Distinguished Fellow, Carnegie Endowment. Columnist. Author: The End of Power; Illicit; Charlatans ...

Joined March 2011
I remember @MoisesNaim on @drshow describing the global instability inherent with an oil price collapse. In any case the Administration's goals deserve support imo.
Pennant flag formation on a continuous weekly chart of crude oil futures. Points to either dramatically higher or lower prices into 2027...(depending on the fundamental news that develops in the coming weeks).
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Producción de Venezuela estancada,
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Václav Havel believed that truth was better than fear, freedom was worth fighting for, and Europe’s future belonged to everyone. He devoted his life to those convictions and helped change the course of history. On what would have been his 90th birthday, I’m remembering my friend with gratitude for his courage, his love of our common humanity, and the work we did together to bring the Czech Republic into NATO and build a Europe no longer divided. We also shared a love of music. So today, I’m playing a few notes in his honor. Happy birthday, my friend. The world could use more of your spirit.
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The elites of Victorian Britain got up late, drank ceaselessly, worked short hours, partied through the night, and knew nothing about science, technology or engineering. And yet, by their own lights, they were hugely effective. worksinprogress.co/issue/the… The Victorians are often held up as a model against the supposedly soft, feckless, humanities-educated elites of today. But I argue that the genius of their system may have been its drastic weighting towards soft skills, team-building and intra-elite networking: - A Victorian’s gentleman’s office hours typically began about 11am and finished about 5pm, including a multi-course lunch with wine. - Upper-class Victorians drank ceaselessly. Conduct guides recommended four or five glasses of wine at dinner *for married women*. Port was often served in pints. - Party culture was intense and nocturnal. Balls started at about 10pm, peaked after 1am, and continued till dawn. During the social season, bankers, judges and politicians might go to several balls per week. - Elite Victorians learnt almost no STEM at school or university. At least half of class time was given over to ancient languages, often as much as 80 percent. One leading educationalist remarked that it was not worth teaching science to gentlemen because it does not involve ‘continued reasoning’. - Sports and character formation were valued far above transmitting facts. A top headmaster described his school’s priorities as ‘First – character, second – physique, third – intelligence, fourth – manners, fifth – information’. This cannot have made elite Victorians more productive individually, but maybe the dense social and emotional network it created helped them to work as a sort of extended team. Perhaps we should think again about what makes groups of people effective.
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We keep comparing Lula to Biden but maybe the more accurate figure is Bill Clinton — if Bill was still running for president. THAT is how long Lula has been around (1st campaign was ‘89 vs ‘92 for Bill.) Lula is 10 months older. A long time to be on stage, even for such a talent
Václav Havel believed that truth was better than fear, freedom was worth fighting for, and Europe’s future belonged to everyone. He devoted his life to those convictions and helped change the course of history. On what would have been his 90th birthday, I’m remembering my friend with gratitude for his courage, his love of our common humanity, and the work we did together to bring the Czech Republic into NATO and build a Europe no longer divided. We also shared a love of music. So today, I’m playing a few notes in his honor. Happy birthday, my friend. The world could use more of your spirit.
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Negotiations to end the war in Ukraine "have expanded to include a multibillion-dollar oil deal that would benefit Middle Eastern business executives with ties to the two main U.S. negotiators, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner" reports @nytimes nytimes.com/2026/10/03/us/po…
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Our gold-crazed gangster president kidnapped and took over for Venezuela’s gangster president, had his business partner immediately fly out with a half ton of gangster gold and bring 10 bars to a little party across from the Oval Office for Trump to ogle. nytimes.com/2026/09/28/world…
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Muy bueno y entretenido: Charlatanes, de Moisés Naím. Los charlatanes siempre han existido. Lo que cambió fue la tecnología: hoy pueden llegar a millones más rápido. Charlatanes en política, religión, negocios y salud.
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Επίκαιρο όσο ποτέ!!! #Μαζωνάκης #apokalypseis #megalivenews Λίγα λόγια για το βιβλίο: Oι διάφοροι τσαρλατάνοι εξαπατούν επί αιώνες τα θύματά τους. Σήμερα, όμως, o τσαρλατανισμός είναι πιο κερδοφόρος και παγκόσμιος από ποτέ. Χρησιμοποιώντας τη δύναμη της ψηφιακής τεχνολογίας, οι αγύρτες της εποχής μας έχουν δημιουργήσει ένα παγκόσμιο δίκτυο εκμετάλλευσης σε μια άνευ προηγουμένου κλίμακα. Στο παρόν βιβλίο, οι ειδικοί σε θέματα παγκόσμιων υποθέσεων Moisés Naím και Francisco Toro διερευνούν πώς οι τσαρλατάνοι καταφέρνουν να μας παραπλανούν και γιατί έχουν καταλήξει να είναι τόσο επιδραστικοί. Υποστηρίζουν ότι οι σύγχρονοι τσαρλατάνοι εκμεταλλεύονται τα ίδια αδύνατα σημεία της ανθρώπινης νόησης με τους πωλητές ελιξιρίων του παλαιού δυτικού κόσμου. Κερδίζουν την εμπιστοσύνη μας, μας ξεγελούν κάνοντάς μας να πιστέψουμε ότι διαθέτουν κάποια ειδική ικανότητα ή γνώση και, στη συνέχεια, μας χρησιμοποιούν προς όφελός τους. Κατά μία έννοια, τίποτε δεν έχει αλλάξει. Ωστόσο, σήμερα οι τσαρλατάνοι είναι ψηφιακοί, ιομορφικοί και παγκόσμιοι. Είτε πρόκειται για γκουρού της υγείας που προωθούν την ψευδοεπιστήμη είτε για επιτήδειους των κρυπτονομισμάτων που οργανώνουν πυραμίδες Πόντσι, οι τσαρλατάνοι της εποχής μας συγκεντρώνουν γρήγορα παγκόσμιο ακροατήριο στο Διαδίκτυο και στα μέσα κοινωνικής δικτύωσης χρησιμοποιώντας ένα κοινό σύνολο στρατηγικών. Έτσι, εξαπατούν γρήγορα τα ανυποψίαστα θύματά τους, ενώ οι αργοκίνητοι θεσμοί μας πασχίζουν να ανταποκριθούν. Το βιβλίο είναι ένα αποκαλυπτικό οδοιπορικό στην αναιδή εξαπάτηση και στη βάναυση θυματοποίηση που συνθέτουν τη νέα αυτή παγκόσμια μάστιγα, προσφέροντας συνάμα τα εφόδια για να διαφύγετε από τις συμπληγάδες των τσαρλατάνων.
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The Cartel of the Suns is often described as a traditional drug cartel. Our investigations show something more complex: a corruption network connecting state officials, armed groups, drug trafficking, and illegal gold mining. Watch our video to learn how it works: bit.ly/4cRV77i
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The US just removed Venezuela from its list of major drug transit countries. But our research shows cocaine trafficking routes continue to operate there. Read our latest On the Radar. bit.ly/3TgA7AL
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If you are a lab researcher, I urge you to consider what the next few years will actually feel like. Do you want to kick off a superintelligent RL run without a rigorous understanding of its mind? Should you put your head down because “it’s happening anyway” - or take this moment to call for different conditions?
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There's always a new grift
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