#CFB Week 8 Play #1 Isaiah Marshall 28+ PA (-131 DK/CS) - Kansas Jayhawks Alt 28.5 worth 0.8u Alt 215.5 yards worth 0.6u Tough rushing matchup for Kansas. They have the 4th ranked rush defense according to PFF. Baylor is forcing opponents to throw at the 10th highest passing play%. The 2nd most PA per game with 40.2 Marshal excluding 2 45+ point wins is over in 3/4 games this season. 30 PA vs Mizzou 33 PA vs ASU 37 PA vs Utah 26 PA vs KSU (kick return early, only one drive in 1st quarter + only had ball for 23 minutes total that game) Baylor is also the fastest team in football, so don’t expect them to have 37 minutes TOP like KSU. QBs vs Baylor Brown 35 PA (avg 30.8) Kukak 44 PA (limited games for avg) Colorado 42 PA Boley 43 PA (avg 31.6) Craig 36 PA (avg 31.2) #Gambling𝕏 #PrizePicks #DFS #DraftKings

#CFB Week 6 Play #1 Keelon Russell o 26.5 PA (-125 365/DK/HR/Fliff) - Alabama Crimson Tide This prop was eyeing me all week but couldn’t play it with the Hurricane lurking around. Now it’s looking like the rain will be done an hour before kickoff, and the winds are down where it should be a factor. Keelon has only been forced to throw for about half a game and that was vs FSU. Found themselves trailing early and didn’t get the lead back til the 2nd drive of the 2nd half. He ended this game with 30 PA. Georgia has an elite rush D that I Bama will be forced to throw. The are forcing opponents to throw 55.6% of the time, that’s top 10 highest. QBs vs Georgia WKU combined 37 PA Arkansas combined 42 PA Mateer 34 PA Berlowitz 25 PA (backup QB, only ran 16 total plays in 2nd half) Should be a close game here and clears easy in a trailing game script and can still clear with a 1 score lead just because of how good the run D is. #Gambling𝕏 #PrizePicks

#CFB Week 5 Card Will post any new plays with write ups as I find the today so keep a look out. Byrum Brown o 32.5 PA (-116 DK/CS/365/HR/Fliff) - 1u - Auburn Darius Taylor o 2.5 receptions (+145 365/HR/Fliff) - 0.5u - Gophers Aaron Philo o 5.5 RA (-125 365/DK/CS/Fliff) - 0.6u ~ Florida Fame Ijeboi o 13.5 RA (-120 365/DK/CS/Fliff) - 0.8u - Purdue Ryan Browne u 7.5 RA (-125 Fliff) - 0.7u - Purdue Dylan Edwards o 13.5 RA (-125 365/DK/CS/Fliff) - 0.6u ~ Kansas #Gambling𝕏 #PrizePicks #DFS

#CFB Week 5 Play #1 Preston Douglas o 3.5 Receptions (+125 365/DK/FD/CS/Fliff/+) ~ NC State Wolfpack Alt yards good for same at 29.5. Douglas has cemented himself into this TE1 role seeing and increase from 26 and 24 snaps the first 2 games, to the last 2 with 64 and 65 snaps. He was running routes on 71.9% and 87.5% of pass snaps those 2 games. 10 and 11 snaps even coming out of the slot. 11 targets over the last 2 games with and ADot of 7.1. In each of his last 2 games with comfortable winning scripts he has logged 50 and 46 yards and 4 and 5 catches. He slots into the Justin Joly role from this offense last year. Joly had 4+ catches in 9 of his 11 games and 4+ targets in all 11 regular season. His 2 misses on catches came vs Miami and ND both top Ds in the league Louisville is 58th according to PFF in coverage, allowing 19 completions a game including 21 to Chambliss and 24 to Jennings. Yards wise they are allowing 266 yards in the air which is bottom 30 in the league. Rain looks mostly clear for this game now with just some light rain forecasted. Even with a little rain the won’t be able to abandon the pass game vs Louisville and they use him on shot passes anyway With close spread of 3.5 and a high total of 58.5 we should see a positive game script for Nc State to throw the ball. #Gambling𝕏 #PrizePicks

#CFB Week 4 Play #2 Kamario Taylor o 11.5 RA (-115 365/CS/DK/Fliff/CB) ~ Mississippi State Get a nice buy low spot for Kamario after coming off a very weird script for him. Trailed the games by 2 scores most of first half. They only ran 4 plays in the first quarter and in the 2nd quarter had a 68 and 75 yards drive that lasted 3 and 4 plays. On top of this he had 3 RA called back due to penalties. Finished the 1st half with only 2 RA A much better script that has them as -6.5 point favorites. Should have him pull the RPO way more than his 1 designed run last week. Missouri has the #1 ranked pass rush in FBS so far. They are averaging 3.5 sacks per game this season. And 19.3 pressures per game. Kamario has been pressured 21 times this year. He has scrambled 8 of those and been sacked on 3. That’s over 50% of drop back pressures that he is logging an RA on. Expecting 2-3 sacks, 7-8 scrambles and 4-5 designed runs. Have this line closer to 13.5 Marshall had season high RA - 20 Excluding their 50 point win he is over this line comfortably in 3/4 games as a starter with the one miss being last weeks game as mentioned before. #Gambling𝕏 #PrizePicks #DFS

#CFB Week 4 Play #1 John Mateer o 16.5 comps (-130 365/HR/DK/CS/Fliff) - Oklahoma Sooners Yards is an ok alt here if no access. Mateer and the Sooners come into this game as +14.5 dogs. In 4 losses under current at OU he’s is over in all 4 games averaging 20 comps in losses. Over in 12 of 15 games at OU. Mateer is also over in both competive games this year. 2 FBS schools vs Georgia this year have completed 18 and 28 passes vs this defense. In 11 SEC games last year 9 of those QBs had 19+ completions and defensive scheme does not change here. This OU running game has been atrocious this year and it’s not gonna get any easier vs Georgia. Game script and bad run matchup is going to force them to throw. #Gambling𝕏 #Draftkings #DFS #PrizePicks

#CFB Week 3 Play #3 Byrum Brown o 18.5 comps (365/HR/DK/Fliff) - Auburn Tigers Premium got this at 17.5 but still a big fan of this number. Yards are ok option if not access as well. Brown stays in same offense where he gets a familiar matchup vs Florida. Logged 23 completions on 36 attempts. Under same OC last season he had 23 comps 2 point win vs Florida 20 comps L vs Miami 26 comps 3 point L vs Memphis 23 comps 3 point L vs Navy This year he has 26 comps in 1 point win 18 comps in 3 quarters 35 point win Florida has an elite rush defense so gonna be forced to pass in what should be a close game. -2.5 Florida is spread. FAU had success in the passing game with Veltcamp going 34/52. Probably not gonna get quite the same script and FAU is very pass heavy but non power team was able to expose their secondary. This offense runs some easy high completion throws which make me lean comps ever so slightly. 55% of passes within 9 yards of scrimmage. He is 30/35 on those passes #Gambling𝕏 #PrizePicks

Friday Night #CFB Play 🏈 Will Hammond o 15.5 comps (-130 365/ -133 DK/ -145 Fliff) ~ Texas Tech Red Raiders Line had steamed down way too low with the news of Tommy getting more snaps this game. He shouldn’t cut into his passing snaps. Tommy will take the designed runs. In this offense the QB room has 25 comps 27 comps 27 comps 25 comps 28 comps 14 comps (23 TOP, 25 point win) 21 comps 17 comps 27 comps 25 comps 20 comps 18 comps 26 comps 20 comps Just gotta bite at this low of a line in what should be a competitive game tonight. #Gambling𝕏 #DFS #PrizePicks