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Joined September 2010
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Don't get carried away by greed and euphoria. Learn to take profits. #Bitcoin #SPY #StockMarket
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Keep in mind that the market is constantly changing day by day, and market sentiment can shift very quickly. It’s not possible to predict the future—only to make the best assessment based on the current circumstances. Honestly, this whole tariff situation caught a lot of people by surprise, and the repercussions could be detrimental if it escalates too far. It’s also worth paying attention to other stock markets like Argentina, Asia, and other emerging economies, which could present great opportunities. Make no mistake—Bitcoin will rule the world. Will it happen in the near term? Maybe not. But in the long term, it may eventually surpass a million dollars.
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Hey, how’s it going? Nothing much. BTC is still chopping—and it will likely continue to chop for a while, especially with the ongoing tariff uncertainty around the world. Gold is currently being seen as the safe haven asset, not Bitcoin, which is still viewed as high-risk. At this point, the best move is not to trade but to hold the asset. BTC could eventually make a move toward the 90Ks, but depending on how the tariff situation unfolds, it might either drop into the 60Ks or continue higher. Keep in mind: when gold starts rising, it usually isn’t a great sign for broader market conditions. Bitcoin is still going through corrective phases—lots of zig-zag moves that overlap—so it’s better not to trade until a clear upward trend begins. Don’t fall for the trap of thinking you’re buying low and it’s headed to 200K in the near term. It’s better to wait until the dust settles—you might even get a chance to buy BTC at lower prices. I’d love to have more time to make these posts and expand on my stock market analysis, which I do daily. For now, think of this as a sort of diary. And remember—it’s good to buy the dip, but make sure you’re not buying a falling knife! Because it can go deeper!
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What's up ! BTC still chopping; near the 90's; there are still 10 days left in February; feels kind of like a bearish sentiment. There is weakness in the alts in general; $BTC remains strong. It might bleed a bit lower to the +-90's. It is highly likely we get a significant move either way; in the remaining days of the month. BTC remains strong; even if it goes to the 80's it would be nothing uncommon. So there is nothing to do; the worst thing to do is to capitulate your holdings. HODL.
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Bitcoin needs to reset sentiment. People will kind off get bearish at support around the +-90's; and liquidity will be available due to that fearful bearish impatient sentiment. It is not just the lines of the chart but trying to understand what could be happening behind people's minds. Perhaps it could bleed below the psychological number of 90k but if that move happens it will be very brief. Patience; there is nothing else to do. #BTC
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If these levels are reached it is a great entry opportunity. Of course I would not be surprised if the move does not reaches these levels; this would mean the buying is really strong and can further confirm the continuation of the uptrend. We still needs to get out of this freaking range.
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A slow bleed to 90–91K. #BTC is still stuck in a range. Typically, after a heavy flush, the price can slowly bleed to lower levels, grab liquidity, and then continue its upward move. February is still in play and can bring many surprises. Overall, the primary uptrend remains intact. These ranges are designed to either trap you in or keep you out of the trend. It’s a period of deceptive movements that tests the patience of those holding the asset.
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Correction: A slow bleed to 90-91k is possible.
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100% allocation can be made at 90-91k levels. A less agressive move would be to wait to get out of the range around the 107-108k level.
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All cryptocurrencies are set to pump soon. That flush down to 90k was very important; the move was instantaneous and quickly bought up, most likely by unleveraged spot buyers. This indicates a prevailing interest in #BTC. Similar moves happened in altcoins; this mega wick down reflects a market with conviction. The macro environment is perfectly aligned for this trend to continue. The most likely move now is to the upside; it’s time for this range to break. While it may seem counterintuitive, the recent dump was necessary and will help tremendously in allowing the price to increase organically rather than artificially.
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Any catalyst or news will send this to the upside.
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There has been around two flushes in the current range to 90k; the last one being in 13 January; it is breakout time.
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President Trump’s World Liberty Financial keeps buying more crypto every day
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BTC to 90k. Bottom of the range.
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Amazing. Good flush. This will add to trend sustainability.
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February is approaching, and the trend remains strong. The mini flush to 97K–98K was quickly bought up. We need one bullish candle to confirm continuation, with a close above 108K being ideal. The daily chart looks strong—either it flushes to 90K or closes above 108K. Regardless of the scenario, a 100% allocation is justified in either case. Technical analysis is about reacting to price action in a structured and mechanical way, not predicting it. Drawing lines on a chart won’t predict the future—it’s all about having a solid methodology and effective risk control. #BTC
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BTC is still trading within a range and has yet to close above 108k. If this sideways movement continues, it could lead to a small flush to the 90k level, the bottom of the current range, before continuing upward. The uptrend remains unbroken and intact, making it a matter of time and patience. February is less than a week away, and historically, it is one of the best months for positive price performance, with an 80% probability of being favorable. While the future cannot be predicted, everything appears aligned for this move to continue. Sideways movements, however, can be highly deceptive. On the positive side, the longer it ranges, the more powerful the eventual move becomes. This process enables greater reaccumulation by spot buyers while flushing out leveraged traders. Leverage often causes extreme blow-off tops due to artificially inflated prices. Spot buying, in contrast, promotes a more sustainable and organic trend.
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The M2 global money supply is starting to increase, which usually front-runs the price of BTC by a few days. I guess it’s just a matter of patience.
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Volume looks favorable, with very low sell-side volume so far. This means that whenever the price goes down, the volume remains relatively low. Sooner or later, this is likely to break to the upside. A daily close above 108k would be ideal.
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BTC short-term target: February is expected to be a good month. I estimate the price will reach somewhere between 120k and 130k at least. If it goes beyond that, it could invalidate the giant ABC move and form an extended Elliott wave toward higher targets and beyond. I’ve found Elliott wave analysis particularly useful for long-term projections. The macro environment and the media supports this view. #BTC #BTCUSDT
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Will February 2025 be a bull month ? It's been positive 80% of the time. We'll see. Cheers Lower Bound and Higher Bound are the 95% Confidence Intervals of the Returns
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