@PresidentPicker

Presidents, politics, and history. UVA ➡️ Boston

Joined March 2022
  • Tweets465
  • Following32
  • Followers20
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Jersey likely to be closer than Virginia
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You should subscribe to gelliottmorris dot com. John Oliver does
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PresidentPicker retweeted
Jonathan Martin
@jmart2 Dec 2024
The easy fix on Hegseth is to yank him now, stop the drip and appoint @joniernst , a vet and survivor who just lost a Senate leadership race and would be confirmed in a heartbeat
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Rosendale would still win\
Bad Electoral Takes 🇺🇦@BitecoferStan5 Dec 2024
Discussion- How does an alternate 2024 Montana Senate race between Jon Tester and Matt Rosendale go? What would the margin look like?
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SHOCKING! (Sarcasm) @AllanLichtman lied again to try to cover up his old lies about 2016. Funny pattern starting where Lichtman keeps accusing these guys of everything under the sun so they keep going back to check the facts and find out he’s an even bigger liar than before.
The Postrider@ThePostrider25 Nov 2024
He just had to keep digging. After our reporting that Allan Lichtman’s Oct. 2016 paper noted the Keys predict the popular vote, he said he completed the paper before his Sept. 2016 WaPo interview predicting Trump’s “win.” The timeline doesn’t support this. thepostrider.com/allan-licht…

Allan Lichtman Says He Changed What the 13 Keys Predicted for 2016—The Timeline Says Otherwise

Lichtman says that he made the decision to start predicting the electoral vote “on the fly,” and didn’t have time to update his October 2016 prediction paper. But Social Education told us the paper…

thepostrider.com
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No cabinet spot for Elon!
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2028 thoughts. Not my personal preference, just who I think might be situated to win against the GOP.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver5387 Nov 2024
Trump's overperformances relative to this map area also interesting though. And also low-key good news for Democrats in reducing/inverting the Electoral College bias against them.
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The only good news today is people will finally stop paying attention to Allan Lichtman.
Lars Emerson@Lars_Emerson6 Nov 2024
The media and academia almost entirely failed to hold you accountable for your already dubious record, and you owe anyone who ever relied on it an apology for your profiteering from 'prophet'eering. At least the actual models clearly told people the election could go this way.
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This is not the president I picked
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50/50!
Nate Silver
@NateSilver53831 Oct 2024
Update. The forecast remains extremely stable and extremely close to 50/50. Trump made real gains in mid-October, but the forecast is ~unchanged from 10-12 days ago. We think people are getting a little carried away with narratives about momentum, etc. natesilver.net/p/nate-silver…
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Lots of Harris signs in Massachusetts but who is surprised by that
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I have been saying this for months. @ThePostrider one of the few who got it, good to see @TheAtlantic following suit. Stop taking Allan Lichtman at his word!
McKay Coppins
@mckaycoppins16 Oct 2024
This piece by @GiladEdelman makes a pretty convincing case that you should take Allan Lichtman's prediction of a Harris win with a grain of salt. theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv…

The Man Who’s Sure That Harris Will Win

Allan Lichtman is known for correctly forecasting elections. But his record is not as impressive as it seems.

theatlantic.com
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Do you consider yourself a Democrat or a Republican (+ Leaners) 🔵 Democrat - 49% (+4) 🔴 Republican - 45% Last poll - 🔴 Republican +3 Gallup
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One of our greatest oratorical presidents. His voice is welcome on the campaign trail.
Barack Obama
@BarackObama11 Oct 2024
Donald Trump is not thinking about you. He only sees power as a means to his ends. America is ready to turn the page.
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President election feels like a toss up again
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Happy birthday to Jimmy Carter
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Shame on you @AllanLichtman. I am ashamed to have ever followed your work.
The Postrider@ThePostrider2 Oct 2024
Our latest statement on Professor Allan Lichtman, who has continued to engage in ad hominem criticism of our journalists:
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When will someone acknowledge the nuclear deal with Iran was good and would have been a step in the right direction towards peace
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Are there 3 presidents who were just as bad or worse than Trump? I would say James Buchanan, Andrew Johnson, and Richard Nixon
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