jay.eth (@OUqdd) profile picture

世界上最容易的事情中,拖延时间最不费力

Kwun Tong District, Hong Kong
Joined January 2023
Photo by jay.eth (@OUqdd)Photo by jay.eth (@OUqdd)Photo by jay.eth (@OUqdd)Photo by jay.eth (@OUqdd)Photo by jay.eth (@OUqdd)Photo by jay.eth (@OUqdd)Photo by jay.eth (@OUqdd)Photo by jay.eth (@OUqdd)Photo by jay.eth (@OUqdd)Photo by jay.eth (@OUqdd)
THE GALACTIC THREE THE GREAT RESHAPING OF THE WORLD The world of investing is always based on a brutal but simple law, and this law defines whether you are buying early into an asset, or you even define an entire industry that is under valued. And once you understood, and found an entire industry that is going to lead in the next decades, there is nothing to ignore anymore. So in the current world we have the entire world betting on AI but everyone seems to ignore the biggest change we are facing, its the re shaping of our finance as all, the financial sector is going to see a re-shape like never seen before, and this is part of the fifth industrial revolution. In my opinion, the fourth one came with the rise of social media, the world wide web as we know it today, and e-commerce. The third revolution was the dot-com era, the internet and the beginning of mobile phones. The second was the age of electricity, steel and the burn engine. And the first was the steam engine, which gave us the railways and the trains. From the first revolution until today's fifth revolution, that is roughly 260 years, and in each of these revolutions the new technology takes over the old technology, and those who adopted the new technology have been the successful ones, while those who insisted on the old ways, rebelled, or rejected the new move ended up on the losing side. 2. THE GALACTIC THREE I am betting BIG on the Galactic Three: Circle, Coinbase, and ETH. Circle is the largest regulated stablecoin issuer in the world. Coinbase is the largest crypto custodian in the world and the largest crypto exchange in the United States. Ethereum is the largest smart-contract and tokenization network in the world. The foundation of the next generation of crypto and finance is already here, directly in front of everyone, and I am betting heavily on it. The reason is simple, and once you truly understand this structure, the thesis becomes almost impossible to unsee. BlackRock sees itself as the father of everything: every asset, every market, and every major pool of capital in this world. Since the launch of the crypto ETFs, this father of everything has also become the new father of crypto. Not only the father of BTC. The father of the entire crypto system. And the three companies and assets with the deepest connection to this father are exactly the Galactic Three: Circle, Coinbase, and Ethereum. All my personal buy orders, sell orders, portfolio plannings, and trading ideas are shared exclusive in premium only. Whenever I Invest, I share it in real time, whenever I sell, its shared in real time. This is exclusive for premium members only. Find out more on: drprofitcrypto.com/. 3. THE BTC PROBLEM: Here is the problem with BTC: Dont get me wrong and I am not bearish at all on BTC, I remain super bullish on Bitcoin, and yet in this cycle I decided to own a ratio of 60% ETH, 40% BTC. And the reasons are all in this report. For now, BlackRock cannot do much with Bitcoin other than package it inside an ETF and sell exposure to it. There is no traditional business behind BTC. Bitcoin has no CEO. They cannot simply call Bitcoin and demand changes. For someone like Larry Fink and for Wall Street, that makes Bitcoin a relatively boring asset. Yet BlackRock still bet massively on it, and IBIT became the most successful ETF launch of all time. Remember this point carefully, because now you will understand exactly how this “problem” gets solved, why Bitcoin is extremely interesting for BlackRock, and why the final result may be something most people will not like. On July 23, BlackRock, Coinbase, Fidelity, Strategy, and five other giants launched the Bitcoin Security Consortium, committing $15 million over three years to finance quantum-resistant protection for Bitcoin. At the same time, Coinbase’s own research estimates that between 20% and 50% of all BTC held in older wallet formats could potentially be exposed to a future quantum attack, while BlackRock already lists quantum computing as an official risk factor in its ETF filings. Now think one step further. A quantum-resistant upgrade would be one of the most complex changes Bitcoin could ever face. Proposals such as BIP-360 already exist, and if the migration becomes contested, it could end in a HARD FORK: two different Bitcoins. It happened before with Bitcoin Cash. So if Bitcoin splits, which Bitcoin does the ETF follow? BLACKROCK DECIDES. Whichever chain IBIT follows immediately becomes THE institutional Bitcoin. The other chain would have no BlackRock support, no ETF flows, no serious institutional backing, and could remain exposed to quantum attacks at any time. So who will hold the “original” Bitcoin that nobody protects and no institution supports? Nobody. The consortium officially claims that it will take no role in Bitcoin governance. Of course they say that. But the reality is that the Bitcoin community is slow and lazy, Bitcoin Core development has always been thin, and now a foundation-style structure backed by the largest asset managers on earth is developing a quantum-resistant Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the miners are spread across different continents, disconnected from each other, with everyone running his own decentralized business and no real partnership or coordinated structure between them. The father of all dollars steps in and takes over the job. Larry Fink protects Bitcoin from the quantum computer, and in return, you use HIS Bitcoin. His Bitcoin operates under HIS institutional rules. This is how the one asset BlackRock could never directly control finally gets a father. Connected to the entire structure are Coinbase, holding the ETF coins; Circle, operating on reserves managed by BlackRock; and Ethereum, carrying the tokenization infrastructure. The Galactic Three are so galactic that almost nobody understands what is happening yet. Update from Today: Today we have seen another Hardware wallet breach, and this will become the normal in the future, and the new tech is going to overrun the old tech, and this is why the Bitcoin Algo will need an update in future. 4. COINBASE: THE CUSTODIAN OF BLACKROCK’S BITCOIN Coinbase Custody is the primary custodian of BlackRock’s IBIT. Read that again: the biggest Bitcoin ETF in the world, with the underlying coins physically sitting under Coinbase’s custody. BlackRock selected Coinbase from day one, not only for custody but also for spot-market pricing data. When Wall Street buys Bitcoin, Coinbase holds it. And this relationship goes far beyond BlackRock. The large majority of U.S. spot Bitcoin AND Ethereum ETF issuers selected Coinbase as their custodian, meaning that nearly the entire ETF industry is sitting on Coinbase’s vaults. And now we come to the Circle connection, because this is where the structure becomes VERY VERY VERY beautiful. Coinbase owns an equity stake in Circle and earns a share of the interest income generated by the reserves behind USDC. Coinbase also receives 100% of the interest generated by the USDC held directly on its own platform. Every time USDC grows, Coinbase earns. Every time Circle wins, Coinbase wins. Dont see them as competitors, they work on the same machine. Coinbase also built its own blockchain, Base, which has become one of the largest Layer 2 networks in the world. And where does Base settle? On Ethereum. Coinbase is therefore directly feeding the third member of the Galactic Three as well. One company, connected to every side of the system. Do you understand this connection? Do you understand how the sun and the moon are moving? All is perfectly alligned, and this is is the case with the GALACTIC THREE! Today, Coinbase trades at approximately $155, around 60% below its previous high of $402, while simultaneously building what I call the everything exchange: tokenized stocks, options through its acquisition of Deribit, the largest crypto-options platform in the world, an SEC-registered AI advisor, a USDC credit card, and a MiCA license allowing it to serve the entire European Union. But the tokenized-stock business is the most important part, because this is where the connection between BlackRock, Ethereum, Circle, and Coinbase becomes impossible to ignore. 5. ETHEREUM: THE NEW WORLD OF FINANCE When BlackRock launched BUIDL, its tokenized Treasury fund, it launched on Ethereum first. BUIDL has grown past $2.5 billion in assets and has paid out over $100 million in dividends since inception. Larry Fink has said it openly, over and over: the endgame is the tokenization of every asset. Stocks, bonds, funds, real estate. And the numbers show where that vision lives: Ethereum holds roughly $16.6 billion in RWA value, more than half of the entire tokenized asset market, up 315% year over year. BNB Chain sits at $3.6 billion, Solana at $2.5 billion. Ethereum commands four and a half times its nearest rival, and the answer that you need to know is that Larry Fink BlackRock CEO, decided for ETH. I cover DTCC in more detail later in this report, but to give you a quick insight: DTCC is the settlement backbone of American capital markets, custodian of over $114 trillion in U.S. securities, and in 2026 it received SEC clearance to tokenize Russell 1000 stocks, which include the entire S&P 500 and every major Nasdaq name, plus major index ETFs and U.S. Treasuries, with BlackRock, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan on board. The core platform runs on Besu, an Ethereum client, meaning the plumbing of Wall Street is now being rebuilt on Ethereum technology and standards. The process is simple. Today, when you buy a stock, your broker sends the order, DTCC updates a database, and settlement takes a day. In the tokenized version, that stock becomes a token, the transfer happens on-chain, and settlement is instant. And those rails speak Ethereum's language, so every bank and custodian plugging into them is building Ethereum-compatible infrastructure whether they planned to or not. Since EIP-1559 in 2021, a portion of every transaction fee on Ethereum is burned. Destroyed forever. That upgrade shipped three years before the ETFs, before BUIDL, before DTCC. The mechanism was built in advance, and its true purpose is only now arriving. A tokenized Stock Market changes hands: It is as if Visa destroyed a piece of its own stock every time someone swiped a card. No equity on Earth has that structure, and this can lead to rising and increased rising prices only. Ethereum underperformed during the previous cycle because there was NO regulatory clarity regarding its future. That is exactly why I stayed away from investing large amounts into ETH during the previous cycle and focused primarily on BTC instead. Remember XRP. XRP did almost nothing during the 2021 bull market because of the SEC lawsuit hanging over it. Once that legal cloud started disappearing, I invested strongly in XRP, made it into my second largest investment after BTC in the last cycle, and I spoke about that in public and made many reports why I bought XRP back then at $0,30, it became one of the strongest-performing assets during the 2024 and 2025 cycle. I am not expecting anything fundamentally different for Ethereum. ETH currently sits at approximately $1,880 while around 57% of the entire tokenized real-world-asset market operates on its rails. When the clarity comes, the repricing comes, and the fair value always finds his best friend. 6. CIRCLE: THE DEEPEST CONNECTION OF THE GALACTIC THREE Circle may have the deepest connection of all three, and almost nobody is discussing it, perhaps because people still look at it as “just a stablecoin company.” But who manages the reserves behind USDC? BLACKROCK. The Circle Reserve Fund is an SEC-registered government money-market fund managed by BlackRock and custodied by BNY Mellon, The Bank of New York. More than 80% of every dollar backing USDC sits inside a fund managed by BlackRock. BlackRock was also already an investor in Circle in 2022, long before the mainstream started talking about stablecoin stocks. This beautiful stock is the company behind USDC, the mother of all future regulated stablecoins and the ONLY large MiCA-regulated dollar stablecoin in Europe. In the United States, the GENIUS Act is forcing every issuer into a regulated framework, and Tether is already beginning to feel the pressure. For the first time since 2022, the amount of USDT in circulation declined, falling by $3 billion in Q1 2026. In Q2, the supply stopped falling, but the real story is somewhere else. USDC reached an all-time high of 12.5% of all crypto trading volume during Q2, and during the first half of 2026, approximately 70% of all real stablecoin volume moved through USDC, compared with only around 25% through USDT. In June alone, $1.21 trillion moved through USDC, compared with only $576 billion through USDT. And the future of finance belongs to the dollar that moves. Every dollar leaving unregulated stablecoins has one obvious destination: USDC. And who profits? CIRCLE. But USDC is not even the entire story, because Circle also operates USYC: TOKENIZED TREASURY BILLS designed for institutions. Instead of leaving dollars sitting on-chain or inside a bank account DOING NOTHING, institutions can move that capital into USYC, where it is invested in short-term U.S. Treasuries while remaining available on-chain. I have been monitoring USYC’s supply for months. It grew from approximately $350 million to $400 million in October 2025 to around $3 BILLION today. It even overtook BlackRock’s own BUIDL fund to become the LARGEST tokenized Treasury product in the world, and Binance now accepts it as institutional collateral. And here comes the beautiful irony: the GENIUS Act prevents stablecoin issuers from paying yield directly on the stablecoin itself. So where does the yield business move? To USYC. And Circle owns BOTH sides of the trade. USDC becomes the regulated digital dollar used for payments and settlement, while USYC becomes the tokenized Treasury product used for yield and institutional collateral. I had patience, more than enough patience. I always wanted to own this stock, and I finally grabbed it at approximately $62, far below the $83 price at which it opened on its listing day and nearly 70% below its all-time high of $197.90. An amazing entry. From $62 today, I expect at least $500 by 2030. This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. 7. THE TOKENIZATION OF EVERYTHING AND THE DTCC REVOLUTION The entire world is moving toward tokenization. Coinbase has announced tokenized U.S. stocks backed 1:1 by real shares, with dividends distributed automatically on-chain. At the same time Kraken and Robinhood are racing into the same market. Japanese stock market is coming through SBI using Ondo rails, which run on Ethereum. Nasdaq is preparing its own tokenized-securities framework. None of these companies or developments are separate. They are all connected. Larry Fink has already said it himself: the dream is the tokenization of everything, and it begins with stocks. And mark my words: platforms such as Hyperliquid and pure DEX infrastructure will eventually face bans if they do not implement proper KYC. There is no decentralized endgame. Get this fantasy out of your head. The elites will never allow you to control an entirely independent and anonymous decentralized financial system. If you genuinely believe in decentralization, hold Gold. Gold is the oldest decentralized asset in existence. No financial advice. This is simply the most logical answer I can give to the DeFi believers. Again, there will not be a completely decentralized financial system. You will watch DeFi transform into KYC-based financial infrastructure. And if you need final proof that this shift is already happening, look at the DTCC, the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation. The DTCC is the beating heart of the U.S. financial system. Nearly every American stock you have ever heard of sits in its hands, and it processes quadrillions of dollars in transactions. In 2026, it launched its Tokenization Service, which turns stocks into on the blockchain. When the DTCC turns a stock into a token, the actual transfer and settlement no longer happen inside the DTCC's own systems. They happen OUTSIDE, on the BlockChain and in this case on the ETH backed Besu. Do you see the connection my friends ? Do you understand what happens when trillions in tokenized stocks and Treasuries start moving on-chain, around the clock, with instant settlement, someone has to provide the rails, the bridge, and the money.. Ethereum provides the rails. It is the settlement layer this new infrastructure runs on. Coinbase provides the bridge. It is the regulated custodian connecting old-world capital to the new digital system. Circle provides the money. To settle massive tokenized trades globally, you need a deeply liquid, fully compliant digital dollar. That is USDC. Friends, the new financial world is right in front of us, grab it with haste, I am investing right into this shift, I believe in THIS future, and I dont believe in a future of money of the free will. I dont believe in privacy coins or decentralized finance. I believe in compliant, regulated, and institutional driven markets. My bet is on the other side, and many in the world of Crypto will not like my comments now. 8. THE CLARITY ACT: The CLARITY Act will be extremely positive for the crypto industry, but I believe it will be MORE positive for ETH, Circle, and Coinbase than for BTC. Bitcoin is already broadly treated as a commodity. The Act answers the questions that matter most for the other three: which tokens are securities and which are commodities, whether exchanges fall under the SEC or the CFTC, which disclosure rules apply to issuers, how stablecoins and yield products are treated, how DeFi protocols will be regulated, and how an insolvency safe harbor for digital-commodity transactions will operate. The status is clear: the Act passed the House in July 2025 with a massive bipartisan vote of 294 votes to 134, was approved by the Senate Banking Committee by 15 votes to 9 in May, and now requires a vote on the Senate floor before August 10, when the Senate leaves for its state work period. Otherwise, we wait until September. But either way, this is coming. All my personal buy orders, sell orders, portfolio plannings, and trading ideas are shared exclusive in premium only. Whenever I Invest, I share it in real time, whenever I sell, its shared in real time. This is exclusive for premium members only. Find out more on: drprofitcrypto.com/. 9. I AM INVESTING DIRECTLY INTO THE CHANGE These undervalued assets, or more accurately, this entire undervalued SECTOR, is what I call the new finance of our new world. All the money that is invested into an over valued AI Market, will realise that we are facing a strong shift in the financial markets, and the investments will flow into the sector of: FINANCE. The entire sector remains undervalued because the public and many large investors still do not understand the scale of its future impact. They do not understand the impact of Coinbase. They do not understand the impact of Circle. They do not understand the impact of ETH. And they certainly do not yet understand the magnitude of the new tokenized financial system that is being constructed directly in front of them. This shift will go into the history books. Again, our financial system is changing, and I am investing DIRECTLY into that change. I am investing in the leading companies and assets building the transformation, operating the infrastructure, and positioned to profit the most from it. And if you ask me how heavily I have positioned myself, I went very big on these bets. I could even argue that I went EXTREMELY big. I am investing for the long term, and I expect these gains to become generational, potentially enough to provide financial security for at least the next 10 to 20 years. This is my personal opinion only and is not financial advice. Nothing I share should be taken as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am sharing my own thoughts and decisions. (DrProfitCrypto.com) Date 31st July ETH Price NOW: $1,877 CoinBase Price NOW: $154 Circle Price NOW: $63
328
491
60
3,941
1,821,887
jay.eth retweeted
底部的确认从来不是靠一根反转大阳线,而是靠一连串"坏消息该跌不跌"的哑弹——市场用抗跌性本身公告卖方已死
2
3
2
30
45,542
$BTC 纯技术角度复盘:2025年牛市 1、按我现在的技术水平,重新去审视去年的牛市,我现在觉得10.11是必然事件,就算没有10.11,也会有其他大事件导致残酷的暴跌。 2、现在如果再让我重新选择一次,我想在2025年8月25日左右(附图4),周级别在顶部结构第一次测试 RSI 50线的时候,我会毫不犹豫地清仓离场。 3、后面的10月6日那一周(附图3),也就是周级别顶部结构第3次测试RSI 50线了,实属现货/多头最后的逃命机会! 4、那周级别总共有3段波段顶,当时为什么能判断等到第3段波段顶清仓(附图1)?其实,在第2段行情顶部的时候(周MACD死叉),哪怕你直接清仓也是没什么问题的(前提是:你抄底抄在熊市周期底)。 这里有一个现实的点:在行情展开到第1、2段的时候,你是不知道后面怎么走的。 一般像周MACD走2个金叉是一轮牛市标配,也就是比特币周级别至少有2段行情(对应附图1的1、2),去年第3段行情属于是意外之喜。 为什么这么说?当第2段行情结束的时候,周MACD在底部金叉依然在0轴之上,妥妥的依然稳健的多头市场! 说明此时市场情绪面、资金面热度都非常高,都不想停下来,所以催生了第3段行情,也是最后高潮部分! 5、继续看(附图1),第2、3行情对应的MACD,很明显这2段行情分别对应的MACD的死叉位置,已经与价格形成了顶背离,这表明行情风险已经拉满,不值得再贪恋,应该果断清仓离场的强烈信号! 也就是,我在本文第二段说的:以我现在的技术水平,我会在2025年8月25日左右,在周RSI 第一次测试50线的时候,我会清仓离场。或者,顶多留2成仓,拿到秋冬再离场! 感谢阅读🙏
18
12
86
14,606
币圈各大交易所的资源都在向VIP堆砌, 对于散户朋友来说, 最快捷的方法就是找一个靠谱的渠道商, 他会帮你解决原则性之内的一切问题, 而且效率比平台VIP客服更高, 糖哥可能就是大家最值得信赖的伙伴之一 除了日常技术分析外, 我也一直致力于大幅降低用户的交易成本, 同时也在致力于提升用户福利 渠道内用户统一默认开通60%的返佣、 每月有专属空投福利, 同时也有诸多的周边和真U抽奖...... 啥也不说了,这次的周边先安排上: 1、世界杯观赛礼盒一套 2、Bitget T恤✖️3 3、100U 10人分 抽奖地点:VIP交流群 抽奖时间:18号晚18点 抽奖条件:拥有糖哥渠道内的Bitget UID,并三连本推 60%永久返链接:partner.hdmune.cn/bg/5VPXQS *VIP群非收费群,注册渠道内链接,入金2000U即可进群,同时,可以直接拿10U新人奖励(注册入金后私我即可)!#Bitget
现在各大交易所都在宣传VIP用户的专属客服 口号是:VIP有问题就及时找客服! 那普通用户的客服服务怎么办? 那VIP用户的生理问题也能找客服解决吗?
44
37
2
52
6,862
jay.eth retweeted
很多人误认为大跌就是放量 小跌就是缩量 大错特错!判断标准看量能均线 成交量在均线上方=放量 均线下方=缩量 #布林带之神 #合约交易 #币安 #btc #eth
2
16
1,167
三月底四月初我反复提及半年内有效的这些点位时,被一些人扣上了一跌就看5万,看4万的帽子,现在我还是负责任的告诉大家,中间会有插曲,但这些结构点位依旧没变,糖哥针对实际走势做以下精细化处理: 中线支撑61230-59702(盯盘1:2) 中线第二支撑57186-55840(1:2可挂) 第三笔下跌枯竭区域50510-46324(1:2可挂) 前两档当作中短线抢反弹点位看待,空头枯竭区域至少可以布置中线仓位,其他细节再具体分析。 至少明确的可以说:当前BTC的价格,不论是对应局部形态,还是对应在结构高度中来看,都是没跌完的。#BTC
每日大盘解读——BTC BTC当前的位置,和过去10天的运行区域没有发生本质的变化,这种长横盘末端的窄幅波动,可以通过技术手段去研判跟踪出接下来的走势动向,但所费心神太大,好比是杀鸡用牛刀,并不值当 对于行情,你可以多看少动,但是不能不看,不研究熊市走向的交易者,也往往抓不住牛市的来临 从日线及以上级别的结构来看,过去2个月的笼统走势均处于空头趋势中空头一侧的第二个下跌横盘,这是分析当下所有走势的基调。 至于近期的局部走势,K线有“一阳带两星”的味道,但MA30在盘中扮演了压制的角色,其本身也处于震荡之中,所以确定性并不高,更多信息,需要在小级别里剖析; 这里即使有利好带来的突发性上涨,其高点也只是到达控盘线75180附近,不会直接改变下跌趋势,还是预留抵达后的高抛以及回踩MA30后的低多思路,本级别里不直接向上博弈。 从4H到12H的中线走势来看,前文糖哥提示了其中的“塔形底”思路,并通过激进单的模式勉强吃到了1%的涨幅,并提示止盈,当前该结构还在,但并不强势。 “塔形底”做完颈线附近的支撑后,再下方的支撑就要结合内部结构,在底部横盘区域的上轨去做。 从1H及以下级别来看,4天前糖哥提示价格在69222上方会有背驰,这个思路在昨天兑现,15分钟顶背离后在68256的拉升,本质上是上周背驰段的延续,所以前面的文章提示了止盈,而不是保本。 当前各级别重回多空交织结构,局部可提供的波动半径不足1%,多看少动,等放大波动后再考虑。 总结:日线及以上级别中空头趋势的基调不变,4H到12H有短暂生成的塔形底结构,但该结构在1H以下级别中并不强势。所以日线级别暂且定性为反抽“类M顶”颈线的第二个波峰,主要预防诱多之后的变盘向下,局部缓跌情况下,可以在4H“塔形底”底部盯盘快进快出。(细节看图) 激进支撑67860-67430(盯盘快进快出),第二支撑64775-63720(看长做短,盯盘快进快出,急跌不入), 短线压制71674-73330,形态背驰压制75180-77380 大级别点位,有效期几周到半年不等,不确定什么时候到,但到了依次能做,自行保存参考,非日内参考! 第一支撑60414-58760(1:2快进快出), 第二支撑57300-54660(急跌1:2抢反弹) 49530-39410区域是第三笔下跌的空头枯竭区域。#BTC
33
12
1
46
25,371
jay.eth retweeted
Unbelievable $BTC longs have been massacred since 10/10 liquidation party began. 40-80 billion USD liquidated since then. But the degen never stopped hence we have a period of high volatility again. But long term, there is a reckoning above. Billions of untapped short liquidations. 9.8 billion USD in cumulative short liquidations on Binance alone at 127,000 per BTC. Do you really think those that don't take profit will survive? God willing
34
16
2
237
37,498
jay.eth retweeted
如果你能完全卸载掉 360,那你的电脑不需要 360。 如果你只能花钱去安装OpenClaw,大概率要么搞不明白怎么用,要么玩崩了之后连修复都不会。 下面是0基础安装OpenClaw教程 兄弟们自取
24
103
1
606
196,861
1月做的大饼的月历 说大饼1月诱多,高位挣扎 2月结构性暴跌或黑天鹅 暂时还没空做完整的日历 如果点赞+评论在1000以上 我感觉我会有动力做~ 你们觉得呢
12
19
153
15,029
再抽3份币安旅行包,质量一流巨好看~关注,点赞,转发😛😛 (熊猫不送😭) – at Yuen Long District, Hong Kong
❄️❄️币安圣诞季🍀 《抽2件币安帽衫,版型很好,赞转评本条推文参与~》 即日起至2026年1月1日,在符合条件的币安现货交易对累计交易至少500美元,即可赚取0.002至0.014 BNB代币券,仅限前62,500名用户。 还有交易量锦标赛:交易瓜分高达1,500 BNB奖池! 用户每天都有机会解锁不同的促销,直到圣诞节! #binance #圣诞
194
100
7
185
32,057
刚才撸完单, 盘点合约账号的时候发现多出来了1500块, 于是我去查看了一下账单记录, 发现是VIP3用户满足交易条件后给的空投, 今天我很开心,#Bitget 也够意思,这钱就给大家抽了! 1、10人×4.5个BGB 2、咖啡杯×3 抽奖条件:转发+评论+关注 注册BG账号(50%永久返): partner.dhxrcw.cn/bg/5VPXQS 抽奖入口:t.me/+rt5aCEhbP7Y0YWJi
186
111
6
157
38,328
为什么前两天我和大家说:如果这次 $BTC 和 $ETH 调整完继续上攻,我们将会大概率再次迎来【山寨季或者山寨月】 不知道大家有没有发现,从今年4月份—8月份这一波的行情里,大部分跟随 $ETH 拉盘的山寨除了 $ETH 系列之外,更多的都是这一轮的各种新上的新币,妖币。 而过去的一些强庄山寨反而表现的很差,几乎没有去参与这轮行情。 随便举两个例子,比如2024年11月份那轮【山寨月】行情中表现出色的强庄公链代币 $VET 和游戏板块龙头 $SAND 这两个代币在2024年11月份那轮行情里表现出色,都是暴力拉盘。但在今年4月—8月里反而每一次波浪上涨的高点越来越低,非常让人失望。 但是它们的低点也在不断抬高,目前全都憋在三角形末端,基本处于退无可退的地步了。 类似这样的老牌强庄山寨还有不少,大家可以去找一些看下,形态都是类似的。 在盘面上,2024年11月份那轮【山寨月】发生时的信号是当时 $BTC 在2024年3月份刚刚突破上一轮高点6万9到达7万3后,就开始了长达半年之久的震荡回调,然后在2024年11月6日正式突破7万3的前高,直奔10万大关。 而当前已是这轮牛市的下半场,留给市场的时间已经不多,盘面主导也由 $ETH 开始接班。所以我个人认为,这些老牌强壮山寨都在等一个信号: 就是 $ETH 究竟能否、以及何时正式突破4870这个历史前高。当 $ETH 正式突破时,这些老牌强壮山寨大概率会再次开始发力。 所以如果你看好后市,在这个时间节点,可以找一些自己看好的老牌强壮山寨买入一些现货头仓,合约交易者可以开个0.3-1倍杠杠的仓位做底仓,因为目前这些山寨币都处在周线底部,盈亏比确实不错。 但这样自然会承担一些风险,如果你风险偏好低,可以最近对这些山寨多保持关注,一旦它们突破下降趋势线,有了更明确的启动信号,选择右侧进场。 以上,供参考。
12
8
53
10,340
主力常用的做盘形态,点赞收藏!
17
87
392
89,261
初学者瓶颈期突破指南! 内容字数:2000 阅读时间:3分钟 本文我想写的是:针对很多初学者,在学习了一些技术面知识后,却迟迟无法应用于实战,最后陷入自我怀疑,或对技术面类容的否定之中的情况。 这是通病,向前一步即成功之门;退缩一步,则前功尽弃,针对这个话题,我主要总结为三点: 1、系统性学习、 2、紧抓本质、 3、会诊辩证、 然后功法自然成。。。。。。 看到什么系统性学习、紧抓本质、辩证分析等内容,估计很多人又要头疼了,觉得又是什么专业术语,自己又记不住。 下面且听糖哥狡辩,让你终生难忘,就像人生中的第一次,即使忘了是什么样的感觉,但闭上眼睛时,脑海中总会有销魂画面浮现于眼前,似乎还有身下娇喘的哪个她。今天的文章,就是技术进阶路上糖哥和你的第一次,希望多年后,脑海中还浮现着糖哥的声音。😻 1、系统性学习: 这不是什么复杂的问题,就是避免碎片化学习,避免拿东拼西凑的东西去看行情。就像牛发情的时候找牛,马发情的时候找马一样;如果是马发情了配牛,牛发情了配马,在生殖隔离的情况下是不会有结果的,来年别人牛马满圈的时候,你家是一场空。故古人云:风马牛不相及! 所以,系统性学习是从最简单的知识学起,全面学习,简单的路径如下:先学习各种单根K线的含义(主要是大阳线,大阴线,十字星等),以及同一根K线在不同位置的作用,再学习糖哥的生命线战法,辅助以MACD和量能等简单的指标,就能够让这个系统形成闭环,相关内容,置顶推文全有。 就如同:先上幼儿园,再上小学,初中,高中,大学的流程一样。很多人的水平是幼儿园小班,连1~10都数不过来,确张口闭口就是自己在学微积分和火箭绕太阳飞行一圈的公式,属于是自欺欺人。 这样说我不知道自己表述的是否清楚,但希望大家明白从幼儿园到大学的整个过程。按顺序学习,而不是说先学习了大学的内容,再去补习幼儿园的知识的这种碎片化历程,这样即磨人,还容易一无所获。 而是做好每个阶段该做的事情,按顺序学习,打好了基础,后面的学习才可能事半功倍,甚至某一天就会突然明白了很多原先困惑的事情。即使学习新事物,也不会被简单的原理所困。 2、紧抓本质、 就是脚踏实地,不要好高骛远,不要过度解读行情。虽然行情没有你想象的那么简单,但也绝对没有你想象的那么复杂,拿技术面来说,就是紧扣已有的结构去推理走势和相关的应对方法,不要幻想;拿选币来说,就是选优质币种去做(如:BTC),不要听别人讲的故事就幻想通过空气币致富。 举个例子:很多山寨币和土狗的本质就是资金盘,不要把某些KOL人面兽心的伪善话语和话术当成致富的捷径,如同你向往别人口中的海市蜃楼,而别人只是想把你诱骗过去噶腰子,或把你的心掏出来做刺身,我这样说不是夸张句,而是币圈比这更残酷,希望你能够加深印象。 除了技术本身和选币,最重要的本质就是认清自己,不要自大,因为你的确很渺小;也不要自卑,因为大家都是普通人,不要觉得谁了不起,去掉美颜滤镜,马路上没几个好看的,你也可以根据自己的具体情况一步步发展壮大。 曾经我也觉得自己很笨,但一路走来,那些曾经自认为聪明的人几乎全部退圈,而我还收获了属于自己应得的财富,跳出了原有的圈层。如果回想一下自己,我总是有一种愿意放弃短期利益,而追求长期利益的牺牲精神,和在短期利益与长期利益之间找到自我平衡的搭配及反思习惯。 3、会诊辩证、 就是不要非黑即白的看问题。当你明白了上面两点之后,第三步是水到渠成的事情,是情到深处快要射了的感觉,如果你没有经验,我说射的感觉你也不知道是啥滋味;如果你有一定基础,我不说,等摩擦到位你也能Get到相关的快感或高潮, 就是什么时候该慢点,什么时候该快点,什么时候应该深,什么时候应该浅,什么时候该三长两短,什么时候该九浅一深,以及用什么样的姿势会更舒服的问题;亦或者是同样的一个姿势,到底是应该在最开始用,还是快结束的时候用, 拿K线来讲,同样的一根大阳线,在连续大跌之后可能是见底信号,在没涨多少的时候,可能是上涨中继,在大涨之后,可能是多军衰竭, 同样的一根大阴线,在连续大跌之后可能是空头衰竭的信号,在刚破位的时候可能是下跌中继,在大涨之后,可能是多军衰竭的信号, 同样的一根十字星,在连续大跌之后出现,说明多空达成平衡,物极必反,接下来可能偏多;在上涨或下跌途中出现,则不会改变原有趋势的运行方向,只是中继;在连续大涨之后出现,同样物极必反,接下来可能偏空。 所以同样的形态,要结合整体的环境辩证着去看,而不是认一个死理,不要学点皮毛就认为同样的K线在不同的位置也是同样的含义。 技术分析不是死记硬背各种公式然后套用的重复性工作,而是重在辩证,辩证着参考和分析 讲了这么多,该说的也都说了,最后再简单说一下我个人最初开悟的起点:我是从明白了相同的K线在不同的位置有不同的含义后,才对技术应用开始入门,掌握了K线后结合均线系统走到了今天。这条路不难,只是需要点时间,学好K线,再学均线,各位终有一天也会成为大家。 其他的都是水到渠成和锦上添花的事情,也欢迎大家留下自己的心得或疑问,本帅哥会一一回复。#BTC
36
5
71
7,025
如果 #以太坊 6月17号没有拉盘反弹到:2846附近, 我会在本帖子下方抽10人每人送100U❗ 评论、转发、关注❗ #BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH #抽奖
以太坊 若是本周收盘价站稳:2526、 且未来1-2周内出现连续小阴线或十字星, 随后再放量突破2589形态确认, 概率反弹90%❗ 止跌时间:5月27号~6月3号, 上涨时间:6月10号~17号。 突破2846为中期强压,突破需要ETH生态重大利好,目标位置:3000、3500! #BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH
170
96
1
136
61,855
比特币 #Bitcoin 和以太坊,之前高位止盈的仓位,接下来准备分批买回来。 加仓的逻辑很简单,就看四个信号:前低、均线、超卖、背离。信号越多,出手越有把握。 一个信号,不急;两个信号,可以小试;三个以上,就是重点机会 没按计划走怎么办?错了止损~
不预测,只应对,继续按计划执行以太坊交易。 当以太坊 #ETH 价格触发前高压力+超买信号,先止盈一部分,锁定利润,减轻压力,同时上调止损线,以防最坏的情况出现。 接下来,提前根据EMA找到高赔率位置,计算好仓位,等鱼上钩。
16
23
1
144
46,775
缠论分析-4.29-BTC 4小时级别线段高位,注意多空转换! discord邀请链接:discord.gg/JkqJwtssr3
18
18
1
70
24,978
技术干货:第三十六讲——回家与吻别 内容字数:1100 阅读时间:1分钟 K线和均线之间具有互相牵引的关系。K线是舟,均线是河,量能是马达;舟在水上漂,速度看油门,方向看河道。今天我们深入浅出,要讲的重点就是小舟与河道的关系。(附实战案例) 从技术面去理解,就是当币价过快、过分的远离均线之后,如果是在上涨阶段,获利丰厚的短线客就会选择兑现离场,导致价格回归平均成本区;如果是在下跌阶段,过于迅猛的跌势在关键位置必然会吸引抄底资金的入场,所以价格就会发生反弹,这就是“回家”形态的技术原理。 根据“回家”形态的时长法则,币价回到MA30的极限时长普遍在8天左右,平均时长在5天左右,跌速较快的情况下会在3天左右(也就是过去常说的4天三阴), 换而言之,就是在大多数情况下,币价出现日线连跌之后,通常会在5天左右出现阶段性低点,并且会向MA30目标位展开反弹。 “回家”形态的主要作用,就是估算下跌持续的大致时间和范围,当然,其每个低点未必都会是理想的介入点,但可以为交易者对整体的币价涨跌提供一个重要的技术参考。 “吻别”形态的主要形式,就是糖哥经常提到的破位反抽确认的判断依据之一。 该形态为前期套住的筹码提供二次逃命的机会,同时也为捕捉做空时机和判断趋势或趋向扭转提供了一定的依据。 上涨阶段的回家: 11月4号,图A已经连跌6天,时间符合买入条件,在本轮大涨前原文提示“回调已经处于尾声,往下有较为强劲的结构支撑,是埋伏中线反弹的区间,”成功捕捉67216的上涨起点(盘面最低66808) xitter.cf/Xxoo3k5k/status/185342… 下跌阶段的吻别: 2月21号,图B价格结束震荡后,连涨三天未突破,提示了99600的压制,原文提示了“现货止盈,小止损空”,“面对插针后连涨3天但未突破的走势,不要去追涨,免得买在局部高点。” xitter.cf/Xxoo3k5k/status/189294… 3月2号,图C,经过一波大跌后,算上长下影线,属于连续大涨3天,原文提示了“底部买进拿中线的筹码和前期高位套住的筹码都要先减仓离场,不要被无脑喊牛回的声音冲昏了头脑,不要追涨,”也提供了精准点位,事后看,决断正确。 xitter.cf/Xxoo3k5k/status/189620… 3月6号,图D,在收缩三角内部,连涨三天,原文再次提示价格持续拉升的空间和概率变小,不用过多期待,主要提防短期冲高回落走势。一直回落至今。 xitter.cf/Xxoo3k5k/status/189762… 技术分析的本质是在剖析人性的贪婪和恐惧,不要刻舟求剑,生搬硬套,#BTC
技术干货:第三十五讲——均线兜底坑和K线形态的配合 内容字数:1100 阅读时间:2分钟 均线兜底坑和K线形态的配合,顾名思义就是通过K线的见底结构和均线系统的多空转化,双重确认价格探底后扭转过程中的买点,从而达到在右侧布局买入的目的。 均线兜底坑,是指价格经过大幅回落之后,在有中长期均线加入的聚拢或粘合形态之下,价格突然再次向下快速回调,但随后又回升并突破中长期均线,扭转趋势并启动第一波上涨。 这种形态在盘面上看就像是挖了一个坑,会对交易者在仓位和心理上都造成判断干扰,但也要知道,兵不厌诈,交易也是如此,这也是在技术分析中的常态。 均线兜底坑是在趋势扭转阶段的常见现象,大级别均线和小级别均线在回落后的再次的聚拢,说明市场对见底有了一定的认可,而恰在此时,突如其来的急跌打破所有均线的支撑,毫无疑问会引发市场的恐慌。 在市场没有明显上涨或下跌方向的时候,出现兜底坑后,在坑左侧下跌时,会瞬间瓦解多数原本就套住且苦苦持仓等待的交易者的信心,从而促使他们在低位交出带血筹码;而在右侧填坑拉升的过程中,前面已经卖出的大多数人出于种种考虑,是没有勇气再次买回的,而主力操盘手要的就是这个目的。 主要参考均线参数有:MA30、MA250, 主要参考K线结构有:头肩底,塔形底、W底,V形底 4H以下级别出现该结构组合,做中短线为主, 4H以上级别出现该结构组合,埋伏中长线为主。 总之,级别越大,参考性越强,稳定性越好。 由于近期大级别没有符合的案例,糖哥就从我们所操作过的小级别当中举例说明: 下图是BTC从109500下跌至93500的行情,在小级别里完成了相关演绎。 图A、B处,是类似结构,但MA250有明显朝下的走势,压制明显,不能算是兜底坑。 图B和C的衔接处,价格虽在MA250之上,但考虑到不符合生命线战法的上涨需求,糖哥提示了多看少动,跌后再买,避开了价格向图1的下跌段。 至图C处,我们根据1H头肩底和各级别均线的关系,分别吃到了图1、2、3处的上涨,其中,1~2处不是今天要讲的重点。 重点:图3是K线同时回踩头肩底颈线和MA250均线的位置,且此处的MA250由原先的明显向下转为了走平状态,故而就是今天要讲的均线兜底坑和K线形态双重确认的买点,价格也如期出现了支撑上涨和跌破后的反抽确认。 至图4,我们虽提示了止盈,但是不影响对该结构的判断,所以在图5也提示了快进快出的机会,如果后续不跌破,自然会有向上的行情出现。 但是当价格下跌至图6时,就改变了原有的技术环境,重回了震荡走势,宣告了该结构的暂时终结,所以反抽图7时,我也提示了先出局,预留向下的低多。 从而在该结构中完成了操作循环,相关实战案例参考如下: 衔接处: 1、xitter.cf/Xxoo3k5k/status/189038… 2、xitter.cf/Xxoo3k5k/status/189109… 图1买点捕捉:xitter.cf/Xxoo3k5k/status/189146… 图2买点捕捉:xitter.cf/Xxoo3k5k/status/189217… 图3买点捕捉:xitter.cf/Xxoo3k5k/status/189257… 图4高抛、空单提示,图5、6低多提示:xitter.cf/Xxoo3k5k/status/189294… 图7反抽出局提示xitter.cf/Xxoo3k5k/status/189329…
30
20
1
50
15,814
#Ethereum Correction Over? #ETH might have completed its correction: ▫️Retested both Tenkan 🔴 and Kijun 🔵 ▫️Retested the Kumo Cloud SSA ▫️Lagging span 🟠 also retested its Tenkan Worst case scenario would be a retest of the Kumo Cloud SSB, the Ichimoku's strongest line.
43
58
2
343
29,218