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Looking at the early signups to the @Political_Data tracker at tracker.politicaldata.com/ and this is where we are seeing the most signups, by agency type:
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The @Political_Data 2026 General ballot return tracker is coming…. You can signup today at tracker.politicaldata.com/su…
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The updated @Political_Data precinct lookup tool allows you to search your address and see the election results for 2026 Primary, 2025 Special, 2024 General/Primary and 2022 General. myprecinct.politicaldata.vot…
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The PSA voters need to hear:
A law written by @LorenaSGonzalez allows voters ballots to be counted, even if mailed on Election Day.
But this law has been effectively killed for most of the state because of a change at the post office.
Srsly.
abc7news.com/amp/post/califo…
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When an election reform like the Top Two has more impact on voter’s choices than each candidate’s positions on issues…
and voters resort to “strategic voting” to overcome or to take advantage of the reform…
then that reform has failed.
capitolweekly.net/ca120-cali…
Latest CA Ballot Returns — State of California via @political_data
Total 1% returned, 310,558 of 23,125,900
Dem 1%, 127,867 of 10,384,760
Rep 1%, 111,959 of 5,780,571
Ind/Oth 1%, 70,731 of 6,960,569 tracker.politicaldata.com/?t…
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The data from @Political_Data shows almost 9 million ballots in as of yesterday, and @CASOSVote shows nearly 9m votes totaled.
If you presume Reps were 90%+ no, Dems 90% yes, then math would suggest Independents were like 55% yes, 45% no. Exactly what polling was showing.
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On Nov 4 Voters will decide if California should go forward with new Congressional district maps in response to Texas and other Red states' mid-decade redistricting plans. We spoke with @paulmitche11, who drew the proposed maps, about the process
capitolweekly.net/mapmaker-p…
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This one’s for all the in-laws who have already returned their #Prop50 special election ballots!
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According to @Political_Data, we’re at 96% of 2021 recall turnout so far in CA.
Literally haven’t seen turnout like this, save 2024 Presidential General, since 2021.
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Oops, we did it again.
Polled 1,200 CA voters and had them again watch clips of the "This is @GavinNewsom" podcast, to get their open-ended responses and answer a few questions.
capitolweekly.net/ca-120-is-…
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A new poll in the City of Irvine. Do people know about the upcoming special election? Do they know that it is only being held in District 5?
Do they know that the state law would say that this election has to be held citywide?
Memo: dropbox.com/scl/fi/qearaks6f…
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In other states, they’re packing up the campaign office in mid-November; in CA races are still being won & lost through organized field programs doing ballot signature “curing” that was unheard of just a few election cycles ago. @paulmitche11 @CA_120
capitolweekly.net/ca120-curi…
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For those who want the explanation of why the later ballots in CA skew more Democratic, here is a quick snippet from the @Capitol_Weekly post-mortem.
PDI retweeted
Always fun to join @KCRAEdieLambert and @ZavalaA to talk elections and turnout and data.
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This week I stress-wrote a 4,500 word brain dump on polling, polling averages, models, predictions markets, early vote and more! If you or a friend are trying to make sense of the numbers, give it a read.
Send any comments my way!
capitolweekly.net/ca-120-und…
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There is likely nothing more confusing to voters than the avalanche of often-conflicting polls that spill forth every election year. @paulmitche11 offers a valuable guide to understanding how polls are conducted & presented to you, the voters. @CA_120
capitolweekly.net/ca-120-und…
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Rob Pyers@rpyers26 Oct 2024
United States!
United StatesConnected via United States App StoreLocation may be affected by a proxy or VPN.Account-level information, not a live location or per-post device.
California ballot returns at 11 days out from election day, as logged by @Political_Data's current and past return trackers (g20 / g24 / g22 / p24)
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Getting nerdy on the data for the @sacbee_news
TLDR: using 2020 as your baseline this election year is a trap!
sacbee.com/opinion/op-ed/art…














