DeFi / NFT Gaming space - researcher & content creator - guides, tips, support. I do the research & share it so others can win too!
Denver, CO
Joined July 2011
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defi duck retweeted
“🎉Polker is Back and Stronger Than Ever in 2025!
Now, we’re thrilled to announce early access to Polker’s Mobile Early Access Beta is coming this February 2025 for iOS & Android! 🔥
💡 Get early access to Mobile Beta Form (forms.gle/45xkBv3bvf72MwsL9)
defi duck retweeted
$PENGU is now live.
CA: 2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv
Learn more & how to claim your PENGU below.
defi duck retweeted
This is essentially how you beat everyone at everything. Money. Girls. Talent. Mental Sharpness. Etc.
So you may notice I post Jiu Jitsu/Guitar vids despite being a novice in both.
I get made fun of for these sometimes... haha.
"Why is this guy sharing stuff when he's not a pro? What a dork! Look how he messed up there!"
Know this : When I started in business at 21, I talked about it A LOT n showed people despite being "bad".
Like Jiu Jitsu, like guitar, like anything I pick up and learn I was simply excited about it. I talk and share what I'm excited about.
This always results in smug people trying to make me feel embarrassed about not being "good at it".
People at work (military) made fun of me. I was just the weird "wannabe" rich dreamer guy with embarrassing websites.
I still kept at it. I still kept excited.
Years past and I stopped being bad. Within a few years I was making more in a day than the guys who mocked me did in a year.
Why? Because while they did nothing and avoided embarrassment...I did something with excitement regardless of how new I was.
I am not the smartest or most talented guy.
However my knack for picking up stuff and staying cringe level excited about it has gotten me whatever I wanted out of life.
If you do the same, you will likely get similar results.
I've done the same thing with women, learning to make content, software development...etc etc.
I did the same thing with crypto. Hell people actively dumped on me as a "newbie" when I start talking crypto on YT. Outright mocked.
Few years later I had by FAR the most views of any channel in the space, shitting on channels that were "experts' and whose full time job was crypto content.
I did the same with money. Just on a longer time line.
The point : How good you are at something is irrelevant.
Get cringe level boyscout excited about stuff and try hard at it. Be proud of it.
Getting "gud" simply is a result of doing it for a long period of time with a high level of passion.
In a few years all the critics will still be sitting their with their shit jobs, their ugly partners and absolutely mundane talentless lives...silent.
Be excited about doing the thing and how much you improve every day. Not how good you are at the thing.
defi duck retweeted
I couldn’t sleep at all last night.
2-3 hours tops. Got up, did the whole cold shower thing, did 4 hours of work, practiced guitar, lifted and by noon hobbled onto the Jiu Jitsu mats for 1.5 hours.
It was all ass. I have not enjoyed today at all. I still did it. My performance was ass. But my business, guitar-ing and jiu jitsu all got a tiny bit better.
A tiny bit better every day for years makes mountains.
Just a reminder that most of us don’t have the motivation or perfect zen it factor. We still show up. So can you. It’ll still work out.
defi duck retweeted
This is the infinite money hack skill combo…full stop.
-master building good online sales funnels (sales copywriting, phone closing)
-master paid ads (driving customers)
-be good at making or partnering with people good at making products
Do these 3 well and you will be rich period. 7 figures a year an absolute breeze. 8 figure doable. 9 figures on the table if you build the product well.
If you’re scratching your head on what to do, just master these. They apply everywhere and will till the end of time.
defi duck retweeted
How the Navy Seal fall asleep within 2 minutes.
• No pills.
• No cold shower.
• No bluelight blocking glasses.
The 4-7-8 Method (backed by science):
defi duck retweeted
I found a guy who goes around the US asking 70 to 100-year-olds their:
• Biggest Regrets
• Biggest Lessons
• Advice to their younger self
Oddly enough, most of their answers are the same…
Here are my top 8:
defi duck retweeted
Diet/routine
This is actually the smallest I’ve been in awhile. 1.5-2.5 hours a day jiu jitsu just makes you smaller size wise/wears the muscles out for lifting at max. Is what it is.
At my peak muscle I did the Alex Hormozi/Jack Reacher actor work out. I was NOT do doing jiu jitsu heavily at this time.
I still do this, but I go lighter so I still have strength to roll and am cutting for competition.
Aka lift full body, every day, heavy, get 200 grams+ protein, sleep. Then fast one day a week to stay lean.
Anything else is over complicated mumbo jumbo to sell courses.
defi duck retweeted
🧵 How to build a great life (17 things I’ve learned)
I’ve run hard my whole life—always charging forward, rarely looking back. But 50 hits you different. It’s caused me to pause & reflect. ⬇️
defi duck retweeted
Years ago I was extorted by an employee. It’s one of the most painful things I’ve ever endured and for years I held resentment.
I wanted justice—to get even.
It turns out I didn’t have to do anything—this person ruined their own life.
Here’s something I’ve discovered in my half century on Earth:
When someone wrongs you, you don’t have to seek vengeance.
Bad people already live in a prison of their own design—their *life* is their punishment. The punishment takes many forms and often isn’t obvious but it’s inescapable. You can chalk it up to karma or simple cause & effect.
These days when I see someone commit a bad deed I just shake my head and think…
👉There’s a lot of pain in their future.
defi duck retweeted
We are close to the biggest altseason in history.
Everyone will make x50-x100 on their entire portfolio.
$5k portfolio will be around $250k-$500k in 2025.
All you need is to buy the right lowcaps.
I made 100x+ on several lowcaps, here's my next picks 👇🧵
defi duck retweeted
The biggest alpha is the market is dull & hesitant right now as we are heading into 2-3 months of the best IDOs/new coin release EVER in gaming...and AI.
This will leave these at easy 3-10x buys when the market heats back up
Here's my list in both sectors. Will have a video on this likely mid/end next week. Leave a like if you find it useful.
I expect all these to be absolute bangers. Again due to the current state of the market I think people will actually be able to get into these at good prices UNLIKE when the market is heated n IDOs get bought to huge market caps in seconds.
I think the GAMES below have solid chances to run at Illuvium like levels (higher risk, but huge reward) . I think the INFRA are extremely solid straight forward consistent bets.
Games (Soon)
Bloodloop (very soon)
GamesGG (infra, very soon))
ChronoForge
Pixelmon
My Pet Hooligan
Gaimin (L1 infra)
Xborg (game infra)
Rumble Kong League
Mocaverse (infra/huge)
Games Upcoming
Gunzilla/Off The Grid
Treeverse
AI/Depin
Skillful AI
GPU. Net
DOP (Data Ownership Protocol)
NukAI
Again the IDO/Launchpads that will likely give the best exposure to these at presale prices are
Seedify
Bytes
Sidus
PAID (for stuff outside gaming)
Feel free to throw yours in however I think this absolutely covers the best drops coming in gaming.
And yes I have invested in all of these.
defi duck retweeted
Friday 3am.
Mega Post : Anyone That Overcomes This Becomes A Millionaire
I got to 7 figures worth by 23. 9 by 33.
Yet I am quite slow & lacking talent. Takes me way longer to get good at stuff than other people.
How? I do 1 thing most refuse to. It is this :
See the picture below.
Don't worry this has nothing to do with Jiu Jitsu, but this metaphor will make things super clear.
Thats me on the bottom after almost 1 full year of Jiu Jitsu. Being completely smashed by someone smaller AND older than me.
I am not very good at Jiu Jitsu, especially considering how much I train (5-6x a week, sometimes 2+ hours a day).
I progress slower than most. I lose to people I should be able to beat. I even sometimes have trouble with newer people.
When I post vids doing it online, often people make fun of me for being uncoordinated/sloppy/etc.
Which I am. I am uncoordinated oddly shaped lanky guy. Never been athletic.
That said...Trust me, there's nothing that'll check your ego more than actively being pushed n failing to perform in a 1 on 1 physical test with other men...in public.
Yet I still keep going, I still post about it/share me doing it, I still keep trying "boy scout cringe level hard".
This is why I am .01% rich. This why I have a six pack at 36. This why I have one of the most viewed crypto channels in the world as a hobby, not even my main career.
It's because I just don't stop and am completely fine being terrible, cringe and embarrassing.
My super power isn't talent. It's that I am like an inevitable slow moving blob that just oozes towards its end goal. Push back, make fun of me, give me failure, I'll just keep oozing in till I win.
This isn't just a me thing. Anyone I know who can do this n applies it to money is also very successful.
Let's back up to what the post is about.
Yes its embarrassing to be 36 year old white belt getting stomped in Jiu Jitsu.
But lets rewind.
If you go back and look at my first businesses...Heck my first 1-2 years of attempts...HOLY crap...the cringe will kill you.
If you go back to my first youtube videos...the cringe will kill you. I actively remember getting hives from anxiety when doing one of my first filmed SEO interviews.
I was EMBARRASSING levels of bad at business and YT for years. YT even more so because everyone you ever have known sees it and laughs.
Id talk about business/wealth all the time with people while absolutely failing to make any money.
I was pretty much a joke. Again, for years.
Then I just kept showing up 5-6-7 days a week. I kept improving or making new businesses. I kept uploading.
Fast forward 10+ years.
I have .0001% money. I can build very high level businesses from scratch and make 7-8 figures a year without breaking a sweat. Uploading/doing YT and getting top financial YTuber results is simple for me.
Why? I was okay being a cringey try hard dork and being bad for years at these in the same way I am with Jiu Jitsu.
I and mostly any other successful person does NOT get results via talent.
You get results by STICKING to something, even when your bad, for a long time.
The sole difference between myself and a person who is in their first 6 months of "trying to make money" is just 10,000+ hours...over a decade of experience.
The sole difference between most BJJ black belts and white belts...Is the black belt just stuck to it for a decade plus.
BUT THE THING IS : Most people try things, they are bad, they get embarrassed and down n then stop. They hide their poor results, they don't talk about.
In fact most never try at all because they don't want to be seen as bad.
Most people will NEVER try a combat sport, despite wanting to, because they don't want to be humiliated 1 on 1 by another dude in public.
The same applies to business/money.
Being able to be like me in this picture...aka cringe level humiliation bad...and keep at it is a super power. It unlocks almost anything you want to achieve in life.
Give me 10-12 years in Jiu Jitsu. Will I be a best in the world competitor? No probably not. But I guarantee I'll be black belt n capable of wooping some serious ass.
No one will be laughing then. Especially other out of shape 40 year old dad bod dudes who couldn't even defend their wife from an angry emo teenager.
But back to you : Give yourself 10 years at something. Be excited about the first 2 years where you are just straight bad and a joke.
This is why you will get results when 99.9% of people fail to get any.
Results more often then not do not come from raw talent. They come from sticking to something even when your bad for a LONG time.
Do this and your results in life, particularly money/success will become inevitable.
So....The sooner you start something and embrace the "suck"....The sooner you will get to where you want. So start logging the "cringe" years now. This the cost you will always have to pay and the sooner you pay it the better.
(Leave a like if you like these mega post, ill do more n leave them in highlights)
defi duck retweeted
It is truly unbelievable that everyone is making these same #GTC24 AI lists.
Yet don’t know that $KNDX has BY FAR the strongest and deepest connection with #NVIDIA 💯
No other Crypto project even comes close!
Best kept secret in crypto? Probably:
👇🏻
$KNDX is working with 3 areas that coincide with 3 divisions of NVIDIA. 🤯
1. GDN (Graphics Delivery Network [backbone of GeForce Now]),
2. NVIDIA Omniverse for 3d aspects/Geospatial data/lighting/real world physics and lighting/raytracing, etc.
3. NVIDIA #AI Foundation, which covers many aspects of AI, including inference and deployment scaling.
The place where it all comes together is in the Universal Scene Description Framework.
RESEARCH #OpenUSD technology and understand that Kondux is the ONLY #crypto project that is leveraging it. 🔥
They're literally the first #crypto project that is connecting @nvidiaomniverse and GDN using the Universal Scene Description framework.🔥🔥
KNDX is building with technology that is made an industry standard by tech giants like Apple, Pixar, Adobe, Unity and Epicgames , all united in the @allianceopenusd
Again, the ONLY crypto project that is doing this‼️
This is going into billions of marketcap and no one even knows about this information that is available in plain sight.
Kondux is at 27M MC 🤝
$PAAL $RNDR $TAO $AGRS $AIOZ $OPSEC #0x0 $VRA $RIO $BEAM
My portfolio went from $10K to $400K in 1 year by understanding narratives and catalysts.
Nvidia #AI conference is less than 10 DAYS away and this is the biggest AI conference ever.
Here's my list of 10 AI tokens that will print MASSIVE gains over the next 10 days 🧵
defi duck retweeted
Just finished this book - Bad Therapy by @AbigailShrier
This is one of the most eye-opening books I've ever read. It's a must read for any parent, any teacher, and should be required reading for any school administrator as well.
The book dives into trying to figure out why kids are having so many mental health problems, when there are so many resources devoted to improving mental health outcomes.
Anxiety, depression, suicide, etc are all higher than they've ever been with kids, even though their lives are arguably better than ever before. It just doesn't make sense.
A few key takeaways from the book:
A constant attention on how kids are "feeling" or "thinking" is causing negative outcomes.
Constantly ruminating on your emotions and how you feel negatively impacts your mental health. If all you do is focus on your emotions, you are destined to be anxious or depressed.
We incessantly ask kids how they're feeling, if they're happy, how their mental health is, etc, and this is creating kids who think they're fragile instead of resilient.
Trying to solve every problem for kids has caused a generation who can't do anything for themselves.
We (Gen X) were told to "suck it up" or "you'll live" or "rub some dirt on it" all the time. Many of us came to the conclusion this is "bad parenting" because our feelings were neglected, and we vowed not to do this to our own children.
Because of that, kids immediately over-dramatize everything that happens to them, making mountains out of molehills, and thinking the world must revolve around their emotions and feelings.
You develop confidence and strong mental health by doing things, not by thinking or via therapy.
You can't think your way out of anxiety. You don't gain confidence by analysis of your thoughts or mental health issues.
You gain confidence and eliminate anxiety by doing gradually more difficult tasks, excelling at them, and realizing you are a competent, capable person.
The non-stop attention therapy gives to these small, common emotions we all feel blows them out of proportion to their seriousness (not talking about genuine disorders here, just normal anxieties that millions of people go to therapy to try to avoid).
One of the best ways to decrease your happiness is to chase it.
Our society constantly tells kids they should be "happy" and asks them if they are.
Happiness isn't a state you should be in 24/7. That's not realistic. Joy and bliss aren't permanent states - they are fleeting.
Contentment, stillness, and being even-keeled are much better goals to aim for mentally.
The happiest, most well adjusted kids come from families with loving parents that have strict rules for the household.
This one really set off the confirmation bias in me... I feel really blessed we have 2 well adjusted middle school kids who do great in school, are very respectful and well mannered, and we barely even need to parent them.
But for years, we were very strict with them. Bedtimes, family rules, how we do things, etc. The in-laws and lots of friends thought we were totalitarian.
In reality, we just had high standards. And it's really paying off right now. I found it really interesting that strict rules equals happy kids. Makes sense, though, as kids need to know what their boundaries are.
Constantly surveying school-age kids about their mental health causes more issues than it solves.
Mental health resources is big money. Districts need to validate all the resources allocated towards mental health, and they often do that via surveys.
Asking kids non-stop questions like:
- Have you thought about self harm?
- Have you thought about suicide?
- Have you been so anxious you can't get out of bed?
Etc, etc puts into their heads the idea that themselves, or many of their peers are broken and cannot function properly in the real world.
It normalizes situations that would be incredibly rare at any other time in history.
There's a lot of other takeaways, too, but I'll stop there.
It's a fantastic book. Go pick it up and read it. This isn't an affiliate thing or a promotion thing at all. I just really enjoyed it, and it will further shape the way I parent moving forward.
defi duck retweeted
As we approach the end of the year- it feels like a good time to retweet my macro thesis below- which I still expect to play out.
At the time when I originally shared this, we were trading at 30.3k.
Time-wise, I was expecting an earlier breakout, but we ended up consolidating longer than expected in the 25k region which, as a result, has pushed the timeline back a bit (not by much, still fully expect new ATH on $BTC in Q1 of '24). Price invalidation levels (which are more concrete and not as flexible as time) were never hit as we climbed up, maintaining bullish market structure throughout our rise.
In any case- it's clear that our next major leg up (and the final impulsive leg of this cycle which started in 2018 at 3k $BTC) has begun. And for those who are still in denial, it will be even more clear (and undeniable) in a month or two imo.
In the coming months I expect further continuation upwards, at a more aggressive pace than we have seen thus far, as we build up to what will be a blow-off top for the books to conclude this multi-year cycle.
As per my full thesis below, I expect $BTC to break 100k+ by the end of this parabolic run, top sometime around mid '24, and for us to be well within the first major secular Bitcoin bear market by '25- catching most off guard.
The chart below perfectly demonstrates all the reasons why I think most are going to be completely caught off guard over the next 6 months and into '24 and '25.
Whether you believe in a new ATH on #Bitcoin this year or not, this is an idea worth considering imo.
Let's dive in...
I have spoken for a while about my issues with the almost universally accepted idea of a 4 year, "halving" based cycle many times.
Rather, I've proposed the idea of a cycle that lengthens in time from peak to peak while also simultaneously decreasing in ROI from trough to peak.
This idea was originally presented in 2019 and a refined time horizon was presented in 2020, about 3 years ago, when $BTC was trading under 10k. That idea was shared here: xitter.cf/CredibleCrypto/s…
In the chart shared in the link above, it is clear is that moves from trough to peak were taking longer in time to complete and yielding a lower ROI from start to finish.
This is a very logical/expect conclusion as we know that volatility in any market naturally decreases over time as an asset matures and the earliest participants in any market always have the potential for the highest yield/ROI.
Based on the chart shared above in 2020, one of the conclusions that was made from it was that this next cycle would not end until "sometime after [the start of] 2023".
Fast forward to Q4 of 2021- we had broken prior all time highs as expected and were trading in the 50-60k range. At this stage, most were calling for a blow-off top into December 2021 and 100k+ $BTC in the next month or two.
Why? Well because of the "halving" of course.
You see, our last parabolic run/blow off top occurred exactly 4 years prior- in December of 2017 on our run to 20k. So based on the halving cycle theory, our next blow off top should have come 4 years later- in December of 2021. I was one of the very few at this time that was NOT expecting this- again based on my idea of a lengthening cycle- I believed that this next blow off top should occur in/after 2023.
So, in December of 2021, when we were trading at 60k+ and the masses were screaming for a blow-off top to 100k+, I published a Youtube video to explain why I expected us to find a local top soon and a correction to at least 30-40k before the *actual* blow off top wave occurred 6+ months later. A full, in-depth breakdown as to how/why I made these claims at the time can be found here if you want to understand the logic further (I recommend finishing this thread and then going back to watch the vid below if interested): youtu.be/uAVlOfpxRMQ
What followed was a major crash that hit my target of 30-40k and ended up going even lower due to a series of industry defining black swan events that created a domino effect of bankruptcies, collapses, panic selling and capitulation- 3AC/LUNA, Voyager, Celcius, FTX etc.
At this stage, while we had gone lower than my target of 30-40k, we had not yet hit the invalidation point for this cycle and so while the depth of this major correction was deeper than expected, the high timeframe thesis remained in-tact (logic behind this is also covered in the Youtube video linked two paragraphs ago).
This is where a major divergence occurs between my ideas and the currently accepted/agreed upon narrative- as the vast majority who witnessed this crash now assumed that our cycle HAD topped at 69k and we are now in the depths of a major bear market with no new all time highs to be expected until after the NEXT halving in 2024.
Meanwhile, I have maintained, in-line with my ideas shared in 2019, that our cycle that started in 2018 has not yet completed and that we are still missing a final "5th wave" to the upside which has now officially begun off of our lows at 15k. This final move to new highs above 69k would mark the end of a 5 year cycle, the longest cycle we have seen since Bitcoin's inception and in-line with the idea of lengthening cycles that I've proposed earlier.
"But Credible, why would this time be different? We always see new highs only AFTER a halving event. So we will only see new highs after the next halving in 2024."
People have been blinded by the halving narrative so much that they refuse to view Bitcoin's growth/progression through the lens of anything but a 4 year, halving driven, cycle. I have repeatedly stated that the halving is a KNOWN event, on a set schedule, and that this information is priced in. Especially because at this point 92% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist has already been mined! Take a look at this chart here that I've shared without a "halving" related bias and you will see the idea of lengthening cycles makes a lot more sense: xitter.cf/CredibleCrypto/s…
NOW if we look at that chart above we can see that a Bitcoin cycle top at 69k WOULD be "different", and that if this cycle "is not different" to prior ones the top SHOULD take LONGER to form than prior tops as Bitcoin matures, volatility declines, and ROI from trough to peak of each cycle decreases.
Interestingly enough, the idea proposed above is reflected beautifully in the chart shared below, which is what caught my eye and made me begin writing this tweet in the first place.
This same data/idea is unknowingly presented in the @glassnode chart below, except at first glance it is depicted through the lens of a 4 year, halving cycle narrative once again. Let's take that lens off and take another look:
I've added annotations to the original chart and the key takeaways are:
1. Every cycle on Bitcoin since inception EXCEPT the one with a proposed top at 69k supports the lengthening cycle, lower ROI thesis.
2. IF our cycle did top at 69k it would be THE FIRST TIME that a full cycle has taken the SAME amount of time as a prior one.
3. IF our cycle did top at 69k it would be the ONLY cycle that topped with a YEAR LONG RANGE as opposed to a blow-off top.
Just like every prior Bitcoin cycle, the cycle that started in 2018 should NOT be over yet, it SHOULD take longer than the prior one, and it SHOULD yield a lower ROI as well.
Our "cycle top" being in at 69k would go against ALL of the above.
So my argument is simple- this time is NOT different.
We have yet to see the final 5th wave blow off top for this cycle that started in 2018 and we should see new all time highs on Bitcoin this year leading up to it. (For my best guess on when we see new highs, view this tweet here: xitter.cf/CredibleCrypto/s…)
If you liked this mini novel, please like and share.
I also challenge you guys to tag those in the comments that are staunch believers of the halving cycle narrative. Encourage people to open their minds to an idea they have potentially dismissed. Ask them to read this thread and give it a genuine chance, with no pre-conceived notions. I'm always open to respectful discussion of ideas from those with opposing viewpoints and I think it's always important to keep an open mind and consider ideas that run against the grain. If you agree, spread the word!
