@NoblePredictivei
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Strategic Research | Trusted Data | Actionable Insights
Phoenix, AZ
Joined December 2016
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A majority of Utah voters (54%) approve of Lt. Gov. Deidre Henderson pushing back against federal requests for Utah's full voter file. When asked about voter records, 58% of voters prioritize personal privacy over federal access for election integrity checks (27%).
Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
Half of Utah voters currently support a proposed constitutional amendment requiring certain tax initiatives to pass with at least 60% approval, while 21% oppose it and 23% are unsure. Support is highest among older voters, reaching 64% with voters 65 and older compared to 29% with voters 18-29.
Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
Nearly 7 in 10 Utah voters (69%) say politicians should stop discussing the 2020 election and focus on current issues. Majorities across Republicans, Democrats, and Independents agree the subject should be dropped.
Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
"Cost of living is the common denominator. But after that, younger voters are thinking much more about housing, while older voters are more focused on water and the Great Salt Lake." - @MikePNoble
Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
"Utah's partisan baseline has barely moved since spring. The biggest pocket of uncertainty is among Independents, where about half have not picked a side on either generic ballot." - @MikePNoble
Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
UTPOP finds notable shifts in job approval ratings for key figures in Utah since April. Governor Spencer Cox moved from net +19 to -4 (42% approve / 46% disapprove), while Donald Trump moved from net even to -10 (43% approve / 53% disapprove).
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
The economy and cost of living are by far the top issues for Utah voters heading into November. At 46%, it nearly triples the next-highest concern, housing affordability (16%), and matches water, drought, and the Great Salt Lake (16%).
Full Report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
Republicans maintain double-digit leads in Utah heading into the midterms, holding a 20-point advantage on the generic congressional ballot (45% to 25%) and a 24-point lead on the state legislative ballot. That generic congressional edge is virtually unchanged from April, when the GOP held a 21-point lead.
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
“In the aftermath of the 2020 election, Arizona voters have had to hear about ‘Sharpiegate,’ a recount, oceans of political division and hatred, and so much more. Frankly, most voters just want people to shut up about it.” - @MikePNoble
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
There is broad ideological agreement with this opinion: 74% of Democrats, 68% of Independents, and 66% of Republicans would prefer that the subject be dropped.
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
Despite being nearly 6 years in the rearview mirror, politicians or political commentators from time to time may still reference the events surrounding the 2020 election.
By and large, Arizona voters would prefer they didn’t.
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
“During his first term in office, ‘…but the economy’ was a common remark among supporters of Donald Trump. ‘I don’t like Trump on x, y, or z…but look at the economy. That rings less true this time around.” - @MikePNoble
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
This AZPOP finds voters less than thrilled with Trump's handling of the conflict in Iran and the economy.
The president receives lower marks for how he has been conducting military operations in Iran (Net -25) and how he has been steering the economy (Net -25).
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
From NPI’s first AZPOP of the Second Trump administration, the president’s net job approval rating has fallen from +3 (50% approve; 47% disapprove) to -19 (39%-58%).
That marks Trump’s lowest net job approval rating ever recorded by AZPOP.
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
At a personal level, individual Democratic officeholders are more popular than some high-level Republicans.
“The personal popularity of Mark Kelly, Katie Hobbs, and Ruben Gallego comes from more than a party label. A generic Democrat can’t expect to replicate it just with a ‘D’ next to their name.” - @MikePNoble
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
“With Democrats in the highest state offices at home and Republicans in control of the government in Washington, it’s no wonder voters can’t agree. Everyone has a little to like and a lot to complain about.” - @MikePNoble
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
Voters in the Grand Canyon State are continuing their years-long trend of disagreement over which direction the state is headed in.
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
Arizona voters also give Hobbs an advantage over Biggs on managing the growth and impacts of data centers.
“Data centers are no longer a niche land-use question. Voters connect them to water, electric demand and infrastructure — and they are carrying that judgment into the governor’s race.” - @MikePNoble
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…
“Republicans are not monolithic here. Trump-first voters are more open to new data centers in the abstract, while party-first Republicans are more skeptical. Once the costs are spelled out, both groups move toward limits.” - @MikePNoble
Full report: noblepredictiveinsights.com/…