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Joined March 2022
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Today marks 5 years since the publication of Kentaro Miura's final #Berserk chapter in Japan, in Young Animal issue #18. We are forever honored to publish his works, including this chapter, as fans continue to feel the impact of his legacy around the world. #DHManga
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As above so below
Ex Goldman Sachs trader on how your trading life reflects your personal life.
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🚨🚨. U.S. 30-year Treasury yield rises to 5.34%, its highest level since June 2007. $SPY
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This is simple breakout retest market structure. Don't over complicate simple things.
This strategy is INSANE The ORB 1:1 RR Mark the range formed between 9:30AM – 9:45AM EST (Opening range / ORB) • If the ORB low forms first → target the ORB high What is ORB? ORB = opening range breakout (the first 15 min candle of New York Open) 1 year NQ Stats via @edgeful • ORB low forms first + aggressive buying → 77% probability of sweeping the high
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This has been my life's work.. welcome to the stock market. Pro tip.. it's not about how much you can make at the start, it's about how long you can last to keep learning
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Dimon warning on leverage—margin debt at historic highs. Credit spreads beyond 350bps is where the cascade becomes self-reinforcing. HYG, LQD, TLT watching.
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Watch 10-year yield at 4.35%. Above = hawkish narrative winning. Below 4.20% = growth scare reasserting. Right now you're in no-man's-land. Volatility is guaranteed.
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SpaceX $18.4B capex crushed -12% post-market. If the world's most aggressive AI builder spooks investors, what does that mean for H100/B100 demand? Semiconductor equipment names at risk today.
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"Me when I can't decide if Hormuz will be open or closed today."
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JOLTS drops below 8M today: growth scare. Above 8.5M: Cook's hawkish pivot gets confirmed. NFP Friday below 150k: Fed hiking into weakness (contradiction). Above 200k: hawkish narrative wins.
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China's broadest trade countermeasures since October ceasefire. Sanctions on U.S. firms, tightened export controls, multiple fronts simultaneously. This isn't posturing—it's the truce signaling it's over. $SPY
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Semiconductor equipment (ASML, AMAT, LRCX) is ground zero. China targeting compliance firms and tightening export controls to disrupt the AI chip supply chain. TSMC ADR below $150 = complex entering correction territory.
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SpaceX $18.4B capex crushed the stock -12%. The world's most aggressive AI infrastructure builder spooking investors with capex levels — that's a direct read-through to NVDA. If even SpaceX can't justify spending, the H100/B100 demand narrative needs validation.
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JOLTS print today. Below 8M signals growth scare. Above 8.5M gives Cook ammunition for the hawkish pivot. 3-Year Treasury auction at $40B — foreign demand is the test. Dimon warned about leverage. If it fails, 10-year spikes toward 4.50%.
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Fed Governor Cook went full 2022 hawk: 'Prepared to act' on rate hikes. Kashkari followed. This isn't organic FOMC drift — someone at the Fed is coordinating a signal to reprice markets. The labor market still gives them cover. Watch $TNX at 4.35%.
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China just killed the October truce. Broadest trade countermeasures since the ceasefire — sanctions on U.S. firms, tightened export controls. Weeks before any Xi-Trump summit. This wasn't posturing. It was strategy. Markets haven't repriced this. $SPY
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The FIMA Repo Facility expansion talks change everything. If Japan can defend yen without selling Treasuries, term premium compresses. 10-year yields stay lower longer. Long TLT into this. The relief rally has a backstop.
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