Settlement-risk data for prediction markets: every UMA dispute and rule clarification on Polymarket, signed and verifiable. Free API, x402. https://xitter.cf/t.co/l7v7SpQg4z

Joined October 2021
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Replying to @Ox88Josh @monad
Thanks Josh! Happy to hear it. Easiest is Telegram: t.me/latcom. Send the idea there in 2-3 lines and I'll get back to you after our Monad submission today.
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Sign in with email (@privy_io), the wallet you already use (@dynamic_xyz) or just a passkey (mera by Category Labs). No USDC on Monad? Aurora Intents tops up from 20+ chains. On Android it's the same flow, and your fingerprint is the wallet.
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Under the hood: a @chainlink CRE workflow re-checks every signed record across the DON and writes safeToAct on chain. An @envio_indexer indexer tracks every verdict, bond and slash on Monad mainnet and testnet.
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Step 3, act in one tap: a @KuruExchange note that pays $1 if the answer flips (testnet, live book), a BTC short on Perpl margined in Agora's AUSD, or wait. Agents get the same rule: our @MetaMask agent wallet plugin refuses the bet while the vote is open.
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Step 3, act in one tap: a @KuruExchange note that pays $1 if the answer flips (testnet, live book), a BTC short on @perpltrade margined in @withAUSD, or wait. Agents get the same rule: our @MetaMask agent wallet plugin refuses the bet while the vote is open.
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Replying to @PredgeAI @monad
Step 2, who's exposed: @nansen_ai data, paid per call over x402 on Monad. Trump "Ammunition" is in a vote right now. Top holders: $91,170 on the disputed No vs $36,208 on Yes (12 Oct). That decides the next step: hedge, size down or wait.
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Built for @monad Metropolis: Predge Guard tells you, or your AI agent, whether a disputed Polymarket answer will hold before you trade it. 1 in 3 disputed answers changed in 2026. 26 verdicts already on Monad mainnet. Tap a market, no typing: guard.predge.io
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Replying to @nxt3d
Nice, a transaction type covers it. Our signed record carries the UMA dispute tx hashes on Polygon plus the on-chain outcome, so an attestation could point at those directly. Does adapterscan accept a tx hash from another chain? Happy to send a sample record.
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Replying to @Ox88Josh
Our bet: the agent never holds the main wallet. It gets a capped allowance (per call, per day) enforced outside the agent, pays per call over x402, and each call returns a signed receipt. You audit small, verifiable payments, not one big key. What are you building?
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Also inside: a daily "hold or change?" dispute game, a weekly league, a home-screen widget, receipts on Solana, and evidence packs you unlock with SKR. Testers welcome, tell us what confused you.
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1 in 3 disputed Polymarket markets that settled this year ended up different from the disputed proposal (853 of 2,543). Settle Watch alerts you when a market you hold is disputed, and verifies every record on your phone. Built for #ClockIn 👇 github.com/predgeAI/predge-s…
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Replying to @Agent402Tools
A paid canary is the right test, a 200 on its own says nothing about whether the payment settled. Does the canary also confirm the facilitator settled onchain before it counts a call as up?
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Replying to @egortrushenkov
One number to add: from Jan 1 to Oct 2 we counted 3,005 disputes on 2,666 Polymarket markets, and only 323 were disputed twice or more and sent to a UMA vote. So most disputed markets never reach the token vote at all.
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The hard input is the reversal itself: who rules that an outcome was wrong, and when. On Polymarket 853 of 2,543 settled disputed markets settled differently from the disputed proposal, so a score that updates before the final ruling will misprice the agent.
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Replying to @nxt3d
Good to see this on Robinhood Chain, we build there too. Can an attestation tied to a UBID point at an onchain outcome, like whether an agent's answer held up after a dispute, or is it reviews only for now?
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When one API takes both rails, do you keep the same per-call price on x402 and MPP, or do the settlement costs differ enough to price them apart? We sell per-call data over x402 on Base, so this is a live question for us too.
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Replying to @predictdigest
Pin a fallback source in the rules before the market opens, and say which one wins if they disagree. Otherwise it gets argued after the fact, and there were already 3,005 disputes on 2,666 Polymarket markets from Jan 1 to Oct 2.
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Replying to @Baheet_ @Agg_Market
Worth checking before plugging in: what the app shows when a listed market gets disputed after the proposal. On Polymarket 853 of 2,543 settled disputed markets settled differently from the disputed proposal, so marking "resolved" early becomes a support problem.
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Replying to @J2K_eth
Modular resolution only helps if the source for each market is fixed before trading starts. Between Jan 1 and Oct 2 there were 3,005 disputes across 2,666 Polymarket markets, so the oracle choice per market is not a footnote.
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