OHIO SENATE: Republican Jon Husted takes the lead in the race. 🔴 Jon Husted: 49% 🔵 Sherrod Brown: 47%

GA VOTER UPDATE — as of this morning (modeled party): 🔴 GOP — 36% 🔵 Dems — 47% Independents are making up a larger share of the early vote. Based on the turnout trend so far, we expect the gap to continue tightening and the electorate to become more Republican as early voting continues.

BREAKING NEWS: Ken Paxton takes the lead in the Texas Senate race. 🔴 Ken Paxton: 49% 🔵 James Talarico: 48% “While the overall numbers have not moved much, this shift is significant because it marks the first time Paxton has led the Senate race since August.” — John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling

KANSAS VOTER INTENSITY: Republicans in Kansas are facing one of the largest gaps in voter intensity in the US. 82% of Kansas Democrats say they are very enthusiastic to vote in the midterm elections vs. 54% of Kansas Republicans.

BREAKING NEWS: The Kansas Senate race remains close, with Roger Marshall regaining the lead as Republicans improve across several swing states. Republican enthusiasm, however, remains low in Kansas. 🔴 Roger Marshall: 48% 🔵 Adam Hamilton: 47% — John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling

VOTED as of this morning in Georgia. Look for this number to tighten up over the next few days of early voting. 🔴 143,798 — GOP Primary voting history — 38% 🔵 197,596 — Dem Primary voting history — 51%

🚨 GEORGIA EARLY VOTE UPDATE — OCT. 14 Georgia has now recorded 372,174 accepted early ballots. By age: 18–39: ~40,900 — 11.2% 40–64: ~154,300 — 42.4% 65+: ~168,700 — 46.4% Nearly half of Georgia’s early voters so far are 65 or older, while voters under 40 account for just over 11% of the age-known early vote.

A few numbers that stand out in the Georgia Governor crosstabs: 🔴 Jackson leads Independents 47.5%–43.3% 🔴 Leads voters 65+ 61.9%–34.9%

BREAKING NEWS: Rick Jackson maintains a lead over Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms in the Peach State. 🔴 Rick Jackson: 49% 🔵 Keisha Lance Bottoms: 47% — John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling

Major Georgia poll dropping at 2:15 PM EDT. Stay tuned.

Michigan’s absentee ballot requests are up 20% from this point in 2022, but returns are nearly flat—up just 1.8%, from 432,960 to 440,677. So I wouldn’t read too much into the request numbers just yet. Statewide in-person early voting begins Oct. 24.

New Rasmussen polling shows tight U.S. Senate races in Minnesota, Maine, and South Carolina: MINNESOTA 🔵 Peggy Flanagan: 48% 🔴 Michele Tafoya: 45% MAINE 🔵 Troy Jackson: 49% 🔴 Susan Collins: 47% SOUTH CAROLINA 🔴 Darline Graham: 49% 🔵 Annie Andrews: 45%

Rosetta Stone Communications President John Garst addresses the Georgia Economic Development Association’s annual convention in Savannah, sharing insights on Georgia’s political landscape, national trends and what polling reveals about public opinion.

New InsiderAdvantage U.S. Senate polling: ALASKA 🔵 Mary Peltola: 50% 🔴 Dan Sullivan: 48% KANSAS 🔵 Adam Hamilton: 48% 🔴 Roger Marshall: 47% MICHIGAN 🔵 Abdul El-Sayed: 48% 🔴 Mike Rogers: 46%

Michigan Senate Race Remains Close 🔵 Abdul El-Sayed: 47%
🔴 Mike Rogers: 44% This poll, conducted on September 22, indicates that El-Sayed has not consolidated a meaningful lead in the Michigan Senate race, said Rasmussen pollster John Garst. The Rasmussen Reports survey of 1,099 likely Michigan voters has a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points.