看完了朋友吐槽欧洲现状的帖子,真的深有同感。平时跟在法德、英国定居的朋友聊天,大家私下算的那笔账,其实比宏观数据还要扎心得多。
站在普通人的角度,把经济账剥开来看,欧洲现在的问题其实特别直白:
第一,打工人的“性价比”彻底崩了。
平时大家聚在一起,吐槽最多的就是钱包越来越瘪。在巴黎或者法兰克福辛辛苦苦拼到月薪四五千欧,扣完个税和高额社保,到手可能就剩两千多。
以前大家认了,觉得“税虽然重,但换来了高福利”;可现在呢?物价和房租涨得飞起,电费账单翻倍,更难受的是公共服务断崖式降级——看个专科医生预约排到半年后,德国火车天天晚点取消,出门坐个地铁随时得捂紧口袋防小偷。
大家突然算明白一件事:自己拼命工作交重税,既换不来体面的公共服务,也攒不下资产,纯粹是在给整个老龄化社会的养老窟窿“打白工”。
第二,自己造不出东西,却极度沉迷于“管别人”。
很多人纳闷:欧洲为什么出不了大科技公司?
现实很讽刺:美国把大模型跑出来了,中国把电动车和智能硬件产业链打穿了,欧洲自己什么都没造出来,却最先憋出了一部厚厚的“AI监管法案”。
这就好比别家孩子都在操场上疯跑比速度,欧洲自己跑不动,却戴上红袖章制定了一整套极其苛刻的跑步姿势准则。
结果就是:美国大巨头有大把法务和预算去应付合规,而欧洲本土的年轻创业团队还没融到钱,就被合规成本活活掐死在摇篮里。
黄仁勋说欧洲“想得太多、动得太慢”,真是一点没冤枉它。
第三,水电气太贵,连老牌工厂都养不起了。
制造业的底气无非就是工人、能源和市场。失去便宜的天然气后,欧洲现在的电费和能源成本动辄是美国的两三倍。
开工厂不是做慈善,连德国大众、巴斯夫这种百年老牌都在削减本土产能,把增量投资砸向海外。
底层的重工业和高端制造业一旦外流,高薪岗位就跟着消失,剩下的就只有送外卖、端盘子和做低端服务业,经济循环怎么可能健康?
第四,全在守老本,没人敢赌明天。
德拉吉报告里说每年缺 8000 亿欧元的创新投资,不是欧洲真穷得拿不出这笔钱,而是钱的流向全被锁死了。
欧洲的钱都躺在极度保守的银行储蓄和养老基金里,全在维持现状,几乎没有多少人敢把钱拿出来给年轻人搞风投、赌硬科技。没有增量,大家就只能互相争夺缩水的存量。
现在的欧洲,越来越像一座庞大体面的“豪华养老院兼露天博物馆”:
靠祖宗留下的名胜古迹收门票,靠几个奢侈品大牌卖包包,面子上依然优雅从容,但底子里的造血功能已经衰竭了。
身边越来越多的人选择离开,或者干脆退籍回国,真不是外面的世界十全十美,而是大家心里都清楚:谁都不想在自己最黄金的年纪,留在一艘一边吃着存量老本、一边拼命加税,但发动机早就熄火的旧船上。
Don Julio retweeted
I don’t think Europeans fully appreciate what is happening to the European Union right now.
The EU is under an extraordinary, multi-front assault, both from outside and from within. And I struggle to think of another period in its history when so many powerful actors had an interest in weakening it simultaneously.
Russia has spent years waging hybrid warfare against Europe. Weaponised migration, sabotage, cyberattacks, coordinated disinformation campaigns, bot networks and political interference. The objective is clear: undermine trust in democratic institutions, deepen social divisions and weaken European unity.
China has different motivations, primarily economic and geopolitical. A fragmented Europe is easier to pressure, easier to negotiate with individually and less capable of defending its economic interests.
And then there is the United States. Perhaps the most disturbing development of all.
Under Trump and MAGA, a country that helped rebuild the old continent and then spent decades supporting European integration now has an administration openly hostile to much of what the EU represents. Its own National Security Strategy even calls for cultivating resistance to Europe’s current political direction.
Think about that for a moment.
Meanwhile, within Europe, parts of the far right and far left amplify these divisions, whether through ideological alignment, political opportunism or outright sympathy for authoritarian regimes.
This doesn’t mean Russia, China and MAGA are all following some jointly coordinated master plan. They don’t have to. Their interests increasingly overlap, and Europe’s internal divisions make their work considerably easier.
What makes this particularly alarming is what is actually at stake.
For all its flaws, the EU remains one of the world’s most consequential projects built around liberal democracy, the rule of law, individual freedoms and cooperation between nations.
At a time when authoritarianism is gaining ground and even longstanding democracies are showing disturbing tendencies, that matters enormously.
Europe is far from perfect. Its bureaucracy, indecision and inability to act decisively are real problems. But the answer cannot be to retreat into 27 competing nation-states, each too small to meaningfully influence a world increasingly dominated by continental powers.
Quite the opposite.
Europe needs deeper integration, stronger common institutions, genuine strategic autonomy and the political courage to defend its interests and values.
Because fragmentation is precisely what so many external actors want.
And perhaps that’s the central irony of our time: people are being deliberately manipulated into believing that the reverse is true — that national identity and sovereignty can only be protected by weakening European cooperation. In reality, a divided Europe is less sovereign, less secure and far easier for outside powers to pressure. Therefore the very thing that will make Europe stronger is the thing its adversaries are working hardest to prevent.
A united Europe is a geopolitical power. A divided Europe is a collection of countries waiting to be played against one another.
Don Julio retweeted
Imagine your modern software pauses to garbage collect while you're in the middle of Doing a Barrel Roll in your car.
Don Julio retweeted
Trump’s press secretaries have a lot in common with blow-up dolls: manufactured, hollow, brainless and always ready to serve their master.
Don Julio retweeted
SpaceX has restricted Starlink in Ukraine without warning, disrupting critical military missions.
If Ukrainian lives are lost because of this, I consider Elon Musk morally complicit in those deaths. He will have blood on his hands.
I hope European pension funds, institutional investors and sovereign wealth funds blacklist Musk-controlled companies.
There must be financial consequences for putting Ukrainian lives at risk.
#ElonMusk #Starlink #SpaceX #Ukraine #StandWithUkraine #CorporateAccountability #DivestFromMusk #SovereignWealthFunds #ESG #NAFO
Don Julio retweeted
Imagine spending $44 BILLION to buy a platform, watching your bot army vanish overnight, and then having “ELON MUSK IS A PIECE OF SHIT” and “FUCK ELON MUSK” go viral.
Imagine being that spectacular a fucking loser. 😂💀
Don Julio retweeted
Elon Musk is a Nazi. Pass it on.
I hear Elon is really mad about everybody calling him a Nazi & he’s suspending accounts calling him a Nazi, so I just want to make it clear that Elon Musk is definitely a Nazi
#ElonIsANazi @elonmusk

































