Oil, Energy and Macro. Investing and Trading. I stay out of politics but not science/math. AI, Biotech, Fusion & Quantum Reweet/follow ≠ agreement. Lucky≠Good.

Switzerland
Joined December 2009
Rising interest rates are threatening to derail an already fragile recovery in global commercial real estate ft.com/content/aef890f1-e3f5… “The only logical conclusion is that real estate values have to fall,”
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🔥 🧵 MASSIVE DRONE ATTACK ON ST. PETERSBURG Oil terminal: 12.5Mt /y ! Ruchyi oil depot ON FIRE. VKontakte data center HIT Major bridge HIT🧵
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Fitz macro retweeted
S&P 500 - TRUMP DEC 2020 3,647 - BIDEN JAN 2022 4,796 +31.5% INCREASE I know he counts on you having no idea how a calculator works or how to Google basic facts, but this took less than 30 seconds to look up.
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Mike Flynn resigned as National Security Advisor in Feb 2017 after lying to VP Pence about his pre-inauguration calls with Russia’s ambassador on sanctions. Here’s Flynn sitting right next to Putin at a 2015 Moscow gala.
Zelensky is the single biggest obstacle to achieving peace in the Ukraine. Once everyone realizes that, this war will end and people of that region of the world can start rebuilding their lives.
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Fitz macro retweeted
NEW: Megadonors have now poured *2.3 billion* into the midterm elections. Leading the pack is Elon Musk, the world's richest man, who is now the biggest individual political donor in American history. Six donors have given $100M+. Read here: washingtonpost.com/elections…
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The United States budget deficit approached $2 trillion in the 2026 fiscal year, its highest level since the pandemic, as spending on the military, safety net programs and interest on the debt dwarfed the Trump administration’s cost cuts, Treasury Department figures showed on Friday. Per @arappeport
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Yes, the scale changes from picture to picture but the trend is clear: EV adoption merrily moves upwards around the world. With oil refineries around the world being bombed it’s only logical that this trend speeds up further.
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#tesla #spacex merger? Seems like this should be worth less not more. Let's see.
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Still 5 mbld below pre-war, and given that ships are getting shot at like fishes in a barrel, I do not see much upside here.
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Containers from the sunk container ship have started to spread. This is a hazard for sailboats and smaller ships, as hitting a partially submerged container can easily rip the hull open. It can break a large ship propeller shaft too.
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Fitz macro retweeted
US has not spent $350B on Ukraine. It has spent $132B, $33B of that is money. The rest is $21B in loans, repaid from frozen Russian assets, $4B in humanitarian aid, and the vast majority, $74B is military equipment. Half that equipment is new, made in the US. The other half is old stockpile equipment, which soon would have had to be demilitarized at great cost. The replacement equipment is made in the US, so the money stays in the US. 
Meanwhile, the EU and European countries have spent a combined $271B, more than twice as much as the US.
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Fitz macro retweeted
White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia’s husband, Tyler Zacharia, helped expand Schulze Global Investments (later SGI Frontier Capital) into North Korea while based in China, where Katie also previously lived. The firm made three loans to North Korean mining companies in 2008 and provided a $1 million loan to a North Korean conglomerate in 2011, while U.S. sanctions on North Korea were in effect. Follow: @AFpost
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In Bulgaria, near Sofia, two masked individuals set fire to 11 of the 17 SpaceX antennas providing Starlink connectivity. According to Bulgarian MP Ivaylo Mirchev, these stations provided backbone connectivity to satellites, including for Ukraine. Mirchev called on the security services and the Interior Ministry to explain what had happened: "It was no coincidence that these particular antennas were set on fire. They provide the backbone communications link to these satellites. The same thing happened to similar antennas in Poland at the end of September." Bulgarian PM Rumen Radev refused to disclose details of the suspected arson, citing the ongoing investigation, BNR News reports. The Interior Ministry said that security at similar facilities had already been stepped up.
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Fitz macro retweeted
General Keith Kellogg: “I would burn down every one of the goddamn refineries that Russia has today. Take them all out. It’s a military target.” It is the fastest way to end this war, because it is the fastest way to deprive Russia from the means to wage it.
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And at this very moment, Trump decides to withdraw support from Ukraine. Ukraine was unprepared for the restrictions on Starlink and the lack of intelligence data from the West. The loss of this support "caught the Ukrainian military completely off guard," writes the *Financial Times*, citing a senior Ukrainian government official. According to him, the restrictions were implemented "without warning, simply in the middle of the night." This complicated logistics for Ukrainian forces at the front. It also made it harder for the Ukrainian military to strike Russian supply lines. Let’s assume, for the sake of argument, that for Trump it isn't about values ​​but about money—following the adage that "money makes the world go round," and so on. But—damn it—providing intelligence data and operating Starlink doesn't cost the average American a single cent! How will American voters react to such blatant betrayal of an ally that has been defending itself—and Europe—against a vastly superior adversary for nearly five years? According to many military experts, the situation at the front is currently more difficult for the Russian army than at any time since September 2022. And at this very moment, Trump decides to withdraw support from Ukraine. Coincidence?
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Multiple reports from Ukraine this morning that the US has severely limited Starlink connectivity for the Ukrainian military, disrupting drone operations. Per the Ukrainian 7th Corps, drones have started dropping connections when flown over 60 mi/h (100 km/h).
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