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PHOENIX MOON 25-1 WINNER
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PHOENIX MOON 25-1 WINNER
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BERRY CLEVER 13-2 WINNER
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Bet for Saturday
15:40 Newmarket 2m2f (Rowley) Club Godolphin Cesarewitch Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) (Class 2) (3yo+)
There have been plenty of ante-post gambles for this race, with Dawn Rising proving particularly popular. He was runner-up in this contest last year, beaten by Beylerbeyi, who returns to defend his crown. Both horses look as though they have been laid out for this race once again, and I could see the form being reversed this time around. However, both are currently priced accordingly in a very competitive market.
The horse I like is Alphonse Le Grande, who also contested this race last year when finishing eighth off a mark of 93. His trainer is very shrewd and knows what it takes to win the Cesarewitch. In fact, Alphonse Le Grande was first past the post in the 2024 renewal, only to be disqualified for excessive use of the whip.
He lines up here from the same handicap mark of 87, while his jockey's claim effectively reduces that burden further. This race has clearly been the target, and with the front of the market looking tight enough, he appeals as one with a solid each-way chance at attractive odds.
3/4 pt e/w Alphonse Le Grande 20-1 6 places
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16.43 Thurles 2m½f (2m132y) thurlesraces.ie Maiden (3yo+)
Teofil is short-priced and making its Flat debut here after running in three bumpers. It was runner-up on debut and then went on to win two National Hunt Flat races. I'm not shocked to see it running on the Flat in a race like this and it has very much been priced up accordingly. At the price, though, I would be against it from a value perspective.
The horse I like has had only one start on the Flat, and that came at Tramore where it came from a poor track position and was going away at the finish. However, after weighing in, it was found to have weighed in light and was subsequently disqualified. Before the race it weighed 132.1lb and after the race weighed 130.8lb, a difference of 1.3lb, exceeding the 1lb allowance.
That said, it doesn't take away from how strongly Shirzan quickened that day. Now back on the Flat with the same jockey booked, I think he looks a decent each-way bet against the favourite.
1pt Each-Way - Shirzan 11-2

