In Omaha, @USRepMikeFlood speaks about his discovery of reduced balloon launches, pushed for @NWS to be essential personnel and pulled out of #DOGE reduction in force. #nwa26

Heavy rainfall threat increasing for Saturday afternoon, evening...leading into Sunday. The slight risk (yellow) points towards a low-end risk of exceeding rainfall amounts that could produce flooding... something we'll be watching this weekend.

A few nice days before rain chances ramp up and stick around...

not bad, not bad.

Monday will mark the 9th day in a row with afternoon highs at 90° or greater! A weak front sliding through the area may trigger a shower, but will deliver slightly lower humidity by day's end.

Yikes -- three weeks until we settle into our "winter" ways. Some will probably be happy to get some daylight in the morning hours, yea?

Between Elgin and Mobile - excellent radar capture for landfall tonight. This includes monitoring of wind, hydro and svr/tor threat.

In 2017 when @NHC_Surge started pumping out products, it was a new frontier in tropical forecasting, messaging. Here in 2026, the value is (probably) taken for granted. The team locked in on the first forecast for #Isaías and hasn't looked back. Not an easy forecast, folks.

The advancement of AI modeling is a compliment to overall impact messaging - it is not the new, singular path to hurricane forecasting. Every element of data collection, model evaluation & human guidance is essential to construct a useable forecast. AI tools aid the process.

As an enterprise rooted in weather communication - sharing organized, actionable assessment and logical preparation to consumers (viewers) IS the name of the game. Every model run, sat image loses value... critical messaging rises to the top. Fanatical X accounts are buggin'!

Now: Tropical Depression Nine forms in Gulf, forecast to be the Atlantic season's first hurricane as it heads to the northern Gulf coast. @nbc6

Could TBD "Isaias" be the lone hurricane of '26? Let's see if the ingredients are right.

8pm Monday --> Stepping closer to a tropical depression developing in the Gulf over the next few days... @nbc6

Annual reminder for the young keyboard hype'rs with access to aggressive and unrealistic model runs. You are being monitored from above.

EPS on 92L tells the tale of meandering genesis, spread in possibilities.

3 day forecast totals - aligned with presence of frontal boundary along Gulf coast, Florida.

Monday is looking good... then, back to the rainy season. Lower confidence for Friday-Sunday... but right now, we'll trend down on shower coverage. TBD.

“How much is the Earth?” Who Owns the Moon? nytimes.com/2026/10/04/world… via @NYTimes

Watching the SW Gulf this week for potential development. Thursday and beyond… 30% (low) for now. As always, ignore the hype posts from accounts that cheer for storms. If there is development, it would be slow and steady. Plenty of time to monitor over the next several days

Today’s the day. Rigatoni with heavy marinara. @LaurenCBS4 conduct yourself accordingly.