Using academic research to drive positive change within and around the effective altruism movement. https://xitter.cf/t.co/1OdfLBv4W1
Oxford, UK
Joined December 2022
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Reflective Altruism retweeted
There's been a lot of recent concern about existential risk from power-seeking AI. I push back against that concern in a new paper: philpapers.org/rec/THOICA-10
Reflective Altruism retweeted
Stumbled upon an interesting debate on AI super-intelligence from 2011. Yudkowsky makes three core claims/predictions, all of which are (to date) wrong:
1) That human intelligence is relatively simple and ASI can be achieved with a few small innovations; ...
Reflective Altruism retweeted
Perhaps I should get married again so that the media has a more recent man they can reference any time they mention me or my work.
Reflective Altruism retweeted
A statement on the comments from Secretary of War Pete Hegseth.
anthropic.com/news/statement…
Reflective Altruism retweeted
It’s extremely good that Anthropic has not backed down, and it’s siginficant that OpenAI has taken a similar stance.
In the future, there will be much more challenging situations of this nature, and it will be critical for the relevant leaders to rise up to the occasion, for fierce competitors to put their differences aside. Good to see that happen today.
Reflective Altruism retweeted
Today's the day! Essays on longtermism is now out (open access) with Oxford University Press. academic.oup.com/book/60794
Reflective Altruism retweeted
ALLFED running a funding appeal to not fire half of their staff. I think they are doing good work, and they seem good for increasing resiliency during black swans (e.g., during a big solar flare)
Reflective Altruism retweeted
The paper has now been published! You can find it, open access, here: doi.org/10.1111/phpr.70007
I'm very excited to announce that my paper 'Longtermism and Aggregation' has been accepted at Philosophy and Phenomenological Research!
If you'd like to read an earlier draft of the paper, it's available here: globalprioritiesinstitute.or…
Reflective Altruism retweeted
New @biounethical is out!
@DavidThorstad: Evidence, uncertainty, and existential risk
We discuss longtermism, how we should reason about existential risks under significant uncertainty, the role of speculation in philosophy, and much more.
Links ⬇️
Reflective Altruism retweeted
Philosophy departments are competing in a charity fundraiser. Has your department entered yet? dailynous.com/2024/12/02/phi…
Reflective Altruism retweeted
Out today. Free access code below. journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10…
Reflective Altruism retweeted
18 months ago I naively thought, post SBF and Bostrom email, that the effective altruism community would start to self-reform.
The recipe was simple - review what happened and make changes based on that, and start to decouple formally (e.g. online fora linkages) and informally (e.g. norms in such fora re: discussing racism; treatment of conflicts of interest in funding relationships) from the various associated issues in the closely linked rationalist community…
Oops 🫠
Reflective Altruism retweeted
It's become hard not to notice how many people's p(doom) can be pretty easily predicted by their specific social scene, among other things
Reflective Altruism retweeted
The EA and rationalist communities in some ways have more similar social epistemic dynamics to the societal default than is often appreciated.
E.g. overconfidence is often much too rewarded (if it's pulled off in the right way, with convincing assertiveness).
Reflective Altruism retweeted
This account of the psychology of existential risk seems one-sided; as if all biases point in the direction of underestimating x-risk.
In many contexts, many people rather seem to overestimate x-risk - and that likely in part has psychological causes.
pauseai.info/psychology-of-x…
Reflective Altruism retweeted
Lastly, this piece by Luke Kemp is also useful on the 'dangers of emergency powers' topic, which is quite germane to this
bbc.com/future/article/20210…
Reflective Altruism retweeted
A summary of @DavidThorstad's paper, Against the singularity hypothesis, is now available to read here: globalprioritiesinstitute.or…
Many thanks to Riley Harris for writing this summary!
Reflective Altruism retweeted
My paper "Against the singularity hypothesis" is now forthcoming and available online (open access) at Phil Studies link.springer.com/article/10…. Resources below
