Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
Are you ready to have your mind blown?
Since 1982, money invested after a Fed rate HIKE has actually outperformed money invested after a Fed rate CUT. 🤯🤯🤯
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
SUMMARY OF FED DECISION (9/16/2026):
1. Fed hikes interest rates by 25 bps for first time since July 2023
2. The decision was made in a 12-0 unanimous vote
3. Fed says the decision will support a "timelier" return to 2% inflation
4. Median Fed forecast shows one more 25 basis point rate hike in 2026
5. Fed says job gains are strong and the unemployment rate has "changed little"
6. "The Committee will deliver price stability," the Fed's statement says
Higher for longer is back.
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
In my opinion, this is the most compelling chart for being a stock market investor.
Over the last 50 years:
-US Inflation: up 6x
-US Treasury Bills: up 8x
-S&P 500 total return: up 283x
Over the long run, stocks trounce inflation and protect your purchasing power.
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
Yields just won't stop.
You know it's bad when bond market is quite literally ignoring the US Treasury.
24 hours later and the 10Y Note Yield is now pushing into 4.80%, its highest since January 2025.
That's another +20 basis points since the low seen after the US Treasury's intervention announcement 13 days ago.
In a sudden turn of events, 7% mortgages are back, the 10Y Note Yield is nearing 5%, and markets are expecting a September rate hike.
This marks a +85 basis point run in the 10Y Note Yield since the Iran War began.
Once again, the US simply cannot afford the 10Y Note Yield at 5% for a sustained period of time.
We expect further attempts at intervention immediately.
But, the question becomes: will markets listen?
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
Reminder: the stock market isn’t Red or Blue - it’s Green.
It doesn’t care about your politics.
It runs on earnings, innovation, and growth.
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
If Nvidia, $NVDA, actually reports $108 billion in revenue for Q3 as they are guiding, that would mark +1,730% growth in 4 years.
Never in history has a company of this size grown at such a fast pace.
Once again, we are witnessing history.
Absolutely insane.
Nvidia, $NVDA, just guided $108 BILLION in revenue for Q3 alone.
And, this guidance assumes ZERO data center compute revenue from China.
This builds on the record $96.2 billion in revenue posted for last quarter for a projected total of $204.2 billion in 6 months.
We now have a $5+ trillion company is seeing +106% year-over-year revenue growth.
There has never been anything like what we are seeing right now with AI.
This is arguably the biggest technological revolution of all time.
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
$1 invested in the S&P 500 in 1990 grew to:
$40 buy and hold
$8 if you missed the 25 best days
$236 if you missed the 25 worst days
$47 if you missed the 25 best AND worst days
awealthofcommonsense.com/202…
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
What just happened?
The S&P 500 just erased nearly -$2 TRILLION of market cap just hours after 3rd strongest US jobs report in 18 months.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin is officially down over -50% from its record high in October 2025.
What's happening? Let us explain.
(a thread)
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
Last 10 Years...
Semiconductors $SOXX: +1,790% (+34% Annualized)
Nasdaq 100 $QQQ: +613% (+22% Annualized)
S&P 500 $SPY: +321% (+15% Annualized)
Video: youtube.com/watch?v=pJGsJOSA…
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
Bond markets are flashing red.
Today, the US 30Y Note Yield officially hit its highest level since July 2007, at 5.19%.
This will soon become Americans’ biggest problem, yet the vast majority do not even know it is happening.
What is happening? Let us explain.
(a thread)
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
Key Events This Week:
1. Markets React to Trump's "48 Hour Warning" - 6 PM ET Today
2. March ISM Non-Manufacturing data - Monday
3. Trump's "Iran Power Plant and Bridge Day" - Tuesday
4. Fed Meeting Minutes - Wednesday
5. February PCE Inflation data - Thursday
6. US Q4 2025 GDP data - Thursday
7. March CPI Inflation data - Friday
8. April MI Inflation Expectations data - Friday
9. April MI Consumer Sentiment data - Friday
We expect extreme volatility ahead.
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
The S&P 500 is now down 9.8% from its January peak. This is the biggest correction since the tariff turmoil last April and the longest (61 days) since the 2022 bear market. $SPX
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
No one knows how long a correction will last when you're in it
But buying stocks when they are down tends to be a good long-term strategy
A look at what happens when you buy the stock market down 10%, 20% and 30%:
awealthofcommonsense.com/202…
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
“About once every two years the market falls 10%. Every six years the market’s going to have a 25% decline. That’s all you need to know. You need to know that the market’s going to go down sometimes. If you’re not ready for that, you shouldn’t own stocks.” – Peter Lynch
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
Bitcoin is already down 30% against Gold this year.
Note that every midterm year, BTC has bled against Gold.
Here is the BTC/Gold valuation over various midterm years:
2014: -55%
2018: -73%
2022: -64%
2026: -32% (so far)
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
Historical annual returns 1928-2025:
Stocks +10.0%
Gold +5.6%
Bonds +4.5%
Housing +4.2%
Cash +3.4%
awealthofcommonsense.com/202…
Arin Ruttenberg 🎗️ retweeted
🚨 Is silver on track to become the world's 2nd-largest asset this year?
Silver market cap is up to $4.24 trillion, making it the 3rd-largest asset in the world.
It now trails only gold ($30.8T) and Nvidia ($4.6T).
The gap between silver and Nvidia is just ~$370 billion, or roughly 8%.
Silver has already overtaken Alphabet ($3.9T), Apple ($3.9T), Microsoft ($3.6T), Amazon ($2.6T), and Bitcoin ($1.8T) in 2025.
Silver would need to rise above $80 per ounce again to claim the 2nd spot.

























