Rove MagicCorner retweeted
$OCGN I’d like to discuss something with you all. And I suspect it’ll hit close to home with a few.
You all notice how confident the shorts suddenly got? How the SP keeps bleeding and bleeding? Well, there’s a very valid reason for the market to be exploiting this. We currently look like we’re in a fucked position practically broadcasting “please short me” while this AS vote remains unresolved.
Why? Because it makes our balance sheet look like sheet. It shows we have $106.7M in current assets against $133.1M in current liabilities. Over $116M of those liabilities are the convertible notes and associated derivative, classified as “CURRENT” until we secure the share reserve. Once secured our balance sheet will show $133.1M against only $17M in liabilities. Suddenly our working capital goes from -$27M to + $90M .
We currently look like an absolute horrible buy with our unresolved financial overhang while we head into our biggest catalysts. Any potential buyers now have a great reason to hesitate while the shorts are out here having a field day with the perfect uncertainty to exploit. They don’t need any bad news, they just need this nonsense to continue for as long as it can.
This whole “too much dilution, let’s force them to propose 100M instead” campaign was a complete fool’s trap. We’re talking about roughly 20 percentage points of additional theoretical dilution if we bullshit ourselves into thinking every single share from either proposal is instantly issued at approval. Meanwhile we’ve already bled over 33% since the proxy failed.
The most annoying thing about all this bitching a moaning over increasing the AS is the reality it causes zero dilution. Reserving shares for the notes causes zero dilution. All our past AS increases caused zero SP bleeding and took many years for the shares to hit the market. And assuming what all investors are betting on to begin with here, that OCU400 results deliver, the real potential near term financing dilution is likely in a range around 10M to 20M shares…
All of this nonsense, this massive bleeding is due to a small percentage of retail investors who were tricked into shooting themselves in the foot by voting against their own company. All due to a complete lack of fundamental understanding inventing problems out of 2-5% of actual near term future dilution concerns. Which btw would only happen after the stock fucking ran…
And I suspect that there’s more than a few people here who unwittingly helped bring us down here with their vote or lack thereof.
So my point of this whole thing. If this was you, don’t even tell me. I do not want to know. If you want us to keep bleeding, carry on ya SOB. But if not, change your vote and let’s get moving where we should be. 🍻
Rove MagicCorner retweeted
$OCGN #OCUGEN
Couple of things that needs to be addressed.
1. Potential sales milestones of $255 mil
Has anyone thought of what that could be?
Imo, it could very well be number of things including FDA BLA aproval EU aproval and so many of other things.
But, it is important to separate that number from 22% royalties.
2. Royalties of 22%
Please see attached pic.
That number sure looks like as if we were an approved FDA product.
3. We are in line with FDA, and it is so very well understood by our partners.
Rove MagicCorner retweeted
An important step toward global commercialization and expanding potential patient access to OCU400. We look forward to our partnership with Roots Pharmaceutical.
Ocugen and Roots Pharmaceutical have completed a licensing agreement for #OCU400 in MENA, advancing global commercialization.
Terms include up to $4M in upfront and initial development milestones, $255M in potential sales milestones, and 22% royalties on net sales. $OCGN
Read more: bit.ly/47OVm06
Innovation took center stage at #CGMesa26.
Ocugen CEO @drsmusunuri joined investors and industry leaders to discuss the future of #GeneTherapy and the road to commercialization as we advance three Phase 3 programs designed to address multiple disease pathways, not just a single mutation, with the potential to treat major blindness diseases. @alliancerm #InvestorRelations $OCGN
Rove MagicCorner retweeted
$OCGN gearing up for our global launch, setting things up currently for Europe with an experienced hand Jolanda Crombach guiding the way.
Jolanda Crombach has joined us from Moderna setting it all up. she was very successful at Moderna, to put it into perspective public record shows she built their pharmaceutical operation in the Netherlands from the ground up. Looking at the sales this brought $8.7 billion in sales.
🤑 💸 🏦
uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/oc…
Rove MagicCorner retweeted
I truly enjoyed participating in the “Leadership Perspectives: Beyond the Breakthrough” panel at the Cell & Gene Meeting on the Mesa.
Honored to be part of the conversation on the path to commercialization and patient access. Thank you, @alliancerm.
#CGMesa26 #GeneTherapy #Biotech
Rove MagicCorner retweeted
$OCGN Come around fam and listen, time is non refundable and I will not waste ours.
Current AS is 390M. Current OS is 339.1M. That leaves 50.9M.
So on paper they have 50.9M shares of headroom.
Except they don’t…
Ocugen already has 54.8M tied up between options, RSUs, PSUs and warrants. They also have another 12.1M available for future equity awards to hire and retain top talent.
Then comes the convertible.
The normal conversion is 48.5M shares. That number doesn’t matter though. The agreement requires Ocugen to have enough shares available to cover the MAXIMUM possible conversion, including the make whole provision.
That’s 70.3M shares.
339.1M OS
54.8M options, RSUs, PSUs and warrants
70.3M max convertible reserve
12.1M future equity awards
476.3M.
They have 390M authorized.
Meaning they have no wiggle room.
Give them only 100M and they’re sitting at 490M AS with 476M accounted for or potentially needed.
Congrats 🧑🚀 You just gave a company preparing for global commercialization 14M shares of flexibility.
That’s nothing.
The 250M increase takes AS to 640M and gives them 163.7M of actual flexibility to operate, hire, make deals and grow the company.
And this clearly cannot be said enough, AS is not OS.
Those shares do not enter the float until Ocugen actually issued them. It took them 5 years to use 150m, likely they’re accounting another 5 years to use this 163mm.
And if you’re a shareholder, you want those shares to eventually get issued because that means we’re fuckin winning.
Options don’t just get exercised and PSUs don’t just vest without SP going above exercise price and performance targets getting hit.
Seeing all this kindergarten level market math/dog water take posts has me wanting to go blind rather than curing it.
OCU400 success opens a market of roughly 300,000 RP patients across the US and Europe.
At $1.5M a treatment:
0.5% penetration = 1,500 patients = $2.25B revenue
1% = 3,000 patients = $4.5B revenue
2% = 6,000 patients = $9B revenue
Hint Ocugen wouldn’t be some $350M speculative biotech anymore.
With their modifier gene therapy platform de risked with multiple late stage assets entering the largest untapped ophthalmology opportunities in biotech. A 10x+ revenue multiple would be more than likely.
$2.25B revenue = $22.5B valuation
$4.5B = $45B valuation
$9B = $90B valuation
Now pretend Ocugen eventually issues EVERY SINGLE authorized share. 😱
640M OS.
$22.5B / 640M = $35.16
$45B / 640M = $70.31
$90B / 640M = $140.63
A 35x-140x bagger for these poor shareholders who got “diluted into the ground.” 🤪
And again, that’s before OCU410, OCU410ST, LCA, NeoCart, OCU500, neurological indications or anything else the modifier platform eventually opens up.
We’ve watched this biological insight keep working through clinical development. We’re sitting here with multiple late stage assets, commercially ready to launch our first blockbuster, international markets opening and projected drug revenue, if partially realized, would place Ocugen among the top 5 biggest biotechs of the world.
Yet somehow half of retail can only think and post about the OS when it’s only 5.5% of Pfizer’s share count.
Smart money doesn’t confuse a tiny slice for the pie, And just like every time a bio launches, they’ll take advantage of the confused snagging their shares before the real highs.
For the rest of us ready to get this show on the road like me, I’ll see you in the promised land. It’s gonna be one for the record books. 🍻
Jolanda Crombach, MSc PharmD, has been appointed General Manager of our newly established European affiliate, headquartered in Amsterdam, to support our three Phase 3 novel modifier #GeneTherapy programs and potential #commercialization. #Biotech $OCGN
Read more: bit.ly/4y1ImyI
Rove MagicCorner retweeted
Excited to welcome Jolanda Crombach to the Ocugen team as General Manager of our European affiliate. Looking forward to working together as we expand our presence in Europe and advance our mission to bring transformative therapies to patients globally!
Jolanda Crombach, MSc PharmD, has been appointed General Manager of our newly established European affiliate, headquartered in Amsterdam, to support our three Phase 3 novel modifier #GeneTherapy programs and potential #commercialization. #Biotech $OCGN
Read more: bit.ly/4y1ImyI
Rove MagicCorner retweeted
$OCGN #OCUGEN @Ocugen @drsmusunuri 👏 ♥️ ❤️ 😍
Things are being very active in EU, ....Netherlands.....etc.
Ocugen CEO @drsmusunuri will participate in @HCWCO: #Biotech on Tap and the Cell & Gene Meeting on the Mesa this October, sharing updates on our gene therapy programs with the investment community. @alliancerm #CGMesa26 #InvestorRelations $OCGN
Read: bit.ly/3VC4ana
























