$ASTS 🛰️ ASTS Full Elliott Wave Roadmap (Primary Degree) 📈 WAVE I (Complete) $2.01 (2024 low) → $133.86 (Jan 30, 2026) Clean 5-wave impulse. Pre-2024 SPAC bleed excluded — no real trend before BlueWalker 3 de-risked the tech. 🔄 WAVE II (In Progress) — Bullish Expanded Flat A: $129.88 → $63 B: $63 → $133.9 (exceeded the Wave I high!) C: unfolding now via nested 5-wave impulse down Why B exceeding the prior high = BULLISH: Expanded flats are the most common flat variant precisely because they signal underlying strength. Buyers pushed B above the old high because bulls never lost control mid-correction. This is a classic early/strong-correction signature inside a bigger uptrend, not distribution or a topping pattern. 🎯 Wave C Target Zone (Trend-Based Fib Extension): 0.618 = $63 (already broken) 1.236 = $52 (testing now) 1.382 = $50 (primary target) 1.618 = $42 (max downside boundary) The box is $42-50. Don't model deeper than that. ⚠️ Could C wick below $49.3 (Nov 2025 Wave ④ low)? Roughly 45-55% chance of at least a brief wick below $49.3 — but that alone doesn't break the thesis: ~40-45% chance C completes at $50-52 without ever touching $49.3 → shallow completion, quick reversal ~25-30% chance C wicks through $49.3 briefly then reclaims → still inside the $42-50 box, not a red flag ~20-25% chance C sustains below $49.3 toward $42 → approaching the outer boundary, still valid ~10-15% chance C breaks decisively below $42 → structure invalidation, deeper correction likely Why this makes sense: expanded flat C legs commonly stretch to 123.6%-161.8% of Wave A, and corrections into a new degree often pierce prior lower-degree pivot lows before finding real support — that's normal "speed bump" behavior, not failure. A strong B wave (like ours, which took out the Wave I high) also tends to produce a more contained C, reinforcing $42-50 as the higher-probability zone rather than something deeper. Only a sustained close well below $42 would actually invalidate the pattern. 🚀 WAVE III Projection Measured from the Wave II low using Wave I's ~$132 range: 1.0x extension ≈ $180-195 1.618x extension ≈ $265-280 2.618x extension ≈ $400-410 (if fully extended) 3rd waves are historically the strongest/longest leg. Rule of thumb: only ONE of Waves 1, 3, or 5 tends to extend. 🔄 WAVE IV Projection Standard 38.2-61.8% retrace of Wave III. Must stay above $133.86 (can't overlap Wave I). If III = ~$400, IV likely retraces to ~$230-270. 🎯 WAVE V — The Real Target Since Wave III likely extends less aggressively if Wave V is the "special" leg, and given ASTS's profile — hypergrowth direct-to-device telecom, $30B-200B TAM, FCF inflection expected 2027-2028, major MNO deals (Vodafone, AT&T, Verizon) — this isn't a commodity mania play. It's a genuine operating-leverage compounding story. That fundamentally supports Wave III staying more modest (~$180-200) while Wave V becomes the extended, fundamentals-driven blow-off leg: Wave V target: $400-900+ This aligns well with analyst 2030 price targets already clustering in the $240-500+ range on fundamentals alone. ✅ BOTTOM LINE Right now: watching $42-50 for Wave C / Primary Wave II completion. A brief wick below $49.3 is plausible and wouldn't break the setup. Confirmation: reclaim of $63-66 (Wave A low) = flat is done, Wave III ignition begins. Then: Wave III runs → pulls back (Wave IV) → Wave V blow-off into 2028-2030 as FCF inflects positive. This isn't a top — it's a textbook bullish expanded flat reload before AST's most explosive fundamental + technical leg yet. 🛰️📈 ⚠️ Hypothetical Fibonacci/wave mapping — not guaranteed. Confirm each stage with real price action, volume, and momentum as it unfolds. NFA.

$ASTS Weekly 1) Gann Square Monthly have not adjusted since 2024 2) Price tested the Gann Arc area twice before breaking out to new Highs 3) Yellow path is the Jan 27 '25 analog anchored to May '26 lows, White path is more conservative with full consolidation since Aug '24 anchored to Jan '26. 4) Upper Gann Arc Target $300-$412

$ASTS Weekly - Livermore's Accumulation Cylinder Update.

$ASTS Daily: Prior Patterns kinda like W shape base. Livermore pattern here. 24H: Fat volume 39.6M daily, LBAF yearly open right at the Dec VPOC. Island Gap reversal?