Economist @OECD. Views are only my own including on GIFs and memes
Paris
Joined November 2008
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The Cover-Up: How a Trillion-Dollar Industry Launders Illegal Gold nytimes.com/2026/10/19/world…
Caracas Is Eerily Safe. State Death Squads Made Sure of It. nytimes.com/2026/10/16/world…
Ukraine’s Exposure Grows as Satellite Use Is Restricted and Russia Escalates nytimes.com/2026/10/14/world…
Why Does Saudi Arabia Struggle to Stop Houthi Attacks? nytimes.com/2026/10/15/world…
The Rich People Democrats Aren’t Talking About nytimes.com/2026/10/02/busin…
Sebastien Turban retweeted
Lots of strong opinions on this platform without an announcement of the details of how this will work. I was part of the pilot at AER so I can open the curtain a little (though of course who knows how things will change post-pilot under full implementation).
Global imbalances and the China challenge cepr.org/voxeu/columns/globa…
Many surgical interventions are little better than placebo
economist.com/science-and-te…
Sebastien Turban retweeted
Follow the link below to claim the credit or run /claim-credit in the CLI. You’ll need GitHub connected to start a session. Claim by Oct 7. Terms apply.
claude.ai/code/claim-credit/…
Sebastien Turban retweeted
We find institutional and empirical support for these rules in Brazil(see the beautiful parallel trends).
Empirically, we find that protected sectors gained employment and downstream sectors lost employment, but upstream sectors were not significantly affected.
Using a model to aggregate these effects, we find antidumping duties, in the setting of Brazil, weakly increased employment but significantly reduced welfare.
The Working Class Face a ‘Class Ceiling’ in Elite Occupations nytimes.com/2026/09/18/busin…
For Food Companies, Shifts From GLP-1 Use Are Hard to Digest nytimes.com/2026/09/18/busin…
Sebastien Turban retweeted
Scenario planning is much more important than prediction right now
I think people need to admit that we've moved on from risk to Knightean uncertainty where forecasts are largely meaningless. No one knows anything is extreme but closer to the truth than not. We have decades of work showing that the most we can do in these cases is scenario planning and maxmin, trying to avoid the worst scenarios and navigating towards the best ones.
The generative AI learning penalty in secondary school cepr.org/voxeu/columns/gener…
Sebastien Turban retweeted
Very happy to see our paper on TCJA’s corporate tax cuts out in the AER.
We ask:
1) How large are economic distortions from the corporate income tax?
2) Who bears in the incidence?
A short summary thread.
aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.12…
Wall Street banks push Big Law to cut fees because of AI ft.com/content/5240a6ac-b2e8… via @ft
‘The Nest of Snakes’: Warring Cartels Target Women in Mexico nytimes.com/2026/08/31/world…
