An online journal on Russian affairs. На русском @RidlRussia

Joined May 2015
Riddle Russia retweeted
Can we trust Kremlin sources? 🧵 Putin’s talks with Trump remain a bit of a black box—so leaks fill the gap. The latest: Putin supposedly wants peace but fears elites and the public would “kill him” if he conceded. 1/4
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Key Russian political events of the week: Duma Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin (record 3rd term) proposed KPIs for parliamentary committee chairs. Indicators would cover oversight of state programs. Underperformers could face disciplinary action or removal. 1/6
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Riddle Russia retweeted
Check out @RiddleRussia series "Transformed by War: Russia’s Partners Since 2022", now with 17 articles: Turkey, Germany, Belarus, BRICS, Tajikistan, North Korea, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Transnistria, China, Iran, Venezuela, Africa, Israel, Armenia, Gulf states, Kyrgyzstan 1/2
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Riddle Russia retweeted
Sber’s brand is valued at ₽2.35 trillion ($28.0 billion USD) by BrandLab—about 37% of the bank’s market cap and nearly four times higher than Brand Finance’s earlier estimate. What do these numbers actually show about Russia’s corporate landscape? And what can’t they tell us? #sanctions Thread 1/4
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BrandLab ranks Sber at ₽2.35T (37% of market cap)—far above prior international estimates. What these brand numbers reveal about Russia’s corporate landscape, and what they can’t tell you: ridl.io/what-russia-s-brand-…
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Riddle Russia retweeted
#China and Russia: The full-scale war accelerated Russia–China ties but did not turn them into a formal alliance. The relationship remains a flexible partnership without binding obligations. Thread 1/4
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Riddle Russia retweeted
Putin’s personnel policy is on pause. Even after the Duma elections he stuck to an ultra-conservative approach: longevity for familiar faces, no real reshuffles, and carefully controlled “new elite” entry. New Pertsev on @RiddleRussia Thread 1/5
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Riddle Russia retweeted
Before 2022, Moscow kept Pyongyang at arm’s length. After Ukraine, they are in the same boat: two sanctioned states with a treaty that promises military help if either is at war. Roman Chernikov in @RiddleRussia on how the war rewired the relationship. 1/4
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Riddle Russia retweeted
After the Duma elections, will Russia launch another mobilization? @IrisovaOlga and I surveyed 26 specialists. 46% say the chance by end of 2026 is high. Most expect 200–300k, not half a million. And it may not even be called “mobilization.” 1/4
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The problem of Western experts and institutions 'data washing' dodgy Russian stats: ridl.io/seven-mistakes-in-an…
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Riddle Russia retweeted
After the Duma vote, the Kremlin is more likely to grab assets and raise the squeeze than to put the economy on a real war footing. That is @Vladi_Moscou's read in the latest @RiddleRussia piece. 1/4
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Riddle Russia retweeted
A new @Riddle_Russia piece analyses OVD-Info data on repression during the 2026 Duma election, breaking down how ballot “sterilization” and coercion shaped the vote — and what the numbers foreshadow for future repressions. Read the full analysis: ridl.io/repression-around-ru…
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Riddle Russia retweeted
Kremlin knows which Russian figures Western analysts actually use. Common mistakes: treating official prices as market prices, ignoring decrees that change what the number means, and reading buffers as proof of stability. How to avoid them: @RiddleRussia ridl.io/seven-mistakes-in-an…
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Most analysis of the Russian economy still makes the same 7 mistakes. Official figures are not market data. Decrees change what the numbers mean. Stockpiles only buy time. Rescue measures are often admissions of failure. Full breakdown: ridl.io/seven-mistakes-in-an…
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The 2026 Duma vote was less a contest than a control exercise. OVD-Info logged 590 reports of administrative pressure and 18 detentions — lower than 2024 not because the system eased up, but because the opposition had already been cleared from the field ridl.io/repression-around-ru…
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