Mossad spent years courting Iran’s former president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, even paying for his housing and travel. Then he vanished, and resurfaced at Khamenei’s funeral. Was the defection ever real? onedecision.com/israeli-inte…

“If we’re not at the table, we’re on the menu.” Canada’s Mark Carney wants the world’s middle powers to band together and rebuild the multilateral order. What they want to build is far less clear. onedecision.com/do-the-middl…

Can the US and China compete on AI and still agree on safety? During the Cold War, the Soviets and the US fought fiercely for dominance, yet both saw that spreading nuclear technology to more and more players served nobody’s interest. That recognition led to the Non-Proliferation Treaty and international inspections. The same logic could apply to AI: if China doesn’t slow down or act safely and the West does, the West is no safer. These rivals may still share an interest in controlling the spread of unguardrailed models. 🎙️ Watch the full episode on this week's One Decision: youtu.be/Nht_23Y4GDc #NPT #nuclearpolitics #aipolitics #China @scmallaby

Are today's big AI labs scared of their own tech? Sebastian Mallaby, Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and author of The Infinity Machine, a biography of DeepMind co-founder Demis Hassabis, joins former MI6 chief Sir Richard Dearlove and co-host John Raine to explain what tech leaders are actually thinking about. Listen to the full episode of One Decision on YouTube or your preferred podcast platform. #AI #aipolitics #openai @scmallaby youtube.com/watch?v=Nht_23Y4…

What becomes of a country after a world war? Both Germany and Japan moved on from the guilt and the obligation to apologize. But in a world where Donald Trump is unpredictable and changing fast, attitudes toward defense and defense spending in both countries have become more interesting than ever. For more, watch this week’s full episode on One Decision: youtu.be/fJNUBNsb_jA

A European defense that is less dependent on the US would require Franco-German cooperation. France is nuclear-armed, but without deep cooperation between French and German industry it's hard to see Europe becoming a force on its own. The obstacle is trust, says this week’s guest, Ian Buruma, historian and author of The Wages of Guilt. 📷 Watch the full episode on One Decision: youtu.be/fJNUBNsb_jA

Ian Buruma, historian and author of The Wages of Guilt, argues Japan is likelier than Germany to build nuclear arms - Germany is still embedded in what's left of NATO, while Japan has no equivalent. 📷 Watch the full episode on One Decision: youtu.be/fJNUBNsb_jA

Wartime guilt in Germany and Japan has shaped foreign and defense policy for generations. That influence is now fading fast. Historian and journalist Ian Buruma, author of Stay Alive: Berlin 1939–1945, joins former MI6 chief Sir Richard Dearlove and journalist Kate McCann to explain why both countries are now focused on rearming. Listen to the full episode of One Decision on YouTube or your preferred podcast platform. youtube.com/watch?v=fJNUBNsb…

What happens when a country’s opposition is forced into silence or exile? #CIA veteran Brian Latell tells Kate McCann that dissent inside #Cuba is now "pretty thin," with the few voices that remain forced to stay restrained and around 2 million Cubans having fled the island in recent years. Full analysis: tinyurl.com/2sujce9w

What does Marco Rubio want in Cuba, and how far is he willing to go? CIA veteran Brian Latell breaks down the tension at the heart of Washington's Cuba policy: the desire for change, and the question of how to pursue it without triggering deeper fallout. Tune in for his full analysis: tinyurl.com/2sujce9w #Cuba #MarcoRubio #Trump #ForeignPolicy

Ex-MI6 Chief Sir Richard Dearlove recalls witnessing the Cuban Missile Crisis as a student. By that time, our latest guest, Dr. Brian Latell, was already a junior CIA analyst. Now, more than six decades later, the two sit down to discuss the current state of the Cuban regime. Tune in for their full analysis: tinyurl.com/2sujce9w

#Cuba has a President. His position, however, is "very weak," says Dr. Brian Latell, former top #CIA analyst for #LatinAmerica. On One Decision, he breaks down the iron grip the Castro family still holds over the island: tinyurl.com/2sujce9w

Trump says high oil prices mean America "makes a lot of money." @CroftHelima, former CIA analyst and Head of Global Commodity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, explains to @Roolockwood who actually benefits from expensive oil - and who gets hurt. Watch her full analysis: tinyurl.com/3ab2xx8d #Iran #IranWar‌ #MiddleEast #Commodities

On One Decision, ex-MI6 Chief Sir Richard Dearlove and host @KateEMcCann sit down with Dr. Brian Latell, a 35-year CIA veteran, for an in-depth discussion of the Cuban regime. Fuel is running out, Washington is watching. What comes next? Tune in to find out: tinyurl.com/2bydxkd6 #politics #trump #cuba

Has the Iran conflict made or broken Donald Trump's presidency? Ex-MI6 Chief Sir Richard Dearlove says if the president manages to shift the political position of three of the West's biggest problems - Iran, Venezuela, and Cuba - it could rewrite the legacy of his second term. Full analysis: tinyurl.com/4nj5v3fy #Iran #IranWar #Trump #MiddleEast

On One Decision, former CIA analyst @CroftHelima tells guest host @Roolockwood why Iran holds a card the markets aren't pricing in. Could a U.S. declaration of "mission accomplished" bring this crisis to an end? Tune in for the full analysis: tinyurl.com/3ab2xx8d #Iran #Iranwar #MiddleEast #Geopolitics

Are Israel and the U.S. still on the same page, or quietly drifting apart? Ex-MI6 Chief Sir Richard Dearlove says the two allies have "different war aims," and that Israel won't be in a hurry to finish the fight. But there's a limit. Watch the full episode for more: tinyurl.com/4nj5v3fy #IranWar‌ #Israel #MiddleEast #Politics

From an ultimatum to a five-day pause in attacks. Did global markets force President Trump's hand? In the latest One Decision In Brief, ex-MI6 Chief Sir Richard Dearlove and journalist @KateEMcCann break down whether #Trump blinked, bluffed, or bought more time. Watch the full analysis: tinyurl.com/225jcwbk

The Strait of Hormuz isn't the only chokepoint to worry about. @CroftHelima, former CIA analyst, and ex-MI6 Chief Sir Richard Dearlove explain why it would not take much for the Houthis to throw the Red Sea - and global energy markets - into chaos. Full episode: tinyurl.com/3ab2xx8d #Iran #IranWar‌ #MiddleEast

What if the market is getting the Strait of Hormuz wrong? @CroftHelima, RBC Capital Markets' Head of Global Commodity Strategy, explains why the oil price does not reflect the "severity of the challenge" and why reopening the Strait may be harder than markets are pricing in. Full episode: tinyurl.com/3ab2xx8d #OilMarket #HormuzStrait #Iran