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2026 Texas Senate Race: Talarico Leads Paxton
🔵James Talarico: 48.3%
🔴Ken Paxton: 46.8%
🔵Net: Talarico +1.5
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 22, 2026
RealClearPolling retweeted
Why RealClearPolitics Didn't Fall for the Fake Polls: @CarlCannon
realclearpolitics.com/articl…
Democrats lead in 6/8 RealClearPolitics Senate Toss-Up States
🔵Minnesota: Flanagan +3.2
🔵Ohio: Brown +2.4
🔵Texas: Talarico +2.2
🔵Michigan: El-Sayed +2.0
🔵Maine: Jackson +1.6
🔵Alaska: Peltola +1.2
🔴Iowa: Hinson +0.1
🔴Kansas: Marshall +0.3
October 21, 2026
TODAY at 2 PM ET: @SeanTrende hosts a live Zoom briefing for Poll Vault paid subscribers on the 2026 House map.
He’ll cover how past midterm waves played out, what that means for 2026, and new polling in several House races, with Q&A at the end.
pollvault.substack.com/p/pai…
2026 Ohio Senate Election
🔵Sherrod Brown: 47.4%
🔴Jon Husted: 44.6%
🔵Net: Brown +2.8
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 19, 2026
2026 RCP Senate Toss-Ups
⚪️Nebraska: Tied
🔴Kansas: Roger Marshall +0.2
🔵Iowa: Josh Turek +0.7
🔵Maine: Troy Jackson +0.7
🔵Alaska: Mary Peltola +1.2
🔵Texas: James Talarico +2.8
🔵Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed +3.2
🔵Ohio: Sherrod Brown +3.5
🔵Minnesota: Peggy Flanagan: +1.6
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 8, 2026
RealClearPolling retweeted
Many more think it was a mistake to send American troops to Afghanistan (45%) than to World War 1 (13%).
RealClearPolling retweeted
Why aren't Republicans motivated for the midterm elections?
"There's a hardcore MAGA base that is just furious at Trump for attacking Iran," @SeanTrende said. "This was a core promise: No new wars in the Middle East. And yet here we are. Gas prices are going through the roof, and they're really angry."
Friday's RCP podcast:
— Jobs report: Trump vs. Vance
— Botched execution in Tennessee
— @SeanTrende on latest RCP projections for House 2026
— Senate races get lighter
— AOC for president?
@CarlCannon, @abWalworth, @TomBevanRCP
youtu.be/d1rzdxnZYeE
Texas 2026 Senate Race
🔵James Talarico: 47.6%
🔴Ken Paxton: 44.7%
🔵Net: Talarico +2.9
RealClearPolitics Polling Average
RealClearPolling retweeted
🚨The spread between Trump's approval rating & disapproval rating has hit a new high of -21.2%.
This is being driven by his highest disapproval rating ever. In his 1st term, Trump's disapproval hit a high of 58.1% on 12/13/17. Today it's almost 2 points higher at 59.9%
