Season review for @KilmarnockFC comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected. On Matchday 14 (Oct 29th), Killie lost to St Johnstone 1-0 on a 4th minute own goal by Ash Taylor. They had earned only 29% of available points. Two weeks later they were in last

Season review for @dundeeunitedfc comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected Each of the 3 managers tenures are marked The model mirrored the actual results all season long - basically the team was as bad as their underlying numbers said they were

Season review for @RossCounty comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected. Not much to say here...the model NEVER strayed more than 3 points away from Ross County's final point total of 34 points & the team's actual pace was just as consistent since January

Season review for @StJohnstone comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected. For most of 6 months, the model had them within 3 points of its final total. A bad April dragged the projections down. Only 1 loss after the split spurred the team back to 43 pts

Season review for @LiviFCOfficial comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected. Interestingly, despite a good start to the season...the model rarely projected beyond 3 points of their eventual point total of 46, while the actual pt rate fluctuated for months

Season review for @MotherwellFC comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected. Stuart Kettlewell took over following matchday 26. While the results & underlying numbers did improve, it wasn't until after the split that they actually outpaced earlier results

Quick thread on @RangersFC season

Presented without (much) comment...here's the season review for Celtic comparing their actual points pace with what my model projected

Thread looking at @HibernianFC

Thread from earlier…this one looking at @saintmirrenfc

Updated Projected League Table Only 3 clubs have seen a 4 point or more shift in their projected points since the World Cup break. @JamTarts +5.19 @RangersFC +4.93 @AberdeenFC -7.72 Other notables: Celtic +1.05 @dundeeunitedfc +3.24 @RossCounty -3.92 @KilmarnockFC +0.69 😏

Updated Projected League Table The margins at the bottom of the table are starting to get smaller for that automatic relegation spot between @RossCounty & @dundeeunitedfc It will also be interesting to see if the model's belief in @HibernianFC actually comes to fruition.