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Joined January 2022
Samsung is quoting HBM at $4.50 - 12–25% higher than Micron ($4.00) and SK Hynix ($3.60–$3.80).Data centers are paying the premium for larger, more reliable supply volumes. Supply certainty is now a pricing factor in the HBM market.$MU $SKHY #HBM #Samsung
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Who added the most market value in 2026? 📊 Top 10 (Dec 31, 2025 → Oct 23, 2026): Apple +$1.12T (+28%) Micron +$670B (+208%) TSMC +$607B (+39%) Nvidia +$601B (+13%) AMD +$494B (+141%)
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Samsung & SK Hynix are targeting Q2 2027 for mass production and volume shipments of 8-layer HBM4, specifically for NVIDIA’s Rubin Ultra rack-scale AI systems. While 12-layer HBM4 remains the primary focus through 2026, the share of 8-layer is expected to rise significantly from mid-2027 - driven by yield and thermal constraints on taller stacks. NVIDIA is adjusting its strategy and evaluating a mix of configurations. #HBM #HBM4 #NVIDIA #Samsung #SKHynix #AI #Semiconductors
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NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72 is here. 72 Rubin GPUs + 36 Vera CPUs 20.7 TB HBM4 | 1,400 TB/s bandwidth 3,600 PFLOPS NVFP4 inference 2,520 PFLOPS NVFP4 training 288 GB HBM4 per GPU (19.2 TB/s) 6th-gen NVLink The next-gen AI rack is already in full production. $NVDA $MU $SKHY #HBM4 #VeraRubin #AI
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NVIDIA just locked in lower HBM4 bandwidth for Vera Rubin.Earlier targets → Official specs (Oct 2026): • Rubin GPU: 22 → 19.2 TB/s • Superchip: ~44 → 38.5 TB/s • NVL72 Rack: ~1,580 → 1,400 TB/sCapacity stays 288 GB/GPU. Pin speed cut (~11.7 → ~9.5 Gbps) to improve yields and multi-supplier volume.Still a big jump over Blackwell’s HBM3E.#NVIDIA #VeraRubin #HBM4 #AIHardware
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Amkor’s CapEx stayed flat ~$0.75–0.91B from 2021–2025.2026 guide jumps to $2.5–3.0B.NVIDIA is prepaying $2.8B ($1.5B Arizona + $1.3B Korea) to lock capacity.
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SK hynix set for another monster quarter: 3Q26 consensus at KRW 98.2T revenue (+302% YoY) and KRW 77T OP (+576% YoY) with 78.4% margin. HBM4 Vera Rubin sales kicking in, DRAM ASP +21-22% QoQ. Will HBM4 shipments beat expectations on Oct 28? #SKhynix #HBM #Memory
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NVIDIA, AMD & Broadcom have locked in massive supply chain commitments. Here’s how those obligations stack up against annualized revenue, net income, and free cash flow.
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Micron targets 2028 for Vertical HBM (vHBM) - memory stacked directly on the processor. • HBM4: 2.8 TB/s per stack • ~100 stacks ≈ world’s entire internet bandwidth (282 TB/s) • vEIM 1: 2 TB/s @ <1 pJ/bit Standard, Custom & Vertical HBM will coexist.
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Boldest analyst calls this week 📊 $SPCX JPM $500 (+239%) $STX BofA $1,200 (+90%) $MU Needham $1,650 (+88%) $NVDA GS $300 (+42%) $TSLA Piper $475 (+27.6%) $CRWV HSBC $39 (−28%) #Stocks #WallStreetJournal
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Huaqiangbei RTX 50-series channel quotes (Oct 23):5090 → 55-60k RMB (from 15-16k launch) 5080 → 16-17k 5060 → 3,600+Prices are jumping daily. Via 21st Century Business Herald. #NVIDIA #RTX50
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AI Component Lead Times: Current vs Equilibrium Baseline HBM, High-performance ASICs, AI Accelerators, 800G Optical Modules, and HBM Interfaces are running at roughly 2× their normal (balanced) lead times due to AI demand. Current figures (blue) vs equilibrium baseline (green). Unit: weeks $HBM
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Japan’s semiconductor equipment billings hit $12.0B in Q3 2026 - up 22.5% quarter-over-quarter and 48.2% year-over-year.AI-driven demand for advanced logic and HBM continues to drive strong capex across the supply chain.$8035.T $6857.T #Semiconductors #AI #TokyoElectron #Advantest
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Server CPU market is shifting. TrendForce estimates show Intel’s share falling from ~50% in 2026 to 42% in 2027, while Arm-based CPUs (NVIDIA, AWS, Google and others) continue to gain ground. AMD holds steady near 28%. #ServerCPU #AI #Intel #AMD #NVIDIA #Arm #DataCenter
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SK hynix at 2.8x forward P/E. Samsung at 3.5x. Micron at 5.4x. CXMT at 10.3x. The Korean memory majors are cheaper than they’ve been in past downcycles. CXMT is the expensive one.
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Estimated Server CPU Market Shares: 2026 vs 2027 (TrendForce) Intel’s lead shrinks while AMD holds steady and custom silicon (AWS, Google) gains ground. #ServerCPU #Intel #AMD #NVIDIA #TrendForce #Semiconductors
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Global memory makers have had a massive run - despite recent pullbacks from peaks.SNDK +826% (1Yr), Kioxia +451%, Micron +338%. Even after the drawdowns, YTD returns remain extremely strong across the board.
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Nomura estimates: Global data center power by applicationAI goes from 10GW (17%) in 2025 → 40GW (35%) by 2028Heavy agents become the biggest AI power user (15GW), ahead of training (10GW)
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Memory stocks trading at just 2–3x earnings.The market is already pricing in a 2027 downcycle that still hasn’t shown up in the fundamentals.Samsung 2027: current 3.2x vs DCF-implied 9.1x.
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Micron just laid out its full memory roadmap through 2030. • DDR6: >2× bandwidth vs DDR5 • LPDDR6: >35% better power efficiency (1δ node) • HBM5 (2028) → HBM5E (2029) → HBM6 (2030) • vHBM with hybrid bonding starting 2028 • G11 NAND: >400 layers, 2× density vs G9, ramp in 2H27 Vertical stacking is coming. The memory wall is real. #Micron #HBM #DDR6 #NAND #AI #Semiconductors $MU
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