Driving Change Every Day | Previously @Blackbaud + @Columbia faculty | Bestselling author of #DataDrivenNonprofits | Indiana University alum

Charleston, SC
Joined April 2008
Wow! #1 Best Seller in Nonprofit Organizations & Charities on Amazon #DataDrivenNonprofits buff.ly/2cqvyuq
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“The internet isn't held together with code. It's held together with servers everyone is afraid to turn off.”
Security called me at 6:12 AM today. "Patch every PHP server immediately." I asked what happened. "Two critical vulnerabilities. Remote code execution. No authentication required." Cool. How many PHP servers do we have? According to inventory: 12 According to reality: Nobody knows. We found one running WordPress. Three running old internal tools. One under someone's desk. Two inside vendor appliances. A forgotten employee directory from 2016. And a server named: PHP-OLD-DO-NOT-TOUCH Naturally, that one runs payroll exports. Then we found a PHP 5.6 box. I asked who owned it. The documentation said: BRIAN. Brian left in 2019. We called Brian. He said: "Oh wow, that's still running?" Excellent. By 8 AM, leadership joined the incident call. CEO: "Can hackers actually get in?" Security: "Potentially yes." CEO: "Without a password?" Security: "Yes." CEO: "Then why do WE need passwords?" Not the lesson. Finance asked if we could wait until the weekend to patch because downtime affects revenue. Security explained that the alternative was letting strangers execute code on our servers. Finance asked for a cost comparison. At 9:17, someone suggested temporarily taking the vulnerable websites offline. Marketing refused. "Our campaign is live." So for the next hour, the company officially decided maintaining a landing page for 20% off webinar registration was more important than preventing remote server takeover. We finally patched everything we could find. Then our scanner discovered another PHP server. Hostname: TEMP-PHP-2014 Uptime: 4,512 days. Nobody knows what it does. Nobody owns it. Nobody can shut it down. But every time we block network access, the warehouse stops printing shipping labels. Security has classified it as critical infrastructure. It is running PHP 5.4. The vulnerability has existed longer than half our employees. The emergency patch took four hours. Finding out what PHP actually runs took eleven. The internet isn't held together with code. It's held together with servers everyone is afraid to turn off.
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The Magnificent 7 at Celtic Park!
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Back to winning ways. @CelticFC
FULL-TIME ⏱️ 🙌 A winning return to action! #MOTCEL | #CelticFC🍀
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“Focusing on making a product better…going to become a more effective strategy for companies.” - @patrickc
Assorted things I've been mulling over regarding agents in the economy: • Companies are in some sense the original superintelligence. It's often the case that they can use their amortized cognitive surplus to advance their interests against those of certain consumers: relative to the optimization capacity of companies, consumers can be inattentive, underinformed, irrational, etc. (Think, say, of some of the classic insurance upsells at the end of a booking process, which is typically priced substantially above what a regular policy would cost.) Herbert Simon introduced the idea of bounded rationality, and firms often end up benefiting from it. Thanks to personal agents, we will probably get somewhat more rational in how we engage with companies. • How exactly will outcomes change? Well, certain kinds of price discrimination will work less well (how do coupons work if every agent hunts fastidiously for them?), and certain kinds of customer cross-subsidy will change (today, people who forget to cancel subscriptions subsidize those who don't). Taken across the economy as a whole, I'm not sure what the incidence of all of this will be. • In corporate strategy, people have long debated the relative importance of distribution and product quality. Perhaps you've made something better, but does anyone know about it? Won't people just continue to buy the ACME Corp Mousetraps? Personal agents will, I think, act as a kind of structural subsidy for product quality. How would markets look different if individuals always spent at least 10 hours researching their purchases? On the margin, focusing on making a product better is, I think, going to become a more effective strategy for companies. This is good! • It true, a corollary is that information about product quality will become more important and impactful. Today, most people have very limited ability to aggregate and integrate such data, but agents will have insatiable thirst for such signals. (It's often said that data is becoming more valuable because it helps in the training of models. That's obviously true, but I think there's a secondary way in which it's more valuable simply as a complement to cheaper intelligence.) • A big question is whether agents will increase superstar effects (rational agents all settle on the same product) or increase dispersion (because everyone has slightly different tastes and preferences, which agents are good at eliciting, finally overcoming the artificial clustering we've been subjected to). • Many internet companies have monetized demand routing, which is in turn often predicated on short attention spans. "I'll click on the first thing I see." This has led to some amount of inefficiency, as companies try to propitiate capricious ranking algorithms and incur various placement fees. It's not all deadweight loss (willingness to pay is itself a kind of signal, which is valuable to buyers), but it's not great. How will the nature and value of this routing change in a world of personal agents? I don't know the answer, but I think that the effects might be pretty big. • Much of what I'm writing hinges on the assumption that personal agents will be on the consumer's side. I suspect that that will be the winning strategy, but whether it's true, and what it means to be true, involves a lot of other questions. Taken as a whole, the market is a massively parallelized, decentralized, and highly imperfect value attribution machine, and, taking stock of all of the effects, it seems to me that the quality point may well be the biggest: that agents will change the nature of the backpropagation such that the rewards for better products increase. Maybe this is too optimistic, but I suspect (and hope) that companies that make things that they're proud of will feel that the universe is a little more partisan in their favor.
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Pirates and architects. Add in a poet and you have the makings of a good team.
Tired: Two-pizza teams Wired: Two-slice teams @danshipper on the best team structure in the AI-era
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Choose where you focus wisely.
What tasks should AI be trusted with, and when should humans remain involved? Designing those decision rights is one of the defining challenges of the AI era. Researchers at @MIT_CISR have developed a framework to help. Learn more: bit.ly/4zed20M
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My 3D printed robot can help you with that.
Some days I think everyone is good at using agents except me. I'm trying to get Codex CLI to give me feedback on some config in a browser tab. It can't figure out how to get access to the browser. Sends me on a wild goose chase. Forgetting it's the CLI Codex and not the desktop app. I end up googling solutions. Now trying to install various browser use tools. Permissions nightmare. An hour in and have made zero progress. Meanwhile everyone else is apparently 3d printing AI powered robots to trade stocks and plan vacations or something.
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Sensing a pattern here.
the convergence of design. 1: TVs
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"The future is already here — (tokens) just not very evenly distributed." - William Gibson @LukeW
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Steve MacLaughlin retweeted
Alan Kay said you can live 10 to 15 years in the future if you're willing to pay 10 to 20x for it. at Xerox PARC he & other researchers had personal computers a decade before anyone else. unlimited tokens are the modern equivalent of that. though today maybe its more like 3-5 years in the future with how fast technology diffuses.
it's under appreciated how much unlimited tokens is a draw for top-tier talent.
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This has proven to be true so many times.
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Love being able to see data about data. @PeterJ_Walker @cclark
Once a month --> once a week --> every single day. Keeping up with new model launches is a full time job.
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Ideas are easy. Execution is hard.
The gap between "I had that idea" and "I built that business" is about 10,000 hours of work nobody wanted to do.
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Everyone is part of a team of builders.
This idea that "everyone is a builder now" and therefore all specific roles are out the window is over-blurring. Roles follow from differences in what we can see and judge. When one person doesn't have every single kind of judgement necessary, you are back to teamwork.
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Steve MacLaughlin retweeted
What’s an unique class that you can take at the IU Lilly Family School of Philanthropy? Professor Genevieve Shaker, Ph.D. talks about her most unique class. Learn more about our degree programs: philanthropy.indianapolis.iu…
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