Through objective analysis, we study what issues affect farm and rural finances and how policy decisions influence outcomes in U.S. farm and rural communities.

Columbia, MO
Joined January 2022
🔔RaFF's Early Warning System of Farm Financial Stress provides regular updates on the financial health of the US agriculture sector. The Leading Indicators update for the fall quarter is out now. 📄Read the report: raff.missouri.edu/li-fall202… 📊See the data: raff.missouri.edu/li-visuali…
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💡 Can a farm be profitable and still be under financial stress? Profitability alone can miss emerging stress and liquidity may be an important early warning signal. 📰 Our latest policy brief explores a trend to watch in #IowaAgriculture. Read more: raff.missouri.edu/higher-inc…
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📣 Introducing RaFF's all-new 2026 ARC/PLC Payments Explorer. A tool to help producers compare potential ARC-CO and PLC payments for eligible commodities in their county under alternative price and yield scenarios. 🔗 raff.missouri.edu/arc-plc-pe…
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The #OBBBA changes to ARC-CO and PLC are projected to increase commodity program payments relative to the '18 Farm Bill. A new policy brief presents projected payments for corn, soybeans & wheat for 2025 & 2026 crop years. Read full details in the brief: raff.missouri.edu/extra-arc-…
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A new RaFF policy brief examines how lender funding costs and local credit market competition influence farm loan interest rates. Finding: only a small share of increases is passed to borrowers, with important differences across lender types. Read it at raff.missouri.edu/lender-cos…
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A new RaFF policy brief examines trends in U.S. Chapter 12 farm bankruptcy filings for the first semester of 2026. We highlight where farm financial stress has been most concentrated and how patterns have shifted since 2024. Read more here: raff.missouri.edu/bankruptcy…
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A new RaFF policy brief explores how ad hoc assistance to ag producers has evolved alongside today’s farm safety net. Read how these programs overlap in purpose, timing, and coverage, and how they create new considerations for policymakers & producers. 🔗raff.missouri.edu/ad-hoc/
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We are excited to launch RaFF's Leading Indicators Data Visualizer, a new interactive resource that helps users explore key measures of farm financial stress through 15 data-driven indicators. 🔗 raff.missouri.edu/li-visuali… #AgFinance #FarmEconomy #DataAnalytics #Agriculture #Mizzou
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The RaFF team was honored to present our work to a highly engaged audience at #AAEA2026. Enthusiastic responses to our presentations reinforce the relevance and value of this work. We look forward to more connections and conversations next year. See you in Philly! 🔔
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Solar development on U.S. farmland is expanding fast, bringing new income opportunities and land-use concerns. A new RaFF policy brief explores this through conflict, synergy, and compromise: raff.missouri.edu/solar/ #Agriculture #SolarEnergy #RuralAmerica #PolicyResearch
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🚜 RaFF is hiring! The Project Lead for the Early Warning System of Farm Financial Stress helps identify and communicate emerging financial challenges facing farmers and rural communities. Apply online by searching Staff Positions for Job ID 60277 at hr.missouri.edu.
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Headed to #AAEA2026? The RaFF team looks forward to seeing you! Our work will be featured in these sessions: 💵 Session 177480 🌽 Session 196017 📊 Session 196185 🚜Poster Session 177488 See you in Kansas City! 🏭
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RaFF's Early Warning System of Farm Financial Stress provides data-driven indicators and real-world perspectives to identify emerging risks. Two new reports help us understand where agricultural financial conditions stand today—and what may lie ahead. 🔗 raff.missouri.edu/outlooks-d…
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Sharing our new article in Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy: "Temporary Programs, Lasting Questions: Ad Hoc Assistance in the U.S. Farm Safety Net." We focus on what repeated ad hoc assistance means for producers and policy design. Open access: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…
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A new Policy Brief from RaFF -- Farm Cash Receipts Expected Impact on the Iowa Economy: 2026 Estimated ripple effects from #IowaAg's projected $38.5B in 2026 farm cash receipts: 👥 ~175,000 jobs 💰 +$24.7B state GDP 🪙 +$3.7B tax rev Read more here: raff.missouri.edu/policy-bri…
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🆕 RaFF Policy Brief: A Review of Recent Farm Income Outlook Reports: Spring 2026 An excellent recap of 10 state-level reports, it provides summaries of national trends, state trends, and uncertainties. Charts and tables included. 🔗 Read it here: raff.missouri.edu/policy-bri…
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🆕 New RaFF Report: Leading Indicators of Farm Financial Stress: Spring 2026. Expert economists see moderate risk overall. Real U.S. net farm income is projected at 96% of 2023 levels in 2026 and 80% by 2027. 🔗 Read it here: raff.missouri.edu/outlooks-d…
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❕Attention #MissouriAg ❕Join RaFF's inaugural Spring 2026 Farm Income Outlook webinar: Tues, May 5, at noon. Our experts will present findings and take your questions. Practical insights for the year ahead! 🔗Register to get the link: extension.missouri.edu/event…
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➡️ Available now: Spring 2026 Farm Income Outlook for Illinois Illinois net farm income is projected at +11% in 2026, driven by a $1.29B increase in govt payments. Other highlights: 🌽 Crop receipts -1% 🥚 Livestock receipts -5% 📉 Expenses +1% Read it: raff.missouri.edu/state-outl…
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