Not a trader, I swear. Just obsessed with capturing lowest cost basis on falling knives, which entails lots of buying and selling. NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.

Orange County, California
Joined January 2025
I don't know when it will be, but I believe we will look back at the tariff crash as we did the Covid crash - something rapid, severe, and short-lived. It may even be a quicker recovery than Covid, as there were rolling bottoms for many sectors during that time. Here, *almost everything is crashing at once. Both safe havens and speculative. *There are a few holdouts right now, like P&C insurance. But for most part, everything is crashing. Even munis are having their worst day in 31 years, so we took out the GFC record on that.
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I really don't get how good $META Muse is, meanwhile all the AI chatbots used by every website are total garbage.
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Soon to be for diapers, too. Ok not soon, but long term in Western nations. Long term risk with real estate values from that, plus a lot more. Not saying fewer people is bad, rather that we can’t automatically extrapolate certain valuation trends, inflation adjusted, from last century to rest of this century.
Toy sales among adult-only households have now outpaced households with children for toy sales, per NBC
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One reason I like $GOOG at $334 is because it’s unloved due to $META Muse stealing show. Not a deal but better than $MSFT at $500. So it’s become more favorable in big tech ranking for moment.
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Fidelity app is unusable on iOS 27 or at least when on iPhone 18. Once you navigate to a position, no way to get out of it. This is $AZO example right now. The 3 dots populate what you see in last screenshot. Nothing to navigate back. Only thing I cropped is account number at bottom, which is another issue as that is set to be masked but it doesn’t do that. Nothing down there to navigate away and when you select different account, it’s only to place a transaction on it. Doesn’t take you to it. Unbelievably bad broker but only one with same-day lot specification ability.
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Not sure I'll keep these +25 but doing a little adding on $CASY including today. Last time I talked about it was around $600-610 and that wasn't good enough. Neither is $575 which is why these may not be kept. We'll see. Actually, will decide likely based on $COST earnings tomorrow. If Costco dumps, decent chance Casey's does too. If not, this might be a stable range for $CASY.
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Buffett swore off airlines and eventually bought NetJets. For similar reasons on a less affluent scale, a 21st century of quasi-private airlines like JSX, Aero, Surf Air $SRFM, Bark Air, and whoever comes next could be a successful niche *if* someone can break out and get scale economics. None of those, nor $BLDE, $UP, fit that bill yet. Buying premium $DAL, $AAL, $UAL seats doesn't save you from all of the other horrible thing about air travel today, whether it's getting felt up by TSA (100% of time for me with orthopedic hardware), the airport terminal, or mentally unstable passengers like this guy. A lot of people like me don't want to pay 2-5x for a roomier seat, but would gladly pay that to avoid all the other stuff.
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$49.49 on $KBH earnings still ugly. Don’t care if I can buy it at $44.44 and it goes to $99.99 because it’s only good as a T-word. As the case is with almost all homebuilders. Exceptions are $NVR, $DHI (which now has an NVR model), and likely $GRBK.
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If I were a T-word, I would sell that $ONON buy I shared with you a few days ago and buy some New Balance that are new. But I am not a T-word.
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If you were a youngin around the 2000s you remember the Sandals time of your life commercials. The move on Royal Caribbean $RCL makes sense to me. Diworsification of an already difficult industry of cruises. $BKNG and royalty models like $MAR, $HLT. Owning travel assets bad.
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Who is taking the entire day (or night) off from work when $RKLB launches Neutron? I am.
Kickoff complete! Our team recently wrapped up a successful program kickoff for the Space-Based Airborne Moving Target Indicator (SB-AMTI) demonstrations in support of @USSpaceForce. We’re delivering Flatellites with innovative space-based sensing technologies to help mature resilient capabilities for the Joint Force.
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This is crazy! Warm waters are bringing up all sorts of animals rarely or never seen here.
This is the first time a sea turtle is known to have nested anywhere on the West Coast, according to NOAA Fisheries. Read more: ktla.com/news/california/sea…
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Do NOT upgrade for the battery. Apple claims the iPhone 18 Pro Max battery lasts for up to 45 hours of video playback or up to 30 hours of general mixed usage. I charged to 80% and went immediately to gym. This screenshot taken after I was finished. That’s 33% of my battery gone! Data was on their WiFi first, with cellular secondary, so should be lower power usage. $AAPL up to their usual scams it seems.
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Got to gym around noon, so this is for only about 4.5 hours of use.
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How slow or fast can the garbage stocks recoup higher fuel costs? $RSG - Fuel recovery fee resets monthly off the peak DOE diesel print in the 30 days ending the 15th. About a 1-month lag. Barclays says the fee more than covers the cost, about 1.6x. $WM - Energy surcharge tracks weekly DOE diesel and Henry Hub. Dollar-for-dollar over a year. Residential is billed in advance, so that lags 1-3 months. Commercial and roll-off show up sooner. $GFL - Their US fuel surcharge updates monthly off the same DOE diesel index. Covers 100% of direct fuel on an annual basis. Sharp spikes still pinch for a month, plus third-party haulers add their own surcharge with another short lag. $WCN - Weakest automatic recoup. Surcharges on only 30-40% of the book. The rest waits on base-price increases, which are slower. A sudden diesel spike can still nick EBITDA before price catches up. Rule of thumb: 1 month on open commercial work, 1-3 months on residential, a quarter if you only look at their non-surcharge contracts. Waste Connections is my largest weight among them and not my top choice if adding. Will definitely not add on GFL no matter what, as long as this pending take-private keeps being teased. I can't afford forced realized gains.
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Just as with land mines, which may blow the legs off (or worse) of unintended humans far in the future, these are terrible for wildlife. Voice your opposition to your representatives.
I think we all moved a little too quickly past Trump making it legal to blast animals with poison-spraying land mines
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Glacier because I like girly colors. Black is boring. I'll upgrade $AAPL iPhone 18 Pro Max to 28 Pro Max when that comes out, or a left-handed Duo. Until then, all I care about is battery life. Don't care about cameras. Those have been good enough for many years. Other than cropping and zooming in, about the only time I adjust pics if printing etc. What's captured is what's captured. So all these filters and perspective changes I won't waste time on. Life is wasted when you live through your camera vs. living the actual moment.
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Mostly diesel. Fuel as a share of sales vs. costs at garbage companies: $WM - Direct 2% of revenue, 3.5% of operating costs. All-in with estimated subcontractor fuel 4% of revenue, 7% of operating costs. $RSG - Direct 3% of revenue, 5% of operating costs. All-in 4% of revenue, 7% of operating costs. $WCN -Direct about 3.5% of revenue. No full subcontractor breakout. $GFL - Direct 4% of revenue. Highest of the group. Third-party haul adds more, not cleanly disclosed.
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Multiple connotations and denotations here.
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If you park your car on the street in LA, might be the #1 reason to own an EV. There are multiple nights I was awakened to reciprocating saws and would look outside to see this. I'm talking in very nice area, too.
Residents in a northeast L.A. neighborhood say they are fed up after a string of catalytic converter and vehicle thefts that have left some victims paying thousands of dollars out of pocket. ktla.com/news/local-news/nor…
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