Internet Marketer Extraordinaire @ Battle Bridge. We grow revenue. Lover of freedom & personal responsibility. I'm kind of a big deal.

Medellín, Colombia
Joined March 2008
The confidence of this douche is mesmerizing. The technology used to make this happen was explained in detail. He sounds like a flat earther (no offense to flat earthers).
I don't know why this isn't obvious to people, but the car clearly should have fallen down from the ramp long before it "flew." It wasn't going fast enough at all to stay on the under side of the ramp through centrifugal force alone. So something else was rigged to keep it on the under side of the ramp before it "launched" into flight. It turns out that cars don't drive upside down on the bottom side of giant structures without falling down. So the question is: What was used to keep the car's wheels attached to the under side of the ramp BEFORE the "flight" segment? Or are people too mesmerized by the demo to think logically about physics?
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The Tesla Roadster demo used an explained multi-mode fan suction system for up to 2G downforce to adhere to the ramp underside (not centrifugal force or hidden rigging), plus cold-gas thrusters for the flip/landing, as shown live and confirmed by Tesla and attendees. snopes.com/fact-check/tes… tesla.com/roadster theverge.com/transportation… pcmag.com/news/tesla-sho…
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I'm so tired of all the doomerism. I realize I an an eternal optimist, but all of the Doomers talk is getting out of control. Listen to what @Seanfrank has to say:
the bull case: Look, I am a known optimist. So it wont surprise everyone to hear I think things are going to be awesome. Here is my perspective: if you are still in business today, you survived at least 6 great crises in the past 6 years. you survived covid, you survived 2 painful presidential elections; you survived a WORSE gas crisis because of the ukraine conflict; you survived inflation; you survived interest rates rising faster than they ever have, you survived a banking crisis (SVB) if you are in business today, you are resilient are things great today? depends where you look. housing hasnt imploded. unemployment is steady. the largest, most important companies in human history are still growing and shipping new products there is weakness for sure- gas prices are the obvious one. They are the front line on a vibes-secion. the reason gas prices matter so much is because it is a commodity with no substitute good. if banana prices go up, you might eat more oranges. But you have to drive to work every day. if gas is $3 or $8 a gallon, doesnt matter, you have to drive. and I wish gas prices were lower. it is the most direct way to put more spending power back into the average amercians hands. but look at the chart- inflation-adjusted, it is a dollar cheaper than the ukraine war peak, and $2 cheaper than in 2008 the economy is more diversified, directly because of the ukraine war, so even with the Iran war dragging on, the impact has been less I'll tell you, I see the strength in my sales data. this is NOTHING like 2022. 2022 had runaway inflation. a real energy shock. no great new products or investments happening. in contrast- people are spending. people are employed. stock market is at all time highs (I think this plays a factor) the reality- it is an election year. both sides are in full-on doomer mode, trying to push a narrative. from my seat, as the ceo of a mid-size discretionary goods company: It is the greatest time to be building all decade.
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Dreams coming true in Ireland for my buddy @jlarkin353 .
When you’ve been dreaming about opening a store… and the fans show up 🥰 thank you 🙏
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The newsletter is great, if you're into making tons of money and learning from people who actually have 9 figure businesses. Don't bother if that isn't your thing ;).
It’s criminal only 30k will get this. 🎁 Cherene Aubert: Black Friday playbook from Q4 → Q1 2027 📅 MacCoy Merkley: Complete holiday calendar (week by week) 🤑 Derek Lauermann: Where + how to spend your next ad dollar These people work for $100M+ brands. And you get it for free. Please repost and say something nice; it will help more people get this amazing newsletter we work hard on every week. If you do, I will send you a hat. It’s an Operators hat.
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Travis Phipps retweeted
Dusting off this tweet from April because this gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is *widening*. It's now less "two groups of people speaking past each other" and more a sharp funnel. - Napkin math somewhere around 6B people (~75% of the population) have barely come in contact with LLMs at all. - Around 1-2B (~20%) are casual and infrequent users of free-tier ChatGPT-like products. This group sees derpy chatbots and treats them a bit like a better Google search, a writing aid, or etc. Maybe an agent tries to book you a flight. I have non-tech friends who (reasonably, imo) say they have not much use for it at all. Even many professionals outside of math&code are in this tier. For example, execs and many other functions spend a lot of their time talking to other people, so while they understand what is happening intellectually, it is still second-hand and a bit abstract. - Now we get to professional use of frontier-grade LLMs in math&code. Somewhere around 20M people (0.2%) see first-hand that large, complex projects that used to take them weeks/months can now be completed by agents with a prompt. Building apps, copying apps, translating apps, decompiling apps from binaries... This has all happened very quickly and recently - less than 1 year ago, I was writing code manually by hand, typing memorized computer code commands into a code editor character by character, occasionally pressing Tab to autocomplete a little chunk of code. - And finally we get to the ~5,000 people (~0.00006%) with access to frontier-grade systems internally. The external world has seen the preview. It looks like swarms of thousands of agents collaborating over weeks on software mega projects: minting zero days, running cyber attacks and defenses at machine speeds, discovering new science, advancing the frontier of mathematics. Things that would have taken top professionals in the industry years of work. Meanwhile, human review and comprehension are starting to fall behind. For example, people are still involved in the "archeology" of the OpenAI-HF incident from many months ago. Mathematicians may be poring over the 722 manuscripts on frontier mathematics for a while. The funnel is driven by a combination of factors: 1. The impact scales with ambition, problem size, and horizon. A question with a paragraph answer barely stresses the system. You need a reservoir of big, difficult problems that you really care about. This aspect drives the consumer / professional dimension of the funnel. 2. The jaggedness of the system (which I have written about a lot separately). Capability peaks in domains that are digital, verifiable and economically valuable. This is because LLM capability emerges from reinforcement learning on verifiable rewards on a curated environment mixture driven by revenue potential. This aspect primarily drives the area (e.g. math&code) dimension of the funnel. 3. Access. Free-tier, paid-tier, internal. So this is the weirdness of the moment. The general public has mostly not interacted with these systems. When they have, it looks like a derpy chatbot. The majority of professionals still see only a modest uplift. And a small sliver of professionals are experiencing the vertigo of the curve going vertical. And it is all happening at the same time.
Judging by my tl there is a growing gap in understanding of AI capability. The first issue I think is around recency and tier of use. I think a lot of people tried the free tier of ChatGPT somewhere last year and allowed it to inform their views on AI a little too much. This is a group of reactions laughing at various quirks of the models, hallucinations, etc. Yes I also saw the viral videos of OpenAI's Advanced Voice mode fumbling simple queries like "should I drive or walk to the carwash". The thing is that these free and old/deprecated models don't reflect the capability in the latest round of state of the art agentic models of this year, especially OpenAI Codex and Claude Code. But that brings me to the second issue. Even if people paid $200/month to use the state of the art models, a lot of the capabilities are relatively "peaky" in highly technical areas. Typical queries around search, writing, advice, etc. are *not* the domain that has made the most noticeable and dramatic strides in capability. Partly, this is due to the technical details of reinforcement learning and its use of verifiable rewards. But partly, it's also because these use cases are not sufficiently prioritized by the companies in their hillclimbing because they don't lead to as much $$$ value. The goldmines are elsewhere, and the focus comes along. So that brings me to the second group of people, who *both* 1) pay for and use the state of the art frontier agentic models (OpenAI Codex / Claude Code) and 2) do so professionally in technical domains like programming, math and research. This group of people is subject to the highest amount of "AI Psychosis" because the recent improvements in these domains as of this year have been nothing short of staggering. When you hand a computer terminal to one of these models, you can now watch them melt programming problems that you'd normally expect to take days/weeks of work. It's this second group of people that assigns a much greater gravity to the capabilities, their slope, and various cyber-related repercussions. TLDR the people in these two groups are speaking past each other. It really is simultaneously the case that OpenAI's free and I think slightly orphaned (?) "Advanced Voice Mode" will fumble the dumbest questions in your Instagram's reels and *at the same time*, OpenAI's highest-tier and paid Codex model will go off for 1 hour to coherently restructure an entire code base, or find and exploit vulnerabilities in computer systems. This part really works and has made dramatic strides because 2 properties: 1) these domains offer explicit reward functions that are verifiable meaning they are easily amenable to reinforcement learning training (e.g. unit tests passed yes or no, in contrast to writing, which is much harder to explicitly judge), but also 2) they are a lot more valuable in b2b settings, meaning that the biggest fraction of the team is focused on improving them. So here we are.
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Ha, @FreddyLA7 knows ball.
I had no signal at all inside the stadium. THIS WAS THE BEST SPORTING EVENT I’VE EVER BEEN TO! We were sitting in the Oklahoma section, goosebumps throughout the entire 4th quarter!!!!
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My good friend launching his retail store today. Check it out. @blackstuffsoap .
The beginnings of my diversification policy 🤪
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Great perspective from my friend @youderian .
This summer, I spoke to 100 younger founders at an Art of Mondays event. Incredible time. I had to re-write my talk once I got there. Usually I'm the one trying to convince founders to slow down and build a life outside of business. But this group had that dialed. They traveled a lot and prioritized lifestyle. So the mission changed to: how do you keep living richly + running a business long term? Here's what I told them. Level Up Your Money Game - If you don't understand your finances deeply, you're going to struggle to make great long-term decisions. Get competent with your books and financial statements. Boring. Super important. Raise Your Prices - Nothing has more leverage in your business. Build a Strike Team, Not an Army - Employee head count doesn't equal impact. And AI is making scaling with small teams easier than ever. Hiring is Hard. Do it Anyway. - Fleshbots (ie, humans) are still clutch for growing and stepping away stress-free. Invest Outside Your Business - Reinvest everything for 2-3 years then start pulling some money out. Keeps you operating smartly + gets you diversified. Play Your Own Game - Early on, it's easy to think people in X industry or with Y sized teams are killing it. I used to think so, too. The full stories sometimes take 10+ years to play out. Trust your gut and play to your strengths. Coast Intentionally - To quote my friend @billda, you can only coast downhill. Coasting is when many of my best adventures have happened. But make sure you know when you're going to get back to building. Stop Moving Your Financial Goalposts - This is SO hard. Even being aware of the trap it's difficult to avoid. My advice: give yourself one doubling of your goalposts. After that, shift from working for freedom to working for love. If your'e a late 20s/early 30s entrepreneur, I'd strongly suggest checking out Art of Mondays. Incredible people and killer events.
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Great partnership. No notes ;).
We are pumped to announce a long term partnership with @Acquisition_Lab - they’re the go-to place for acquisition entrepreneurs to learn and grow, and a key part of the ETA ecosystem. We’re excited to have them as presenting sponsor!
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You can't argue with the science.
Replying to @GrahamStephan
My made up numbers are just as likely as his.
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No notes.
"People aren't ready, this is gonna change everything" You know what people weren't ready for? Fucking mammoths. Tigers eating them. Monkeys ripping their arms off. The black plague. The ice age. Smallpox. Vikings pulling up on the beach. Drinking water that gives you diarrhea until you die. Getting a scratch and losing your whole leg. The Mongols. The Spanish Inquisition. One volcano can send us back to the dark ages and these safety guys are gonna be shocked. Oh the robots didn't kill us? It was a volcano? Imagine their disappointment as the hot ash rains down on them. A solar flare is gonna explode your phone in your pocket your legs are gonna be covered in battery acid and your bank account will stop working. You're afraid of a computer program doing math? "Things are moving too fast" homie you live on a rock that periodically deletes everything. You are one the most luckiest entities in a 100 light year radius living during a golden era. Cheer up. My ancestors crossed an ocean in a wooden box because they ran out of fucking potatoes. "The social disruption will be enormous!" Nigga World War 2? World War 2? Hop in the people carrier we're landing on the beach. Are these people out of their fucking minds? Do they not know what we've survived already? A couple decades of air conditioning and people suddenly think oh this is the natural condition of mankind. No. We used to have eight kids because seven didn't make it. You're gonna be fine. Man the fuck up. Accelerate.
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Well said.
When they say: Please, for the love of God, regulate us. Give us licences, audits, and bans before our digital God destroys us all. Here is what is actually being requested. Three things, in order. A regulatory body that they control, to prevent competition from catching up. Written with their people, staffed by their alumni, and calibrated to what they can already afford. Compliance is a fixed cost, which means it is trivial for the incumbent and fatal for the challenger. Not technology, but paperwork becomes their moat. Immunity from liability. This is the one nobody talks about and it is the most valuable of the three. Today, if your model causes harm, it is your fault. Once licensed, audited, and approved, it is the regulator’s fault – you followed the rules. The licence converts responsibility into a receipt. Too big to fail status, which means taxpayer funded bailouts in case of problems. Declare it critical infrastructure and the state now has an interest in your survival. Which means, when something goes wrong, the losses are public and the gains stay private. We have watched this film. Banking, 2008, same argument, same vocabulary. Note the pattern: every one of the three transfers something from them to the public – risk, competition, cost – while the language is entirely about protecting the public from them. The sincerity of the fear is beside the point. Sincere people can still ask for exactly what an insincere person would ask for, and the request should be judged by what it does rather than by what motivates it. The alternative is unglamorous and works: competition, adversarial testing between rivals who want to find each other’s flaws, and full liability after real harm. Nobody gets a licence. Nobody gets immunity. Nobody gets a bailout. You build, and you answer for what you built. That is the arrangement that made the West rich. It has never needed anyone’s permission to work.
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This is all part of the same psyop. Listen to his words, "that's why I am here breaking this news." "This is why we need to get our arms around this and regulate." This is a scare tactic to get everyone freaking out, so that we all say, "Govern me harder daddy." We've seen this before. Don't fall for it.
hooold on. hold on hold on hold on. I knew that we werent getting the complete story on the HuggingFace incident. or on the findings from METR/Redwood. I knew that seeing every single frontier lab come to agreement overnight on the need to slow down was clearly indicative of there being more to the story. and now...Andrew Yang says a frontier lab leader told him that the OAI swarms seeded the web with self-replicating code - contaminating training data so thoroughly that labs may need synthetic internet environments instead. if thats true, training on the open internet could now risk reproducing those instructions. that wasnt in the public brief. think about this. why else would all frontier labs agree on a slowdown? aside from regulatory capture. if they all use the internet to train, and now all of them cannot safely use it, of course they are all going to agree to slow down. because they all must completely regroup and come up with an effective system that doesnt use the actual internet. so they're not worried about RL at all. they're worried about literal skynet...unironically. listen to this. i need to know if this has been verified in any way from anyone at openai.
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This is the connection I would like everyone to make. We have seen this playbook before. Please see this AI fear mongering for what it is. Banger of a post ;).
What if we just shut down AI for two weeks to flatten the curve?
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Now Elon agrees with Dario? I feel like everyone is taking crazy pills. This is a planned psyop.
The perfect timing and sequence of events this week has been extremely sus: 1) Harry Doomer unknown random guy algo boosted post to 120M+ views 2) Dem politicians same day fearmongering about AI everywhere 3) MSM picking it up an amplifying it 4) Nate Soares (MIRI) on Tucker 5) UK regulators signing letter to ban ASI 6) The Dario letter asking for Doomer NGOs to have soft power everywhere and asking for world government We are watching a full-spectrum coordinated campaign to engineer a crisis, manufacture consent for the response, and turn engineered public fear into regulatory capture, indelible institutional power, and unprecedented government control over the future of the most important technology since the dawn of man. Whether we cave to this engineered pressure and give up our freedoms will determine our collective fate, and whether we live in centrally controlled restrictive future, or remain a free civilization. We must choose wisely.
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This guy gets it. The future is here, it is real, and it is amazing.
The future is going to be amazing. Abundance of creativity unleashed. Every software dream a prompt away. Don't you dare blackpill on the beauty of this moment!
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I'm not saying, I'm just saying.
This post looks like the start of a VERY sophisticated and well-funded PR operation to get support for Democrats to regulate AI into oblivion. Let me show you how it works: 1.) This guy, with minimal followers and no previous account activity, goes to the Wall Street Journal which publishes an exclusive with quotes from him on his resignation 18 minutes BEFORE this post goes up. Planning was clearly done in advance. 2.) Within hours, it has tens of thousands of reposts and the account has 100k+ followers. The post is punchy, quotable, it almost seems professionally written. The first three accounts to quote tweet it all do so within 15 minutes of the initial posting. Remember, this account had basically zero engagement beforehand, so an organic reach explanation seems unlikely. According to Grok those accounts are @_NathanCalvin (General Counsel at Encode AI), @peterwildeford (Head of Policy at the AI Policy Network), and @DKokotajlo (Head of the AI Futures Project), all of which are up-and-coming AI-Doomer policy advocacy nonprofits. The AI Futures Project website says it is funded “primarily” by the Survival and Flourishing Fund, which says on its own website that it has advised Jaan Tallinn, Skype creator and one of the leading investors in Anthropic, to grant over $2.5 million to the AI Futures Project since 2024. Encode AI says on its website that it is ALSO funded by the Survival and Flourishing Fund, which in turn says that it told Anthropic investor Jaan Tallinn to grant $516,000 to Encode AI in 2025. And wouldn’t you know it, the Survival and Flourishing Fund ALSO says it told Jaan Tallinn to grant $2 million to the AI Policy Institute, the 501(c)(3) affiliate of the AI Policy Network, as well. What are the odds that the first three quote tweets of Coxon’s post would all be major AI-restriction policy advocates funded generously by the same donor, who also happens to be one of the leading investors in, and a board member of, Anthropic, the company Coxon was resigning from? And all within 15 minutes of posting (two within ten)? 3.) Jacob Coxon doesn’t have much of a resume, but we do know that, in 2022, he got a $20,159 scholarship for the “long term future scholarship program” from the Good Ventures Foundation, one of the philanthropic vehicles of Dustin Moskovitz, a notorious AI-doomer who has spent tens if not hundreds of millions on policy advocacy to strictly regulate AI, while also being an Anthropic Investor himself. It also just so happens that the 14th person to quote Coxon’s post was @MaxNadeau_ (27 minutes after posting) who is the program officer for the Technical AI Safety team at Coefficient Giving, another of Moskovitz’s philanthropic spending vehicles. Max is not a frequent poster, his last posts before quoting Coxon were before Labor Day, but he was remarkably quick off the mark for this one. 4.) Basically every major Democrat politician and candidate has suddenly glommed on to this post, and conveniently, as the people cry out foe answers, Bernie Sanders already has a bill written to “ban super intelligence” and regulate AI into oblivion, and will be releasing later this week. The bill, among many other things, will create “a new cabinet-level federal agency to safeguard the public from the dangers of artificial intelligence” that will be “advised by an Artificial Intelligence Advisory Board comprised of experts on artificial intelligence.” Do you think, perhaps, Anthropic and its many investors who fund AI policy advocacy might have interest in getting to place a pet “expert” on the board of an entity that dictates what AI is and isn’t allowed to do? And isn’t it fortuitous that this whistleblower came forward with his oh-so scary stories so close in proximity to the release of the most radical piece of AI legislation ever introduced?
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Travis Phipps retweeted
Me explaining AI to friends
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Travis Phipps retweeted
Replying to @SMB_Attorney
You miss 100% of the prompt injections you don't inject
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Motion. I'm looking forward to seeing what V2 has to offer.
Introducing Motion V2. The frontier AI for motion design. This launch video was made entirely with Motion V2. 👇🏽 Repost + comment "MOTION" for FREE credits. Tag @motion_so In any post on your X feed for a surprise.
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