Thursday Night Football Pregame ATS Pick
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Seahawks -2.5 BOOK IT 📚
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#Gambling𝕏 #broncos #seahawks
6 players carry a TD streak into Week 6.
Henry and Josh Allen: 5 straight games.
CMC and James Cook: 4 straight.
The model says Henry keeps it going 58.7% of the time. Allen is the plus-money look at +107 fair.
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Two overs the model likes:
BUF @ LV — line 53.5, model 57.9
CHI @ ATL — line 50.5, model 54.7
Projected totals for every game are free in the app.
Anytime TD, model fair odds. The TD model is free in the app.
Brock Bowers +116 (46.3%)
Cam Skattebo +137 (42.3%)
Jaylen Warren +135 (42.5%)
Chuba Hubbard +140 (41.6%)
Book longer than fair = value.
Confidence order for your pick'em pool, top 5:
14 — KC 83.3%
13 — SF 83.0%
12 — IND 78.0%
11 — LA 74.3%
10 — CAR 73.4%
Win % for all 14 games is free in the app.
At -850, LA needs 89.5% to break even.
Model: 74.3%.
We have LA winning 30–20. We are not laying 850 to find out.
One Pro pick, free this week:
Best Bet ATS: NYG -1.5
Model margin: NYG +3.6
Spread grade: A. 3 of 3 models agree.
Every Best Bet is in Pro.
CAR @ PHI
Model (set Wed): CAR 73.4%
Book (Wed): -110, 52.4% implied
Est. score: CAR 24, PHI 17
All 3 models agreed before the news. Watch this line move.
WEEK 6 MEGA-THREAD
Wednesday, our model gave Carolina a 73.4% chance to win in Philly.
The market had them at 52.4%.
Today, Jalen Hurts was ruled out.
Week 6 model picks, every number 🧵
Dan Quinn: alright Jayden one more play and make sure to spike it to stop the clock
Jayden Daniels as OT expires:
Replying to @PFTCommenter
Swear there is something different about this one
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