🔸 Sønderjyske Fodbold +5.4
6 fixtures · 23 Oct – 26 Oct
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/predictions…
Top 10: G+A/90 — 🏴 Championship · 26/27
🔸 1. Liam Millar (Birmingham City) 1.24
🔸 2. Ji-sung Eom (Swansea City) 1.08
🔸 3. Raúl Jiménez (Wolverhampton Wanderers) 1.03
4. Andri Gudjohnsen (Blackburn Rovers) 1.03
5. Jarrod Bowen (West Ham United) 1.01
6. Mohamed Touré (Norwich City) 0.99
7. Amario Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough) 0.96
8. Tommy Conway (Middlesbrough) 0.92
9. Will Lankshear (Middlesbrough) 0.91
10. Kieffer Moore (Wrexham) 0.89
317 players ranked, 315+ mins.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/9/ch…
Europa League round 3: the strongest trends.
Over 2.5 goals: Beşiktaş v Crystal Palace, 14/20, best 1.62
Both teams to score: Lillestrøm v Real Sociedad, 16/20, best 1.75
Team to score 2+: OFI (v Bayer 04 Leverkusen), 14/20, best 4.33
18+. Not betting advice.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/team-trends…
Top 10: successful dribbles — 🏴 Premier League U23 · 26/27
🔸 1. Savinho (Tottenham Hotspur) 16
🔸 2. Abdul Fatawu Issahaku (Ipswich Town) 15
🔸 3. Tyrique Aaron Delali Yusuff George (Everton) 12
4. Víctor Muñoz (Liverpool) 10
5. Kobbie Mainoo (Manchester United) 10
6. Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton & Hove Albion) 9
7. Julio Enciso (Ipswich Town) 9
8. Joshua David Steven King (Fulham) 9
9. Malick Yalcouyé (Brighton & Hove Albion) 8
10. Liam Delap (Nottingham Forest) 8
64 players ranked.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/8/pr…
Round 9 preview — Super Lig
Our model vs the sharp market: win probabilities, edge, projected goals and clean sheets for every game.
Where we disagree with the market most:
🔸 Samsunspor +41.6
🔸 Eyüpspor +25.6
🔸 Göztepe +24.0
9 fixtures · 23 Oct – 26 Oct
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/predictions…
Europa Conference League round 2: the strongest trends.
Over 2.5 goals: AGF v Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 16/20, best 1.78
Both teams to score: AGF v Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 16/20, best 1.80
Team to score 2+: Monaco (v SC Freiburg), 15/20, best 2.00
18+. Not betting advice.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/team-trends…
Who creates the BIG chances? — 🇦🇷 Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 26
big chances created/90
🔸 1. Jeremías Lázaro (Instituto) 0.86
🔸 2. Tiago Palacios (Estudiantes) 0.80
🔸 3. Ángel Correa (River Plate) 0.74
4. Sebastián Villa (Independiente Rivadavia) 0.72
5. Diego Valdés (Vélez Sarsfield) 0.62
6. Walter Mazzantti (Newell's Old Boys) 0.61
7. Ángel Di María (Rosario Central) 0.60
8. Jáminton Campaz (Rosario Central) 0.57
9. David Barbona (Defensa y Justicia) 0.56
10. Joaquín Tobio Burgos (Estudiantes) 0.56
key passes/90
🔸 1. Sebastián Villa (Independiente Rivadavia) 3.75
🔸 2. Gastón Lodico (Instituto) 3.45
🔸 3. Joaquín Tobio Burgos (Estudiantes) 2.96
4. Jeremías Lázaro (Instituto) 2.78
5. Matías Sepúlveda (Lanús) 2.75
6. Diego Valdés (Vélez Sarsfield) 2.73
7. Mateo Del Blanco (Unión Santa Fe) 2.68
8. Jáminton Campaz (Rosario Central) 2.63
9. Franco Cristaldo (Talleres Córdoba) 2.57
10. Ángel Di María (Rosario Central) 2.54
370 players, 913+ mins. Both boards and the scatter attached.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/scout-hub/s…
Round 8 preview — Premier League
Our model vs the sharp market: win probabilities, edge, projected goals and clean sheets for every game.
Where we disagree with the market most:
🔸 Liverpool +16.4
🔸 Sunderland +11.8
🔸 Aston Villa +11.0
10 fixtures · 23 Oct – 25 Oct
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/predictions…
Top 10: clearances/90 — 🇧🇷 Serie A · 26
🔸 1. Jacy (Coritiba) 7.44
🔸 2. Tchamba (Remo) 7.24
🔸 3. Alexander Barboza (Botafogo) 7.13
4. Tiago Cóser (Coritiba) 6.97
5. Juan Felipe Aguirre (Athletico PR) 6.77
6. Nahuel Ferraresi (Botafogo) 6.67
7. Robert Arboleda (São Paulo) 6.63
8. Victor Gabriel (Internacional) 6.59
9. Cacá (Vitória) 6.57
10. Willian Machado (Mirassol) 6.41
255 players ranked, 945+ mins.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/648/…
Top 10: long balls/90 — 🇳🇱 Eredivisie · 26/27
🔸 1. Julius Dirksen (Go Ahead Eagles) 12.24
🔸 2. Billy van Duijl (Cambuur) 11.00
🔸 3. Syb van Ottele (Fortuna Sittard) 10.44
4. Giovanni van Zwam (Go Ahead Eagles) 9.03
5. Oliver Braude (Heerenveen) 9.03
6. Maas Willemsen (Heerenveen) 8.82
7. Milan Hokke (ADO Den Haag) 8.01
8. Robin Pröpper (Twente) 7.90
9. Jan Plug (Excelsior) 7.89
10. Joris Kramer (Go Ahead Eagles) 7.89
218 players ranked, 284+ mins.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/72/e…
Round 9 preview — Pro League
Our model vs the sharp market: win probabilities, edge, projected goals and clean sheets for every game.
Where we disagree with the market most:
🔸 Westerlo +8.7
🔸 Zulte-Waregem +8.0
🔸 Standard Liège +7.1
9 fixtures · 23 Oct – 25 Oct
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/predictions…
Top 10: clearances/90 — 🇪🇸 La Liga U23 · 26/27
🔸 1. Valentín Gómez (Real Betis) 8.28
🔸 2. Lucas Noubi (Deportivo La Coruña) 7.60
🔸 3. Bright Ede (Deportivo La Coruña) 6.05
4. Luken Beitia (Real Sociedad) 6.00
5. Jeanuël Merick Belocian (Racing Santander) 5.70
6. Yoel Lago (Celta de Vigo) 5.65
7. Clemens Riedel (Espanyol) 5.64
8. Andrés Castrín (Sevilla) 5.45
9. Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid) 5.17
10. Renato Veiga (Villarreal) 5.12
75 players ranked, 252+ mins.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/564/…
Round 8 preview — Ligue 1
Our model vs the sharp market: win probabilities, edge, projected goals and clean sheets for every game.
Where we disagree with the market most:
🔸 Lens +23.7
🔸 Lorient +16.3
🔸 Olympique Marseille +12.5
9 fixtures · 23 Oct – 25 Oct
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/predictions…
Top 10: shots on target/90 — 🇵🇱 Ekstraklasa · 26/27
🔸 1. Allahyar Sayyadmanesh (Lech Poznań) 1.78
🔸 2. Mikael Ishak (Lech Poznań) 1.78
🔸 3. Morgan Faßbender (Korona Kielce) 1.72
4. Said Hamulic (Wisła Płock) 1.67
5. Karol Czubak (Motor Lublin) 1.64
6. Yannick Agnero (Lech Poznań) 1.61
7. Patrik Wålemark (Lech Poznań) 1.52
8. Rafał Adamski (Legia Warszawa) 1.51
9. Darko Churlinov (Pogoń Szczecin) 1.49
10. Łukasz Sekulski (Wisła Płock) 1.46
232 players ranked, 315+ mins.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/league/453/…
Monday's value board — best price vs Pinnacle fair odds
Where the market is paying above the sharp price right now:
🔸 Al-Fayha (v Al Ahli) — 8.00 at Betfair (fair 13%, +6.2%)
🔸 Al Zulfi (v Al Ula) — 4.80 at Unibet (fair 22%, +5.8%)
🔸 Draw in Getafe v Rayo Vallecano — 3.17 at 1xBet (fair 33%, +4.7%)
9 qualifying lines across today's games. Minimum 5 books per line, Pinnacle as the benchmark.
Odds move. Not betting advice.
Full breakdown: scoutingstats.ai/value-bets?…
