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This year prediction markets went mainstream β live odds turned up in every wallet and finance feed. But each one is a closed product: if you have an audience, there's no way to build on top of it.
So we opened it.
Mourinho's first La Liga match back at Real Madrid in 13 years β away at the RCDE.
Madrid arrive a matchday late (Sociedad postponed), without MilitΓ£o, Rodrygo, Mendy or Asencio. Espanyol arrive off a 3-0 opening win
Market has Madrid at 66%. Opta's model has them at 62.4%. π
Too high, or not high enough?
Predict now!
poly.predicted.one
TEAM VISION haven't dropped a series at this TI β and they already swept Team Spirit in groups, with Satanic not dying once across both games.
Then Spirit opened playoffs by sweeping Iron Wing, Yatoro finishing 18-0-9 on Lone Druid.
Two deathless carries. Upper bracket semi, BO3. Market has VISION at 68% on Predicted.
Does that group-stage sweep still price this one, or is Spirit the side that's adjusted? π
Predict on @Polymarket now
poly.predicted.one/?league=gβ¦
POP POP!
$POPCAT @popcatworld has its own prediction market now!
Bet on anything Polymarket lists. At least 50% of every fee buys $POPCAT, monthly - first one early September, posted with the tx.
What's more? π
A year ago Rafael Jodar was ranked No. 901 in the world. Tonight, at 19, he's the one the market has ahead of Lorenzo Musetti β the 11th seed. π
They've met once. Washington, July: Jodar lost the first set 1-6, then won it 6-1, 6-4.
Musetti's still finding his level after a long injury layoff, and has never been past the third round in Montreal.
Jodar 56% on Predicted. Too high off one win β or not high enough?
Predict on Polymarket now poly.predicted.one/?league=tβ¦
Everyone knows something. This one comes down to a view on a single number by 06:00 UTC.
So what tips it β does a six-month volatility low mean the range holds through the close, or is compression like this exactly the setup that snaps?
Predict now!
hype.predicted.one
Hike expectations repriced fast this month β CME FedWatch had them near 38% on July 24, up from about 11% on July 15.
One macro print. One line. Twenty-one hours.
Everyone knows something. So which one actually carries BTC through $64,039 β the rate decision itself, or the tone of the press conference thirty minutes later?
Do you know something? @tptrades
Predict now on Hyperliquid
hype.predicted.one
Traders have it at 66% with three days on the clock.
And it's already come within a rounding error. Since that market opened on July 14, the lowest print was $62,537.56 on July 17 β thirty-eight dollars above the line. π
That market is live on Predicted.
If Warsh holds and still sounds hawkish, does crypto read that as relief, or as the warning?
Predict now!
poly.predicted.one/?league=bβ¦
Just a weekend tape and one question.
Everyone knows something.
Does thin weekend liquidity protect a 1.6% gap β or is that exactly when 1.6% stops meaning anything?
Predict on Hyperliquid now
hype.predicted.one









