🚨 New paper alert!
⚖️ Merger arb on Polymarket looks free. It isn’t.
✅ 85.5% of accounts profit 💥 A few false resolutions still wipe the book: net −$23.4M
🐋 Bigger size, more alpha? Barely. $139.3M gross → $7.8M net. Capital, not skill.
🎉 Accepted at #ICAIF2026
What is the point of student debt with these tools?????
We’re releasing a broad range of new mathematical results produced by an internal frontier model.
We’ve been consulting with the independent Advisory Group on Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence at the Institute for Advanced Study, and we have drawn on their advice and public recommendations to inform how we release these results.
github.com/openai/math
🚨 New paper alert!
⚖️ Merger arb on Polymarket looks free. It isn’t.
✅ 85.5% of accounts profit 💥 A few false resolutions still wipe the book: net −$23.4M
🐋 Bigger size, more alpha? Barely. $139.3M gross → $7.8M net. Capital, not skill.
🎉 Accepted at #ICAIF2026
OSGbyte retweeted
You need to stop and read this again…
Warren Buffet’s final words of advice from his very last annual letter 🥹
"One perhaps self-serving observation. I’m happy to say I feel better about the second half of my life than the first. My advice: Don’t beat yourself up over past mistakes – learn at least a little from them and move on. It is never too late to improve. Get the right heroes and copy them. You can start with Tom Murphy; he was the best.
Remember Alfred Nobel, later of Nobel Prize fame, who – reportedly – read his own obituary that was mistakenly printed when his brother died and a newspaper got mixed up. He was horrified at what he read and realized he should change his behavior.
Don’t count on a newsroom mix-up: Decide what you would like your obituary to say and live the life to deserve it.
Greatness does not come about through accumulating great amounts of money, great amounts of publicity or great power in government. When you help someone in any of thousands of ways, you help the world. Kindness is costless but also priceless. Whether you are religious or not, it’s hard to beat The Golden Rule as a guide to behavior.
I write this as one who has been thoughtless countless times and made many mistakes but also became very lucky in learning from some wonderful friends how to behave better (still a long way from perfect, however). Keep in mind that the cleaning lady is as much a human being as the Chairman."
And then today, his last letter to shareholders as chairman…
Warren Buffett is stepping down as chairman of Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.B, effective immediately - CNBC
OSGbyte retweeted
Musk, Altman and Dario are not calling for an AI frontier slowdown because they suddenly developed morals.
🚨 New paper out!
Every @Polymarket contract starts empty. No inherited book. No designated MM. No auction.
We measure what it costs to trade in the first 24 hours, and it depends entirely on the event type.
With Carl Jörnell and Vicente Perez.
1/🧵
🚨 New paper out!
Every @Polymarket contract starts empty. No inherited book. No designated MM. No auction.
We measure what it costs to trade in the first 24 hours, and it depends entirely on the event type.
With Carl Jörnell and Vicente Perez.
1/🧵
📄 Paper: dspace.networks.imdea.org/ha…
💻 Code: github.com/vpercap-rg/polyma…
🤗 Data: huggingface.co/datasets/vpca…
Presenting at MARBLE 2026 in Cyprus!
8/🧵







